Nastra - your picks were sick last week. Just started viewing posts over past month, and your detail is real thorough ... and who can argue against the results (knockin on wood as I type). Any stong feelings on today's 2 games. What better way to enjoy a day off from the grind by making a little extra scratch? Holla.
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Nastra - your picks were sick last week. Just started viewing posts over past month, and your detail is real thorough ... and who can argue against the results (knockin on wood as I type). Any stong feelings on today's 2 games. What better way to enjoy a day off from the grind by making a little extra scratch? Holla.
digital D - I locked in on Tenn -6 awhile back, thinking the Vols defense should be improved this year and tough SEC team might be a tough order for Bruins breaking in a new QB and OL
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digital D - I locked in on Tenn -6 awhile back, thinking the Vols defense should be improved this year and tough SEC team might be a tough order for Bruins breaking in a new QB and OL
bigirondawg - you make a good point about UGA nonconference, I could see something like the Troy game happening although that was competitive most of the way (24-20 in the 3rd) and a tougher defense, I'd be surprised if CMU can match scores against that defense although they could back door such as CMU/Purdue 45-22 last year. I kind of throw out the Colorado 14-13 as the GA offense has stepped it up a few notches since then. Hopefully since they took last week off as far as playing starters the dogs will think this is the opener and it is against a bowl team so hopefully may not completely overlook
dapunisher, miamiking, jcm -
acarpio - only have Penn St and GA, no opinion on Oreg or Ark, I try to keep mostly regular wagers and not much on parlays or teasers from a percentage standpoint, otherwise you can go 3-2 on a good week and lose
remaining scores
Oklahoma St 41 Houston 20 - Cowboys may recall 34-25 loss in Houston in 2006, UH breaking in new WRs
Utah 41 UNLV 13 - payback time for 27-0 loss last year in Vegas
Oklahoma 30 Cincinnati 17 - get the sense Cincy will be tougher than expected to completely blow out, losing by more than 20 only once in last 2Ys (30 to Ohio St in 2006). Bearcat defense could be tough enough to slow down the Sooners.
updated week 2
Georgia -23.5 (large)
Texas Tech -8.5 (large)
Tulsa -20 (large)
Nebraska -26
Texas -25
Mississippi +8
UAB +14
Penn St -15.5
Okla St -13
Utah -21 (-120)
Cincinnati +20.5
Time to see if Vols can do better than last year against Cal
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bigirondawg - you make a good point about UGA nonconference, I could see something like the Troy game happening although that was competitive most of the way (24-20 in the 3rd) and a tougher defense, I'd be surprised if CMU can match scores against that defense although they could back door such as CMU/Purdue 45-22 last year. I kind of throw out the Colorado 14-13 as the GA offense has stepped it up a few notches since then. Hopefully since they took last week off as far as playing starters the dogs will think this is the opener and it is against a bowl team so hopefully may not completely overlook
dapunisher, miamiking, jcm -
acarpio - only have Penn St and GA, no opinion on Oreg or Ark, I try to keep mostly regular wagers and not much on parlays or teasers from a percentage standpoint, otherwise you can go 3-2 on a good week and lose
remaining scores
Oklahoma St 41 Houston 20 - Cowboys may recall 34-25 loss in Houston in 2006, UH breaking in new WRs
Utah 41 UNLV 13 - payback time for 27-0 loss last year in Vegas
Oklahoma 30 Cincinnati 17 - get the sense Cincy will be tougher than expected to completely blow out, losing by more than 20 only once in last 2Ys (30 to Ohio St in 2006). Bearcat defense could be tough enough to slow down the Sooners.
updated week 2
Georgia -23.5 (large)
Texas Tech -8.5 (large)
Tulsa -20 (large)
Nebraska -26
Texas -25
Mississippi +8
UAB +14
Penn St -15.5
Okla St -13
Utah -21 (-120)
Cincinnati +20.5
Time to see if Vols can do better than last year against Cal
Also, how about the Vols -4 for the 1st half tonight? Still better to go the full game -7.5 or that 1st half -4? I'm debating on it myself right now...
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Also, how about the Vols -4 for the 1st half tonight? Still better to go the full game -7.5 or that 1st half -4? I'm debating on it myself right now...
lakersfan - what it is man, had a good week, hopefully not due for an adjustment next week although that's usually the ups and downs of a long season. No opinion on Fres St/Rutgers, so threw some loose change on Rutgers under 31.5 team. Tough call on Vols, both sound about the same usually lean towards game unless some strong 1st or 2nd half reason, would think Tenn wins or loses either one. GL this year
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unit, skad -
lakersfan - what it is man, had a good week, hopefully not due for an adjustment next week although that's usually the ups and downs of a long season. No opinion on Fres St/Rutgers, so threw some loose change on Rutgers under 31.5 team. Tough call on Vols, both sound about the same usually lean towards game unless some strong 1st or 2nd half reason, would think Tenn wins or loses either one. GL this year
lakersfan - what it is man, had a good week, hopefully not due for an adjustment next week although that's usually the ups and downs of a long season. No opinion on Fres St/Rutgers, so threw some loose change on Rutgers under 31.5 team. Tough call on Vols, both sound about the same usually lean towards game unless some strong 1st or 2nd half reason, would think Tenn wins or loses either one. GL this year
Sounds good brotha! GL this next week, stay hot!
