before anybody questions my line for the Fresno St game... i posted this play 5 days ago on a different thread, and just needed to remake the thread...
which reminds me... gcnmoo... Fresno will be favored by gametime...
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before anybody questions my line for the Fresno St game... i posted this play 5 days ago on a different thread, and just needed to remake the thread...
which reminds me... gcnmoo... Fresno will be favored by gametime...
in all seriousness, once i saw TRoe confirm the information about Iowa suspensions i pounced... had to go to 3 books to find a place that hadn't pulled this game off the board, and was ecstatic when i did... after placing my bet, i told the ticket writer to tell his boss to pull this game off the board so they don't get hammered!
i don't know if this news has yet become official, but i was already liking Missou anyway... and if it is true, i will put 1 unit back on Iowa at the best possible line, for a possible 4 unit middle... if it is true, Missouri (-1) is money in the bank!
TRoe... if you are ever in Vegas, hit me up and we'll get a drink... i really respect your insight on Iowa games, and especially your ability to remain objective... that kind of info is what this site should be all about...
i know somebody else made the thread, but it was TRoe's post that solidified it...
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in all seriousness, once i saw TRoe confirm the information about Iowa suspensions i pounced... had to go to 3 books to find a place that hadn't pulled this game off the board, and was ecstatic when i did... after placing my bet, i told the ticket writer to tell his boss to pull this game off the board so they don't get hammered!
i don't know if this news has yet become official, but i was already liking Missou anyway... and if it is true, i will put 1 unit back on Iowa at the best possible line, for a possible 4 unit middle... if it is true, Missouri (-1) is money in the bank!
TRoe... if you are ever in Vegas, hit me up and we'll get a drink... i really respect your insight on Iowa games, and especially your ability to remain objective... that kind of info is what this site should be all about...
i know somebody else made the thread, but it was TRoe's post that solidified it...
total combined record vs. all out-of-conference Div I teams: 7-35 total combined record vs. OOC Bowl Teams: 2-27 (both wins by Temple) total combined record vs. OOC teams among MAC Bowl Teams: 3-7 total combined record vs. OOC Bowl Teams among MAC Bowl Teams: 0-4
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how bad is the MAC? these are the results from all OOC games against Div I teams for all MAC schools this year... (Bowl Teams underlined)
total combined record vs. all out-of-conference Div I teams: 7-35 total combined record vs. OOC Bowl Teams: 2-27 (both wins by Temple) total combined record vs. OOC teams among MAC Bowl Teams: 3-7 total combined record vs. OOC Bowl Teams among MAC Bowl Teams: 0-4
before anybody questions my line for the Fresno St game... i posted this play 5 days ago on a different thread, and just needed to remake the thread...
which reminds me... gcnmoo... Fresno will be favored by gametime...
b/c of the coaches leaving. IMO if none of those coaches had left this thing would have opened at 6, and probably closed at 4
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Quote Originally Posted by ApocalypseLater:
before anybody questions my line for the Fresno St game... i posted this play 5 days ago on a different thread, and just needed to remake the thread...
which reminds me... gcnmoo... Fresno will be favored by gametime...
b/c of the coaches leaving. IMO if none of those coaches had left this thing would have opened at 6, and probably closed at 4
probably not going to force a play on Ohio U, but i think that is a pretty decent play in the late game... the exception to the "Fade the MAC" rule is when they play a team from the Sun Belt...
since the status of Boo Jackson is in doubt, the play seems too risky...
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Quote Originally Posted by ApocalypseLater:
BYU (-11) (-120)
Fresno St (+3)
Bowl Season: 1-1
probably not going to force a play on Ohio U, but i think that is a pretty decent play in the late game... the exception to the "Fade the MAC" rule is when they play a team from the Sun Belt...
since the status of Boo Jackson is in doubt, the play seems too risky...
looking deeper into a few of my plays... mostly re-thinking the So Carolina play... the disparity is not as great as i thought...
will still probably keep the Georgia play... on the fence with Utah... gut feeling says it will be closer than people think, and the numbers say a good line would be (-16)... but that's a little close for comfort...
incidentally, if one were to have gone by power ratings alone on the first 3 games, they would be 3-0...
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looking deeper into a few of my plays... mostly re-thinking the So Carolina play... the disparity is not as great as i thought...
will still probably keep the Georgia play... on the fence with Utah... gut feeling says it will be closer than people think, and the numbers say a good line would be (-16)... but that's a little close for comfort...
incidentally, if one were to have gone by power ratings alone on the first 3 games, they would be 3-0...
games that will be added, but hoping for a line move in my favor:
Nevada (probably the play of the bowl season... several people like the other side, and they are going to get buried, i'm sorry to say... that game won't be close)
Oregon
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games that will be added, but hoping for a line move in my favor:
Nevada (probably the play of the bowl season... several people like the other side, and they are going to get buried, i'm sorry to say... that game won't be close)
Lol @ Apoc the amateur. I thought you said Boise State belonged to the NC and they were the best CFB team in the country? Now you claim they suck and bet Utah +17. And then you buy out of your bet looool. That's not a fucking hedge, a hedge is makes money. That's called a buyout, and you lose $ on juice. Gambling 101 for you "old pro ".
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Lol @ Apoc the amateur. I thought you said Boise State belonged to the NC and they were the best CFB team in the country? Now you claim they suck and bet Utah +17. And then you buy out of your bet looool. That's not a fucking hedge, a hedge is makes money. That's called a buyout, and you lose $ on juice. Gambling 101 for you "old pro ".
Lol @ Apoc the amateur. I thought you said Boise State belonged to the NC and they were the best CFB team in the country? Now you claim they suck and bet Utah +17. And then you buy out of your bet looool. That's not a fucking hedge, a hedge is makes money. That's called a buyout, and you lose $ on juice. Gambling 101 for you "old pro ".
i claimed Boise sucked? find me that quote please...
i shot for a middle... i wasn't feeling good about the pick... now i have a chance to get my money back on it... gambling 102, kid!
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Quote Originally Posted by Laroja:
Lol @ Apoc the amateur. I thought you said Boise State belonged to the NC and they were the best CFB team in the country? Now you claim they suck and bet Utah +17. And then you buy out of your bet looool. That's not a fucking hedge, a hedge is makes money. That's called a buyout, and you lose $ on juice. Gambling 101 for you "old pro ".
i claimed Boise sucked? find me that quote please...
i shot for a middle... i wasn't feeling good about the pick... now i have a chance to get my money back on it... gambling 102, kid!
Hey AL!. You got some nice info. and picks..Good job. Good luck! Put my first pick up, after NOT wagering, and reasons. I do mostly angles and systems. Have 3 of them.
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Hey AL!. You got some nice info. and picks..Good job. Good luck! Put my first pick up, after NOT wagering, and reasons. I do mostly angles and systems. Have 3 of them.
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