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    All Forums | College Football

    Week 1 NCAAF.....

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    vanzack
    PROPHET4
    lindetrain
    RJSizzle
    cphargrove
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 15498
    Posts: 113
    12345 Next Last»
     
    vanzack
    vanzack
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 2:39 PM ET #1

    As always, these are current bettable lines.

    Week 1 is always tough, unit sizes represent that.

    GL all

    1.  Syracuse -6.5 (1 unit)
    2.  Baylor +4.5 (1 unit)
    3.  Akron +34 (1 unit)
    4.  UCLA +3 (1 unit)
    5.  USF +10 (2 units)
    6.  ECU +21 (1.5 units)
    7.  Tulsa +24.5 (1.5 units)
    8.  LSU +4 (2 units)
    9.  GA +3.5 (2 units)

    Sunday and Monday to come....

    As always, up for discussion and comments.

    GL

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    As always, these are current bettable lines.

    Week 1 is always tough, unit sizes represent that.

    GL all

    1.  Syracuse -6.5 (1 unit)
    2.  Baylor +4.5 (1 unit)
    3.  Akron +34 (1 unit)
    4.  UCLA +3 (1 unit)
    5.  USF +10 (2 units)
    6.  ECU +21 (1.5 units)
    7.  Tulsa +24.5 (1.5 units)
    8.  LSU +4 (2 units)
    9.  GA +3.5 (2 units)

    Sunday and Monday to come....

    As always, up for discussion and comments.

    GL

     
    PROPHET4
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 2:45 PM ET #2

    Even though week# 1 is usually chalk, i like alot of your dogs. Good luck this year. 

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    Even though week# 1 is usually chalk, i like alot of your dogs. Good luck this year. 

     
    lindetrain
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 2:46 PM ET #3

    Looks like we are opposite on a few Van...BOL though, and hope it's another profitable season for you

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    Looks like we are opposite on a few Van...BOL though, and hope it's another profitable season for you

     
    RJSizzle
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 2:47 PM ET #4

    Jesus...Baylor is 4.5 now??

    Good luck, Van.


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    Jesus...Baylor is 4.5 now??

    Good luck, Van.


     
    cphargrove
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 2:50 PM ET #5

    I disagree with a few of those, but I will single out baylor.  Nothing is more overrated right now than the "returning starters" mantra, and because of that everyone is leaving the TCU party.  Patterson has proven that his guys always fill in and dont miss a beat particularly at QB.  When Paschell had his mri everyone was on pins and needles because the truth is he is a very good QB and they are not sure after that.  The defense will be the same and completely confuse Griffen III like they did last year.

    Meanwhile baylor has some losses that I dont think they can just patch up.  They lose Watkins and taylor both first round picks!!!!  Not only that but they suspend Gordon who was the deep threat for baylor.  So the way I see it is TCU wont miss much of a beat at all from last years team while baylor could be significantly worse that last years team.

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    I disagree with a few of those, but I will single out baylor.  Nothing is more overrated right now than the "returning starters" mantra, and because of that everyone is leaving the TCU party.  Patterson has proven that his guys always fill in and dont miss a beat particularly at QB.  When Paschell had his mri everyone was on pins and needles because the truth is he is a very good QB and they are not sure after that.  The defense will be the same and completely confuse Griffen III like they did last year.

    Meanwhile baylor has some losses that I dont think they can just patch up.  They lose Watkins and taylor both first round picks!!!!  Not only that but they suspend Gordon who was the deep threat for baylor.  So the way I see it is TCU wont miss much of a beat at all from last years team while baylor could be significantly worse that last years team.

     
    shakey12381
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 3:00 PM ET #6

    gl vanzack
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    gl vanzack
     
    vanzack
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 3:00 PM ET #7

    1. Syracuse -6.5 (1 unit)
    2. Baylor +4.5 (1 unit)
    3. Akron +34 (1 unit)
    4. UCLA +3 (1.5 units)
    5. USF +10 (2 units)
    6. ECU +21 (1.5 units)
    7. Tulsa +24.5 (1.5 units)
    8. LSU +4 (2 units)
    9. GA +3.5 (2 units)

    One change - UCLA goes up to 1.5 units.

