Well done week 1 Nos!,.... I'm already on Texas Tech, Nebraska and Texas, as well.
Against you with Wake (Ole Miss). May play Oregon State as well (@Penn State) if I can get a bit more. I think this will be a great situational 'perception' play for the Beavers. BOL to you.
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Well done week 1 Nos!,.... I'm already on Texas Tech, Nebraska and Texas, as well.
Against you with Wake (Ole Miss). May play Oregon State as well (@Penn State) if I can get a bit more. I think this will be a great situational 'perception' play for the Beavers. BOL to you.
Nos can you give me your reasoning on Mississippi. I know they looked good against Memphis, but I beleive they are on the road at Wake Forest in week 2. I am leaning Wake -8 at the moment.
Love the Tulsa, Okla state Utah plays bro.
BOL
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Nos can you give me your reasoning on Mississippi. I know they looked good against Memphis, but I beleive they are on the road at Wake Forest in week 2. I am leaning Wake -8 at the moment.
hotroute - BOL this week as well, look forward to checking out your plays
west coast - glad to hear you're on same page on a couple, thought Neb would be out a few lower however still a play for me as well - BOL
ramsfan - yeah I could see differing opinions on Ole Miss/WF, both looked good week 1. I'm thinking Miss can hang most of the way, nothing against WF however like the Rebels new offense and QB play, thin upfront on defense though so WF should do some damage on the ground. Expecting both offenses to play pretty well. GL this week
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hotroute - BOL this week as well, look forward to checking out your plays
west coast - glad to hear you're on same page on a couple, thought Neb would be out a few lower however still a play for me as well - BOL
ramsfan - yeah I could see differing opinions on Ole Miss/WF, both looked good week 1. I'm thinking Miss can hang most of the way, nothing against WF however like the Rebels new offense and QB play, thin upfront on defense though so WF should do some damage on the ground. Expecting both offenses to play pretty well. GL this week
what's up LG - yeah that was just my estimate on what the number would open at based on external power ratings and last weeks results. I thought it might open around 21-22 based on vegasinsider and was disappointed at 26 although still made the cut for regular play.
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what's up LG - yeah that was just my estimate on what the number would open at based on external power ratings and last weeks results. I thought it might open around 21-22 based on vegasinsider and was disappointed at 26 although still made the cut for regular play.
Good luck this week my friend. I like your thoughts on Ole Miss. Good chance for them to winn straight up IMO. I'll keep in touch. Too bad we couldn't meet in person I'd love to learn how you do it all.(lol)
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Good luck this week my friend. I like your thoughts on Ole Miss. Good chance for them to winn straight up IMO. I'll keep in touch. Too bad we couldn't meet in person I'd love to learn how you do it all.(lol)
a day off to watch CFB and look for a couple more plays
Georgia 55 Cent Mich 20 - realize Bulldogs possible look ahead to SC revenger on deck, howvever expect the starters go at least 3 quarters and be somewhat more focused than last week (Moreno 8 carries in that sleepwalk). CMU defense that ranked 111th last year and regularly pummeled out of conference yielding 50+ points per game, probably also won't enjoy the heat or UGA VII patiently waiting for his shot. CMU QB and WR have the ability to amass some points in the 4th, probably not enough to find the back door. Rout.
Texas Tech 48 Nevada 27 - Wolfpack defense does not have the talent or speed to slow down this potent attack, while their own pistol should also do some damage against a sometimes lazy Red Raider defense. Nevada has not done so well when stepping up in class routinely yielding 45+ against the quality out of conference offenses. Expect better TT focus after lackluster effort against EW.
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slo,saint, boom boom, jrsteel -
a day off to watch CFB and look for a couple more plays
Georgia 55 Cent Mich 20 - realize Bulldogs possible look ahead to SC revenger on deck, howvever expect the starters go at least 3 quarters and be somewhat more focused than last week (Moreno 8 carries in that sleepwalk). CMU defense that ranked 111th last year and regularly pummeled out of conference yielding 50+ points per game, probably also won't enjoy the heat or UGA VII patiently waiting for his shot. CMU QB and WR have the ability to amass some points in the 4th, probably not enough to find the back door. Rout.
Texas Tech 48 Nevada 27 - Wolfpack defense does not have the talent or speed to slow down this potent attack, while their own pistol should also do some damage against a sometimes lazy Red Raider defense. Nevada has not done so well when stepping up in class routinely yielding 45+ against the quality out of conference offenses. Expect better TT focus after lackluster effort against EW.
Nebraska 45 San Jose St 10 - Huskers handled this type in similar opener against Nevada last year. SJS in transition at QB playing all 3 in their first game and WR lack the speed to fully exploit suspect Husker lack of pass rush and coverage. SJS defensive line is pretty good however replaces entire LB crew and lock down corner Lowery.
Texas 50 UTEP 17 - UTEP porous defense little chance to contain the Longhorns even in front of home crowd against big opponent. Looking at this matchup as somewhat similar to the Oklahoma-Tulsa last year. Miners will miss hard hitting DB Amy and his 112 tackles this year. Guess we'll find out if Texas is physical enough to handle the potent Miners.
Wake Forest 28 Ole Miss 27 - Rebels new QB and offense should be able to trade scores most of the way. HC Nutt teams have been known to travel pretty well as underdogs. WF likely to do some damage running against a depleted Ole Miss DL. Until recently, Deacons not known as reliable when laying chalk.
Florida Atl 31 UAB 24 - Blazers should be able to move the ball against a suspect Owl defense. FAU inexperienced laying a large number, winning by more than 10 only four times in last 2 years (2 of those against FIU).