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Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:
unit, skad -
lakersfan - what it is man, had a good week, hopefully not due for an adjustment next week although that's usually the ups and downs of a long season. No opinion on Fres St/Rutgers, so threw some loose change on Rutgers under 31.5 team. Tough call on Vols, both sound about the same usually lean towards game unless some strong 1st or 2nd half reason, would think Tenn wins or loses either one. GL this year
One of my adages in sports betting is to fade a team the next week after a monumental win or near upset. For example:
2005 TCU upsets Oklahoma. The next week they lose as a 14-point fave to SMU.
2005 Fresno State nearly upsets USC. The next week they lose as a 15-point fave to Nevada.
2004 Northwestern upsets Ohio State. The next week, they don't cover against Indiana.
2007 Kansas State knocks off Texas. The next week, they're favored by 3 against Kansas and lose.
Of course, the opposite happens like Illinois blowing out NW after knocking off OSU.
But it's for this reason I'm taking the points with UNLV: against Michigan, Utah was playing a very inexperienced offense, but UNLV has arguably one of the better offenses in the MWC. And I know UNLV didn't cover against Utah State, but if you look at Utah State, they didn't lose by more than 16 once last year, except against Boise State. I know that's not saying much, but the fact is that Utah State is not the wretched doormat everyone seems to think.
I really like the points with UNLV and also CMU. I know CMU got throttled by Kansas and Clemson last year, but I know my Dawgs. I echo pretty much everything bigirondawg laid out. And I know this always seems like a lame copout when evaluating games, but UGA has a huge matchup with USC-east on the 13th. So if UGA is up 35 in the 3rd quarter, Richt will pretty much throw in the walk-ons. And of course CMU is a team that's built for the backdoor cover.
Mind you, I'm not putting the mortgage (assuming I had one, living here in Los Angeles) on these games, but I feel comfy laying my usual 165 to win 150 bet on both.
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One of my adages in sports betting is to fade a team the next week after a monumental win or near upset. For example:
2005 TCU upsets Oklahoma. The next week they lose as a 14-point fave to SMU.
2005 Fresno State nearly upsets USC. The next week they lose as a 15-point fave to Nevada.
2004 Northwestern upsets Ohio State. The next week, they don't cover against Indiana.
2007 Kansas State knocks off Texas. The next week, they're favored by 3 against Kansas and lose.
Of course, the opposite happens like Illinois blowing out NW after knocking off OSU.
But it's for this reason I'm taking the points with UNLV: against Michigan, Utah was playing a very inexperienced offense, but UNLV has arguably one of the better offenses in the MWC. And I know UNLV didn't cover against Utah State, but if you look at Utah State, they didn't lose by more than 16 once last year, except against Boise State. I know that's not saying much, but the fact is that Utah State is not the wretched doormat everyone seems to think.
I really like the points with UNLV and also CMU. I know CMU got throttled by Kansas and Clemson last year, but I know my Dawgs. I echo pretty much everything bigirondawg laid out. And I know this always seems like a lame copout when evaluating games, but UGA has a huge matchup with USC-east on the 13th. So if UGA is up 35 in the 3rd quarter, Richt will pretty much throw in the walk-ons. And of course CMU is a team that's built for the backdoor cover.
Mind you, I'm not putting the mortgage (assuming I had one, living here in Los Angeles) on these games, but I feel comfy laying my usual 165 to win 150 bet on both.
dude... try using a smaller font and NOT YELLING, acarpio.
cute picture
...nostra, i like Nebraska but TTU seems to easy and i'm interested in Wake Forest despite their problems when the number is a - and not a +. Also like the Tulsa-UNT OVER
good luck
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Quote Originally Posted by bigirondawg:
dude... try using a smaller font and NOT YELLING, acarpio.
cute picture
...nostra, i like Nebraska but TTU seems to easy and i'm interested in Wake Forest despite their problems when the number is a - and not a +. Also like the Tulsa-UNT OVER
finish up week at 10-4 thanks to Tennessee, jesus is it possible that punter could take any longer to get rid of the ball
bigirondawg, cherkokee, ramsfan
mrgambles - goal most years is around 120-90 with any luck
wahoo, pags -
lemonsky-like that letdown angle, my view is Utes were only a 3 pt dog and the better team so not as monumental upset although could affect them some agree. Believe revenge and conference opener keeps Utes giving a good effort and not shy to run it up given the chance. Agree CMU is build for back door, assuming the dawgs will let even let them in the yard (UGA VII guards the back door you know), like UGA second team defense quite a bit if they play hard. Worried about hurricane headed towards Savannah, will reduce or back off play if it's a monsoon in Athens.
gwarner - Nevada best chance is if TT is flat and defense lazy as with 38-35 win over UTEP a couple years ago (noncover)
1974-have not looked at those much yet, do lean towards S Miss, believe game means more to them and Auburn new offense still working out the kinks
bdcover - fo shizzle, hopefully both are ready to play
hopefully we all get some totals to look at soon
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finish up week at 10-4 thanks to Tennessee, jesus is it possible that punter could take any longer to get rid of the ball
bigirondawg, cherkokee, ramsfan
mrgambles - goal most years is around 120-90 with any luck
wahoo, pags -
lemonsky-like that letdown angle, my view is Utes were only a 3 pt dog and the better team so not as monumental upset although could affect them some agree. Believe revenge and conference opener keeps Utes giving a good effort and not shy to run it up given the chance. Agree CMU is build for back door, assuming the dawgs will let even let them in the yard (UGA VII guards the back door you know), like UGA second team defense quite a bit if they play hard. Worried about hurricane headed towards Savannah, will reduce or back off play if it's a monsoon in Athens.
gwarner - Nevada best chance is if TT is flat and defense lazy as with 38-35 win over UTEP a couple years ago (noncover)
1974-have not looked at those much yet, do lean towards S Miss, believe game means more to them and Auburn new offense still working out the kinks
bdcover - fo shizzle, hopefully both are ready to play
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