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    1. Syracuse -6.5 (1 unit)
    2. Baylor +4.5 (1 unit)
    3. Akron +34 (1 unit)
    4. UCLA +3 (1.5 units)
    5. USF +10 (2 units)
    6. ECU +21 (1.5 units)
    7. Tulsa +24.5 (1.5 units)
    8. LSU +4 (2 units)
    9. GA +3.5 (2 units)

    One change - UCLA goes up to 1.5 units.

     
    vanzack
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 3:01 PM ET #8

    Prophet4, RJ, Linde - GL to you guys too 
    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    Prophet4, RJ, Linde - GL to you guys too 
     
    vanzack
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 3:03 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by cphargrove:

    I disagree with a few of those, but I will single out baylor.  Nothing is more overrated right now than the "returning starters" mantra, and because of that everyone is leaving the TCU party.  Patterson has proven that his guys always fill in and dont miss a beat particularly at QB.  When Paschell had his mri everyone was on pins and needles because the truth is he is a very good QB and they are not sure after that.  The defense will be the same and completely confuse Griffen III like they did last year.

    Meanwhile baylor has some losses that I dont think they can just patch up.  They lose Watkins and taylor both first round picks!!!!  Not only that but they suspend Gordon who was the deep threat for baylor.  So the way I see it is TCU wont miss much of a beat at all from last years team while baylor could be significantly worse that last years team.

    Week 1 is always tough because of new players impact.  There is a wide variance on what an incoming player will do, and therefore a lot of interpretation and relying on second hand reports.

    All I can tell you is that I had this game as a PKem, so at +4.5 in week 1 that is a 1 unit play, and if you caught it earlier at a higher line (which I did), it was a higher unit play.  But at the current line, it is worth a unit based on my line.

    But I totally understand what you are saying in your writeup.

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
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    Quote Originally Posted by cphargrove:

    I disagree with a few of those, but I will single out baylor.  Nothing is more overrated right now than the "returning starters" mantra, and because of that everyone is leaving the TCU party.  Patterson has proven that his guys always fill in and dont miss a beat particularly at QB.  When Paschell had his mri everyone was on pins and needles because the truth is he is a very good QB and they are not sure after that.  The defense will be the same and completely confuse Griffen III like they did last year.

    Meanwhile baylor has some losses that I dont think they can just patch up.  They lose Watkins and taylor both first round picks!!!!  Not only that but they suspend Gordon who was the deep threat for baylor.  So the way I see it is TCU wont miss much of a beat at all from last years team while baylor could be significantly worse that last years team.

    Week 1 is always tough because of new players impact.  There is a wide variance on what an incoming player will do, and therefore a lot of interpretation and relying on second hand reports.

    All I can tell you is that I had this game as a PKem, so at +4.5 in week 1 that is a 1 unit play, and if you caught it earlier at a higher line (which I did), it was a higher unit play.  But at the current line, it is worth a unit based on my line.

    But I totally understand what you are saying in your writeup.

     
    SatNightFever05
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 3:19 PM ET #10

    BOL this year 
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    BOL this year 
     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 3:23 PM ET #11

    Nice looking card.  I agree with pretty much all of those except ECU and Syracuse.

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    Nice looking card.  I agree with pretty much all of those except ECU and Syracuse.

     
    LonghornHoosier
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 3:36 PM ET #12

    so you think tulsa will cover 24.5 against OU without their #1 player in WR DJ?   please explain why and how?  Thank in advance.
    LonghornHoosier
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    so you think tulsa will cover 24.5 against OU without their #1 player in WR DJ?   please explain why and how?  Thank in advance.
     
    slikstiks99
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 3:38 PM ET #13

    Akron stuck out to me as they played OSU tough pre-scandal. Not sure what they are returning, but if it is decent than that is a great play.

    Don't like Tulsa. No GJ Kinne or Thomas, that is pretty important. I see OU giving a solid 28 pt clubbing. Those are two special players. They should be up 21 at half.

    Shit I need a Phil Steel magazine stat.
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    Akron stuck out to me as they played OSU tough pre-scandal. Not sure what they are returning, but if it is decent than that is a great play.

