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vegas line vs my ratings - week 6

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Covers Rehab
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Posted: #51
Quote Originally Posted by GoCougs:

Good thread! I will follow your picks closely. I agree with most of them except for Michigan State. The Spartans have won me some dough the last two weeks. Hard to believe they won't beat Iowa by at least 10 at home, but I don't want to get trapped. Probably won't play them this week after reading this. Good luck.

 

gl whatever you decide !

 
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Posted: #52
Hey guys.....Long time lurker, first time poster, and fellow degenerate. W365, I like your write-ups and your system seems to be finding a nice niche. For the benefit of all of us on here, would you please just post your final plays, instead of having to go thru all of these threads? It would be greatly appreciated. Thanks for the hard work and time......
 
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Posted: #53
w365,
From my computer model I am on the same side of you with:

Florida State 16
Miami-Florida 13

Illinois 23
Michigan 16

Navy 27
Air Force 21

UNLV 38
Colorado State 24

Rice 44
Tulsa 41

I don't like the variance on the UNLV or Rice but may take them if the public is on the favorites.  Glad to see we're on the same side on a number of them.

Great thread and best of luck.
 
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Posted: #54
Great thread, valuable input for my evaluations.. thanks
 
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Posted: #55
I respect your hard work w365, this thread is impressive.  your time and effort is unreal.  I couldnt help but notice that my system has some of these similar plays you touched on.  I have done very good thus far as well.  Keep up the good work and thank you for your time and effort, thank you for sharing this info.  This is what this forum is all about.  Appreciated man.
 
Betting on UD's with greater Stability and Power Rating combined.
Betting on Fav's with 10 points greater in stability.
Posted:
Wk1 5-1 83%
Wk2 5-0 100%
Wk3 5-2  71%
Wk4 4-10-1 40%
Wk5 9-5-1 64%
 
Season Totals 28-18-1  61%  (19 S/U dog winners)
 
Wk6
Florida Atlantic +2.5
Oregon State +11.5
Indiana +7
UCONN +7
South Carolina +3
UNLV +1
Illinois +3
Florida St. +3
Arizona St. +9.5
Florida -25
Ohio St. -1
Fresno St. -22
UL Manroe +3
North Texas +7
 
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Posted: #56
W365----How far would you go, when the point spread goes against you...For example I love the Iowa play, but my local only takes action the day of the game.....It was +9.5, now it's all the way down to 7.5.
 
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Posted: #57
W365-Is this going to be you final post for ncaafl this week? 
Just curious if any leans may become plays. 
 
BTW, friggin great info, brother!
 
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Posted: #58
 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by adkais71:

Hey guys.....Long time lurker, first time poster, and fellow degenerate. W365, I like your write-ups and your system seems to be finding a nice niche. For the benefit of all of us on here, would you please just post your final plays, instead of having to go thru all of these threads? It would be greatly appreciated. Thanks for the hard work and time......

no problem

plays:

uab +5, iowa +10 (after buying 0.5), stanf +7.5, navy +7 (after buying 1), unlv +2, tole +8, kent +4

leans: fau +3 (W), utah -11.5, marsh +3.5, mia oh -7, illini +3, lamo +3, nt +7, fsu +3

 

good luck with your selections

 
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Posted: #60
Quote Originally Posted by 14daroad:

w365,
From my computer model I am on the same side of you with:

Florida State 16
Miami-Florida 13

Illinois 23
Michigan 16

Navy 27
Air Force 21

UNLV 38
Colorado State 24

Rice 44
Tulsa 41

I don't like the variance on the UNLV or Rice but may take them if the public is on the favorites.  Glad to see we're on the same side on a number of them.

Great thread and best of luck.

