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Week 1 NCAAF.....

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Veteran
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Posts: 1083
Posted: #76
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

As always, these are current bettable lines.

Week 1 is always tough, unit sizes represent that.

GL all

1.  Syracuse -6.5 (1 unit)
2.  Baylor +4.5 (1 unit)
3.  Akron +34 (1 unit)
4.  UCLA +3 (1 unit)
5.  USF +10 (2 units)
6.  ECU +21 (1.5 units)
7.  Tulsa +24.5 (1.5 units)
8.  LSU +4 (2 units)
9.  GA +3.5 (2 units)

Sunday and Monday to come....

As always, up for discussion and comments.

GL



Got to respect your gumption Bro.     you will never make  plain' that many games, not over time anyway, might as well be plain Parlay cards.

On the other Hand

am leaning a lil' on your Georgia bet

for me tom. I only have 2 plays,

Georgia ov/50'         3 units

S. FL     +10'           3 units

hook 'em up for a dollar to boot? NOT

Best of Luck on your picks home you cash 'em all  
 
MVP
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Posted: #77
Sick back door on the orange
 
Veteran
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Posted: #78
off and  to a good year




stay thirsty my friends....      




 
Legend
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Posted: #79
BOL VAN
 
Legend
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Posts: 60065
Posted: #80
Quote Originally Posted by captainronrico:



Got to respect your gumption Bro.     you will never make  plain' that many games, not over time anyway, might as well be plain Parlay cards.

On the other Hand

am leaning a lil' on your Georgia bet

for me tom. I only have 2 plays,

Georgia ov/50'         3 units

S. FL     +10'           3 units

hook 'em up for a dollar to boot? NOT

Best of Luck on your picks home you cash 'em all  

So if I understand you correctly, you are saying that with the way I am doing things I will never make money longterm.  Where have I gone wrong? 

I think you are saying that you are better off to limit yourself to an arbitrary number of wagers in an arbitrary time period rather than betting all +EV wagers.  So in other words, I should bet my 3 best games this week even though they might be my my 10th, 11th, and 12th best games next week. 

Makes a lot of sense.  I want to learn how to do this for the longterm, and I dont want to just be playin parlay cards.

Thanks in advance.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
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Posts: 1310
Posted: #81
Quote Originally Posted by captainronrico:



Got to respect your gumption Bro.     you will never make  plain' that many games, not over time anyway, might as well be plain Parlay cards.

On the other Hand

am leaning a lil' on your Georgia bet

for me tom. I only have 2 plays,

Georgia ov/50'         3 units

S. FL     +10'           3 units

hook 'em up for a dollar to boot? NOT

Best of Luck on your picks home you cash 'em all  

Typical covers idiot coming in pretending he knows what he is talking about.

Dude you called out likely one of the most respected poster Covers has to offer.

There are gamblers that can make $ playing multiple games and he is one of them.

 

 
Legend
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Posted: #82
gl van
 
Captain
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Posts: 5215
Posted: #83
good luck buddy..
 
Captain
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Posts: 6417
Posted: #84
Quote Originally Posted by captainronrico:



Got to respect your gumption Bro.     you will never make  plain' that many games, not over time anyway, might as well be plain Parlay cards.

On the other Hand

am leaning a lil' on your Georgia bet

for me tom. I only have 2 plays,

Georgia ov/50'         3 units

S. FL     +10'           3 units

hook 'em up for a dollar to boot? NOT

Best of Luck on your picks home you cash 'em all  


oh my.  another year, another dumbass.
 
Banned
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Posts: 14182
Posted: #85
wouldnt touch the georgia over.
 
All-Star
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Posts: 13874
Posted: #86
Quote Originally Posted by captainronrico:



Got to respect your gumption Bro.     you will never make  plain' that many games, not over time anyway, might as well be plain Parlay cards.

On the other Hand

am leaning a lil' on your Georgia bet

for me tom. I only have 2 plays,

Georgia ov/50'         3 units

S. FL     +10'           3 units

hook 'em up for a dollar to boot? NOT

Best of Luck on your picks home you cash 'em all  

I will be watching this system closely!!!

  

 
Prospect
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Joined: Oct, 2010
Posts: 20
Posted: #87
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

So if I understand you correctly, you are saying that with the way I am doing things I will never make money longterm.  Where have I gone wrong? 

I think you are saying that you are better off to limit yourself to an arbitrary number of wagers in an arbitrary time period rather than betting all +EV wagers.  So in other words, I should bet my 3 best games this week even though they might be my my 10th, 11th, and 12th best games next week. 

Makes a lot of sense.  I want to learn how to do this for the longterm, and I dont want to just be playin parlay cards.

Thanks in advance.

vanzack...I have a feeling once this guy (if he hangs around here) gets the drift of who you are...he may feel a bit blushed over his current post in your thread.

BOL...this weekend! 

 

 
Prospect
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Posted: #88
all the best Van
 
Prospect
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Posted: #89
If Boise happens to win this game, then it looks like they can run the table, they have a good chance of being in the National Championship game, was wondering if you thought they were worth a shot to win the Title at 12-1,  Was gonna wait until game was almost over to make this wager, if they look like they will win, make the wager.  Thoughts?
 
Prospect
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Posts: 379
Posted: #90
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:

Seems like me and Lou Holtz like the same sides.

That cant be good.

Don't listen to good ol Lou. If he could pick both teams to win he would. His heart is with Notre Dame, but son coaches USF go figure. Anyways, good luck Van I will be tracking your pics.
 
Veteran
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Posted: #91
Quote Originally Posted by beantownforlife:

If Boise happens to win this game, then it looks like they can run the table, they have a good chance of being in the National Championship game, was wondering if you thought they were worth a shot to win the Title at 12-1,  Was gonna wait until game was almost over to make this wager, if they look like they will win, make the wager.  Thoughts?


I do think Boise wins this game and then runs the table, but it won't be enough... It won't help Boise when Georgia only wins 6 games this year because they stink... Boise just can't get there


BOL Van!!!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #92
If no one else goes undefeated or if 1 other team goes undefeated its got to be taking into consideration.
 
Rookie
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Posted: #93
Great start van! Good luck today.
 
Captain
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Posts: 8485
Posted: #94

Go get em Van

Opposite on a few with you on a few as always

Much respect and best wishes for the upcoming season

 
Prospect
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Posted: #95
Hey Vanzack!

Solid capping, as usual, year in and year out.

Looking forward to your NFL plays.


 
Legend
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Posted: #96
Good luck this weekend
 
Legend
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Posted: #97

Quote Originally Posted by beantownforlife:

If Boise happens to win this game, then it looks like they can run the table, they have a good chance of being in the National Championship game, was wondering if you thought they were worth a shot to win the Title at 12-1,  Was gonna wait until game was almost over to make this wager, if they look like they will win, make the wager.  Thoughts?

My thoughts on this wager are not whether Boise can or cant go undefeated - it is more related to whether they will play in the NC game if they do go undefeated.  It seems to me that even teams with one loss in the SEC will play ahead of them, and maybe even one loss teams in the other power conferences.

It would take a long series of events for Boise to even get the shot IMO - and thats why I think 12-1 is too short.  I would say that they have a 12-1 shot of playing in the NC if they go undefeated.  And that means you are carrying them for 13 games with no extra payoff.  I would say that 25-1 is more about right.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
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Posted: #98

Thanks everyone else for the nice words and well wishes.

GL to all of you too.....

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
Legend
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Posts: 60065
Posted: #99

How bout some games today that arent decided on the last play?

My first two were not good for my health.

Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
 
 
Captain
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Posts: 5856
Posted: #100
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