    Don't like Tulsa. No GJ Kinne or Thomas, that is pretty important. I see OU giving a solid 28 pt clubbing. Those are two special players. They should be up 21 at half.

    Shit I need a Phil Steel magazine stat.
     
    Mikado
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 3:40 PM ET #14

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    TVWIN
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 4:03 PM ET #15

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    err
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 4:14 PM ET #16

    Vanz you still using Matchbook and Pinny? BOL this season
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    Vanz you still using Matchbook and Pinny? BOL this season
     
    tideman
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 4:26 PM ET #17

    Glad to see you on LSU, and Georgia. A couple of high profile matchups .... I can't wait

    Best of luck

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    Glad to see you on LSU, and Georgia. A couple of high profile matchups .... I can't wait

    Best of luck

     
    MaineRoad
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 4:48 PM ET #18

    I disagree with most, but you and I are often on different sides of things.   Indeed, I'm eating meat as we speak. I lke ECU, SU and LSU, but think Baylor gets waxed and UH eventually runs away from what's left of the Bruins.    I admire your courage with the Zips.
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    I disagree with most, but you and I are often on different sides of things.   Indeed, I'm eating meat as we speak. I lke ECU, SU and LSU, but think Baylor gets waxed and UH eventually runs away from what's left of the Bruins.    I admire your courage with the Zips.
     
    eliminat0r85
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 5:00 PM ET #19

    Against you on USF I think ND has an easy time with them.

    On you with most of them. Like baylor ML myself. I'm not really into the whole returning starters mantra but game 1 of the season meaning soo much to a young team with a young player leading them spells trouble. Smart people have jumped the TCU ship for good reason and it's doubt, most people who don't know a damn thing are still gonna take TCU even though they have no idea what they are gonna get from that team in rivalry territory in the first game of the season. I think they come out motivated but at the same time I wouldn't be money on it. Gonna go small on baylor ML i think there value in a small play there as i had this as a pick basically as well.

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    Against you on USF I think ND has an easy time with them.

    On you with most of them. Like baylor ML myself. I'm not really into the whole returning starters mantra but game 1 of the season meaning soo much to a young team with a young player leading them spells trouble. Smart people have jumped the TCU ship for good reason and it's doubt, most people who don't know a damn thing are still gonna take TCU even though they have no idea what they are gonna get from that team in rivalry territory in the first game of the season. I think they come out motivated but at the same time I wouldn't be money on it. Gonna go small on baylor ML i think there value in a small play there as i had this as a pick basically as well.

     
    ninefine
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 5:05 PM ET #20

    Van, does your unit = the same amount of money for NCAAF as it does for soccer?

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    Van, does your unit = the same amount of money for NCAAF as it does for soccer?

     
    boltsfan
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 5:12 PM ET #21

    BOL
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    BOL
     
    bonilla420
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 5:20 PM ET #22

    ok i dnt just post on evry thread i come across, but i gotta say buddy- nothing personal, but ur picks r probly 1 of da worst cards ive seen n im agaist u on literally all of them except da Cuse pick
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    ok i dnt just post on evry thread i come across, but i gotta say buddy- nothing personal, but ur picks r probly 1 of da worst cards ive seen n im agaist u on literally all of them except da Cuse pick
     
    MaineRoad
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 5:37 PM ET #23

    Quote Originally Posted by bonilla420:

    ok i dnt just post on evry thread i come across, but i gotta say buddy- nothing personal, but ur picks r probly 1 of da worst cards ive seen n im agaist u on literally all of them except da Cuse pick

    Easy now.    Van's new to this whole sports gaming thing.   Give the guy a little time and I'm sure he'll get the hang of it. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by bonilla420:

    ok i dnt just post on evry thread i come across, but i gotta say buddy- nothing personal, but ur picks r probly 1 of da worst cards ive seen n im agaist u on literally all of them except da Cuse pick

    Easy now.    Van's new to this whole sports gaming thing.   Give the guy a little time and I'm sure he'll get the hang of it. 

     
    GAM
    GAM
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 5:47 PM ET #24

    BOL this season Van 
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    BOL this season Van 
     
     
    apeterson8809
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    Posted: Aug. 31, 2011 - 6:01 PM ET #25

    BOL

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    BOL

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