SEC week three

Overall: 7-4  +2.6 (1-1 on Auburn games)

Week 2: 4-2 +1.8 (4-0 in SEC)

I am going to toot my own horn just a little here because it is rare that I cap a game as well as I did the MSU/Auburn game. From last week's thread:

Let's go ahead and get this one out of the way:

MSU -6.5 vs Auburn

No play. The Tigers looked like shit against USU, plain and simple. However, they found themselves in a tough fight and found a way to win, like last year (USCe< Clemson, Bama...). They know how to win. I am not saying Auburn will win or that they will cover the 6.5. MSU looked good against Booker T. Washington HS. The MSU O and D line will probably give Auburn trouble. If Auburn has not found a D this week and learned how to tackle, it could be ugly. Look for a more "see ball, get ball" approach from the D this week. Can MSU stop the Gus Bus? I expect a high scoring game Saturday. I'll take the over.

Ok, so enough there. Here is what I am thinking at first glace:

LSU vs MSU +3.5
I will wait til this line goes up and probably play MSU

BSU -18.5 vs Toledo

Auburn +3.5 vs Clemson
Small, if any action. I think it may go up

PSU -9.5 vs Temple

Kansas vs GT -15

Wisky -16.5 vs NIU (Soldier Field)

Tennessee +9.5 vs Florida

Michigan St +5 vs ND

Navy vs USCe -18

North Texas +45.5 vs Alabama
BIG game on deck with Arkansas

Troy +24 vs Arkansas
See above

Like I said, these are just leans

Thoughts?

Will you elaborate on "luck", please?

Also, I said "Small, if any action". Are you just coming in here to bash Auburn? If so, please don't waste my time. However, if you have something useful to add, please share. I looked for your plays from last week but couldn't find them.

Not sure why everyone is over looking the fact that LSU has owned this matchup..  15-1 SU and 12-4 ATS vs Miss St since 95'

LSU -3 = Easy money

Main reason is miss st won't be able to establish their good running game against LSU's run defense.

agree with Miss State, Tennessee, Wisky, Navy, and also leaning towards Auburn

Best of luck trackem 

Agree with LSU at -3, however, would you still take them at -4.5?  That is what my local has and I do think they can cover, but man is it dempting to take MSU with that line.

Yeah I jumped on it right when my guy opened it up..  moved to -4.5 so fast..  I still like it.  LSU has owned this team.  I still like it.. but I obviously like it better at -3 :)

I like the Wiscy / NIU overs ..   NIU is solid ATS & is returning 9 starters on offense.  Oregon St was w/ out their top RB last week, which made a huge difference.  Wiscy is very very good & im definately not betting against them (last week they were my 4 unit play.. largest play of the year for me).. I will be looking at the over when the totals come out =)  But, I think wiscy covers that spread 70% of the time (or more)

Love Mich St this week, Im on them as well

I like the North texas play.. I mean Bama wins this game easily (obviously) but 45.5 points..  They basically need to play a perfect game on both sides of the ball.. and im sure the scrubs will be playing in the 2nd half.. I like it for a small amount

You have any idea of what the GT / KU total will be?  Might be looking to jump on overs in this game.. both of these offenses can score

Boise is money as well.. im on them..  BIG

Lets get it this week man!  Best of luck!  Love the plays!

Not sure why everyone is over looking the fact that LSU has owned this matchup..  15-1 SU and 12-4 ATS vs Miss St since 95'

LSU -3 = Easy money

Main reason is miss st won't be able to establish their good running game against LSU's run defense.

Hope your smart enough to know football is played season to season and past years have nothing to do with this season.  That being said LSU's defense should stop their run game but playing in the cow pasture of Starkville is tough when the cow bells are ringing.  Miss State played poorly last week and still should have won the game.  They will be ready for this game because it determines their fate for the West race.  LSU is coming into this game over confident and their young D will give up two big plays costing them this game. 

Dan Mullen will have the dogs ready and Miles will be eating grass. 

State will pull off the upset in the last minute of the game winning by 1

Hawgs4itall2011- Yes, you are very correct.  Football is played season to season.  And, in the past 15 seasons LSU has beat this team all but once.  And has covered the spread 12 times.  But, yes, each season is different.

like

LSU, Auburn

I hope you are right, but I'd like to hear your reasons, besides a new O scheme.

i like the auburn play seems like those boys just find away to win and dabo looks lost at clemson

whisky and north texas as well. Russell Wilson is playing for the heisman and bama has Arky on deck.

Im against ya on MSU but best of luck this week track em

ccbulldog,

You mad, bro?

You did not explain any luck, you explained "bias", or "shitty calls". Refs ever make a bad call to help you win? Thanks for trying to help tsw.

And like I said earlier:

Are you just coming in here to bash Auburn? If so, please don't waste my time. However, if you have something useful to add, please share.

ccbulldog  -   exactly who's fault was it that Mullens had to run across the field to call a timeout?  Why were the State players not calling timeout? Those wasted seconds off the clock could have been prevented, had the players been paying attention.