 

thanks for the feedback man. hope your plays win you big amount $ this week

 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by AtlFader:

Great thread, valuable input for my evaluations.. thanks

 

very glad to help

 
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Posted: #62
Quote Originally Posted by Jay4Prez:

I respect your hard work w365, this thread is impressive.  your time and effort is unreal.  I couldnt help but notice that my system has some of these similar plays you touched on.  I have done very good thus far as well.  Keep up the good work and thank you for your time and effort, thank you for sharing this info.  This is what this forum is all about.  Appreciated man.
 
Betting on UD's with greater Stability and Power Rating combined.
Betting on Fav's with 10 points greater in stability.
Posted:
Wk1 5-1 83%
Wk2 5-0 100%
Wk3 5-2  71%
Wk4 4-10-1 40%
Wk5 9-5-1 64%
 
Season Totals 28-18-1  61%  (19 S/U dog winners)
 
Wk6
Florida Atlantic +2.5
Oregon State +11.5
Indiana +7
UCONN +7
South Carolina +3
UNLV +1
Illinois +3
Florida St. +3
Arizona St. +9.5
Florida -25
Ohio St. -1
Fresno St. -22
UL Manroe +3
North Texas +7

 

very good job there. thanks for sharing and gl !

 
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Posted: #63
Quote Originally Posted by RedRockets:

W365----How far would you go, when the point spread goes against you...For example I love the Iowa play, but my local only takes action the day of the game.....It was +9.5, now it's all the way down to 7.5.

 

basically you did not lose any key numbers other trhan 9 (i bought it up from 9.5 to 10 so i got that key number covered with extra juice. anyways if you like that play you should go for it regardless if you are getting 9 or 7.5... gl !

 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #64
Quote Originally Posted by Mick77:

W365-Is this going to be you final post for ncaafl this week? 
Just curious if any leans may become plays. 
 
BTW, friggin great info, brother!

 

100% final card in the cfb this week,gl

 
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Posted: #65
Quote Originally Posted by davidn4567:

 

 
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Posted: #66
Thanks again for your hard work w365.
 
When will your NFL writeups be posted ?
 
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Posted: #67
Quote Originally Posted by CappingBros:

Thanks again for your hard work w365.
 
When will your NFL writeups be posted ?

 

saturday night

 
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Posted: #68
UAB is a winner. NCAAF plays now 7-3...all plays/leans favored by less than 3 or dogs of 8 and less now 17-5 for 77%
 
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Posts: 379
Posted: #69
365 - Loaded up on you last week and loaded up again on your picks this week. Got UAB +4 when you deemed it as a PLAY. Much Thanks and Well Done! You rock!!
 
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Posted: #70
Superb work!  With you all the way, had UAB +4
 
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Posted: #71
W365 -   Nice call on UAB.  Looked at your thread for the first time this week and went with most of your PLAYS, including UAB.  Good work and thanks for posting !
 
Prospect
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Posted: #72
Aprreciate the work!  Does Cincy using their 4th QB make them a play rather than a lean. 
 
GL with winners!
 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #73
Marshall is stil just a lean. Some interesting info for this game.
 
 
 
- Cincinnati starting their 4th string QB to run a complexe offense
 
- Cincinnati rushing offense on the road (-QB runs) 83 & 55 yards
 
- Last two weeks vs two rivals from the State of Ohio
 
- Short rest and back to back games on the road
 
- Next up: Big East schedule
 
- Marshall 114-14 @ J.C.Edwards Stadium including 5-0 in last 5
 
- Marshall 6-1 ATS as home dog in last 10 years
 
- Marshall rushing offense at home: 179 & 229 yards
 
- Revenge for Marshall (11-4 home revenge in last 15)
 
- Marshall DC was the Cincinnati HC for 9 years
 
- 3-1 teams @ 3-2 teams: 0-13 and 1-15 ats, 2-15 su
 
- 3-1 teams vs 3-2 teams, line<8 & >-5.5: 3-22 su and 1-24 ats
 
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Posted: #74
thanks for all the work goood luck to you
 
 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #75
Quote Originally Posted by risktaker:

thanks for all the work goood luck to you

 

you are welcome. best of luck this week my man

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