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Nebraska 45 San Jose St 10 - Huskers handled this type in similar opener against Nevada last year. SJS in transition at QB playing all 3 in their first game and WR lack the speed to fully exploit suspect Husker lack of pass rush and coverage. SJS defensive line is pretty good however replaces entire LB crew and lock down corner Lowery.
Texas 50 UTEP 17 - UTEP porous defense little chance to contain the Longhorns even in front of home crowd against big opponent. Looking at this matchup as somewhat similar to the Oklahoma-Tulsa last year. Miners will miss hard hitting DB Amy and his 112 tackles this year. Guess we'll find out if Texas is physical enough to handle the potent Miners.
Wake Forest 28 Ole Miss 27 - Rebels new QB and offense should be able to trade scores most of the way. HC Nutt teams have been known to travel pretty well as underdogs. WF likely to do some damage running against a depleted Ole Miss DL. Until recently, Deacons not known as reliable when laying chalk.
Florida Atl 31 UAB 24 - Blazers should be able to move the ball against a suspect Owl defense. FAU inexperienced laying a large number, winning by more than 10 only four times in last 2 years (2 of those against FIU).
Penn St 37 Ore St 13 - PAC 10 chance to make a statement in this on, off a deflating opener against conference opponent. Beavers replacing their front 7 on defense and allowed Stanford RB Gerhart 7.7 ypc. Ore St offense looks pretty good, will find the going much tougher against a quality Penn St defense.
Tulsa 55 No Texas 24 - look for Tulsa high powered offense led by WR Marion 31.3 ypc to name their score against the Mean Green. Golden Hurricane able to handle sun belt ULM on the road last year (35-17). Tulsa won previous 2 matchups (2005-2006) 28-3 and 54-2. Rout.
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upgrading Tulsa -20 to a large play
Penn St 37 Ore St 13 - PAC 10 chance to make a statement in this on, off a deflating opener against conference opponent. Beavers replacing their front 7 on defense and allowed Stanford RB Gerhart 7.7 ypc. Ore St offense looks pretty good, will find the going much tougher against a quality Penn St defense.
Tulsa 55 No Texas 24 - look for Tulsa high powered offense led by WR Marion 31.3 ypc to name their score against the Mean Green. Golden Hurricane able to handle sun belt ULM on the road last year (35-17). Tulsa won previous 2 matchups (2005-2006) 28-3 and 54-2. Rout.
Nice write-ups. Laying the 23-point chalk with Georgia, though? Georgia is notorious for letting good second-tier teams sneak up on them and keep it closer than it should be. The exception is when they play those teams in the first game of the season, like Boise State and Oklahoma State.
Look at how other non-season-opening teams have fared, though, during the Mark Richt era:
2007: Troy - 44-34 - Line 14
2006: Colorado - 14-13 - Line 26.5
2005: UL-Monroe - 44-7 - Line 39.5
2004: Marshall - 13-3 - Line 18.5
2003: Middle Tennessee - 29-10 - Line 33 AND
2003: UAB - 16-13 - Line 30
2001: Houston - 35-7 - Line 33
The only year during Richt's tenure that they won ATS against their weaker non-conference opponent was 2002, when they covered a 27-point number against NM State.
Don't get me wrong, I hope Georgia beats the Chippewas by about 6 TD's. Recent history, though, isn't in our favor.
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Hey Nos.
Nice write-ups. Laying the 23-point chalk with Georgia, though? Georgia is notorious for letting good second-tier teams sneak up on them and keep it closer than it should be. The exception is when they play those teams in the first game of the season, like Boise State and Oklahoma State.
Look at how other non-season-opening teams have fared, though, during the Mark Richt era:
2007: Troy - 44-34 - Line 14
2006: Colorado - 14-13 - Line 26.5
2005: UL-Monroe - 44-7 - Line 39.5
2004: Marshall - 13-3 - Line 18.5
2003: Middle Tennessee - 29-10 - Line 33 AND
2003: UAB - 16-13 - Line 30
2001: Houston - 35-7 - Line 33
The only year during Richt's tenure that they won ATS against their weaker non-conference opponent was 2002, when they covered a 27-point number against NM State.
Don't get me wrong, I hope Georgia beats the Chippewas by about 6 TD's. Recent history, though, isn't in our favor.
Penn St 37 Ore St 13 - PAC 10 chance to make a statement in this on, off a deflating opener against conference opponent. Beavers replacing their front 7 on defense and allowed Stanford RB Gerhart 7.7 ypc. Ore St offense looks pretty good, will find the going much tougher against a quality Penn St defense.
Tulsa 55 No Texas 24 - look for Tulsa high powered offense led by WR Marion 31.3 ypc to name their score against the Mean Green. Golden Hurricane able to handle sun belt ULM on the road last year (35-17). Tulsa won previous 2 matchups (2005-2006) 28-3 and 54-2. Rout.
cd Like em both alot. I
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Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:
upgrading Tulsa -20 to a large play
Penn St 37 Ore St 13 - PAC 10 chance to make a statement in this on, off a deflating opener against conference opponent. Beavers replacing their front 7 on defense and allowed Stanford RB Gerhart 7.7 ypc. Ore St offense looks pretty good, will find the going much tougher against a quality Penn St defense.
Tulsa 55 No Texas 24 - look for Tulsa high powered offense led by WR Marion 31.3 ypc to name their score against the Mean Green. Golden Hurricane able to handle sun belt ULM on the road last year (35-17). Tulsa won previous 2 matchups (2005-2006) 28-3 and 54-2. Rout.
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.....Tenn -6 pending
- GL next week, hopefully we both cash again
300 4 TEAMER LOUARKANSAS=GEORGIA=OREGON=PENN ST. GIVE SOME ADVISE SHOULD I ADD 1 MORE TEAM 2 HIT THE BOOKS BIG?
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