this is as live as it gets
https://www.cbssports.com/collegefootball/gametracker/live/NCAAF_20101113_USM@UCF
I love this mentality. This is what I have ALWAYS thought when people talk about "sharps" and the "public". I don't give a shit what everyone else does... I cap the game and if I misread it I lose. If crazy shit happens like CU giving up 35 in the 4th, I lose. If I totally don't pay attention to some glaring trend, I lose. The "sharps" didn't know what was going to happen. Vegas didn't change the outcome of the game (usually, LOL) because most of the "public" was on a certain side. These people that everyone calls "sharps" are nothing more than gamblers like all of us... they just have a bit (lot) bigger bankroll than us and have to ability to sway a line with a single bet either by the amount they drop or the Vegas book that they bet at seeing one of their "professionals" that they are familiar with unloading on a particular side. I live in Vegas... I go to the casino and I've seen these "sharps" dropping 10k or more on games at the window. Know what they were doing right before they dropped their bet? Sitting in the chair capping lines. Not on the phone with the QB putting in the fix or talking to the coach and finding out how many points they are going to score. I just laugh my ass off at the voodoo that sportsbettors thing is going on when they just flat out miscap a game or when a game takes a TOTALLY unexpected turn. Do fixes and pont shaving happen? Absolutely, but people ALWAYS blame Vegas, the sharps, or the public every time something doesn't go their way. Simple plan... cap your games as you see them and win or lose your bet... it's all you can do. Only other choice is to stay out of the game...
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