NCAA wk 3

Penn St 9 Rutgers (45)

Megalocks line 8

After Penn St got mauled by Temple and needed all 4Q to beat Buffalo - hard to imagine laying almost DD against anyone - and technically this is a Big 10 game although it does not feel like one....Penn an impressive 122nd in offense and Rutgers is still giving up TDs thru the air as we speak to Wash St....And what would a Rutgers game be without a comical Kyle Flood injury report - yes - Carroo legitimately out - but his process is basically a) put entire team on injury list and then b) add 5 more guys.....Hard to get a read on this one will watch for COVERS legend SCAL and his Rutgers take.

Summary. No.

mega

Nice work mega, keep it rolling buddy

Indiana 1.5 WKU (68.5)

Megalocks line -1

Indiana is 2-0 and don't look now - but if they can beat a decent WK team this week - with Wake after that - they could be a dominating 4-0  with only a couple more wins against Big 10 dung factories to make a bowl game....Offense looks sharp and D did enough last wk esp vs the run - pass D still shaky and that is BAD news facing WK....We will note that WK banged up at RB position missing 2 guys including star Allen out the yr - will miss his running and also had 50+ rec last yr....WK a bit less spicy on the road - QB is basically Tom brady but better at home - on the road - stats wise WK just down a notch - bigger worry is their D horrid.

Summary - lean over. Missed the better number not going to chase but still ok under 69 we think.

mega

thanks brother  GL with your card as well !

NOS

Wisconsin 35 Troy (58)

Megalocks line -30

Spread seems a bit high - but Troy has given up over 500 yds rushing in 2 games and a bunch of TDs...Cannot really defend the pass either - ooooops - feels like Wisconsin can name their score again - 58-0 vs Miami ohio will they do that again? Doubt it Troy does have some legit players and decent QB but gonna stay clear of this one...Sidenote - if you had Wisc season tix you get Miami oh and troy and Hawaii back to back to back not super exciting for fans but I guess slaughters are never bad.

Summary - no leanage.

mega

UNC 9.5 Illinois (64)

Megalocks line 8

Illinois followed the time-tested strategy of firing their HC right before the season started to help propel them to a strong start...so far they are 2-0 but to say they have played nobody is an understatement - but they have played some pretty decent football since the end of last season so we are a bit optimistic they can have a fun season - and we cannot go without mentioning Jihad Ward and WR Geronimooooooooo Allison who has taken on the lead role at WR.....Just do not trust their defense - and UNC moved the ball very well wk one a couple of bonehead mistakes did have well over 400Y vs SC and they are very explosive - 10 pts seems like a lot but our supercomputers see a scenario where they get into the mid-40s or higher so maybe it you like illnois grab the TT over? Not sure we are gonna play this one.

Summary - lean to over. No lean on side.

GL mega

grind

Duke 3.5 Northwestern (48.5)

Megalocks line - 3

Northwestern has done nothing wrong so far - an impressive home win vs Stanford and a 41-0 scrimmage vs E Illinois - they have still not given up a td  and they are getting smart play (who would have thunk it?) from new QB Thorson....A really nice tasty looking dog - a role they often excel at - but it looks as though the OL is pretty beat up and we need to look into it more - injuries are typically overrated but if there is a bunch of starters on the OL then we need to take a closer look....Duke has played two creampuffs but also look good and we have high hopes this yr for QB Sirk who is a do it all type passing and running - D also looks sharp....Duke 16-6 ATS run as home chalk - tough to fade them as well....hmmmm total looks a bit high to us but we are gonna take some additional time to look at this bad boy.

summary. lean under. no lean on side.

mega

Let's finish off the Big10....Then we will once again summarize the picks, the order of write-ups, and will add our leans list. That should assist your viewing pleasure

Virginia Tech -6.5 Purdue (46.5)

Megalocks line 9

Purdue has done nothing wrong so far - outgained Marshall and had a chance to win that game - QB Appleby threw 4 int - and then next game vs Indiana St Bizarro Appleby showed up and threw 4 TD...Purdue just might be a sneaky ATS team this year especially if they can be balanced on offense and move the chains and keep the D off the field....as a home dog they are on a 11-16 L27 ATS run not thrilled about that....Not sure this is the spot for the underdog....We are still very high on the VT D - of course they struggled vs Ohio St but that was to be expected in our opinion - had a tune up game last wk - and the new QB Motley looked pretty good - We see some line value for the Hokies if for no other reason than the QB "injury" might be a positive you guys know how these things work in NCAA who knows?? New guy could give the team some offensive spark....And we saw Brewer throw 15 INT last yr so maybe that is enough for a while?....VT the much better D and laying less than a TD even on the road seems reasonable.

Summary- lean VT. No lean on total.

mega

Let's keep going....as always - there are plenty of other threads in the NCAA forum with good lists of picks so if you don't want a breakdown of thoughts on the game we apologize

sota 24 Kent (46.5)

Megalocks line 21

This line looks a bit high to us....Minnesota not very explosive on offense to say the least and are a bit thin at TE and WR as we speak....yes they only have Ohio on deck but still need to get healthy for the Big 10 grind....Kent lost week 1 52-3 got caught at Illinois with a bunch of jacked up crazies playing the hearts out after the satanic head coach was fired just prior to the season - did you know in that 52-3 game that Kent was only 342-245....they gifted a lot of points and made a lot of mistakes leading to layups....The point is 24 points seems like a lot to us do not think Kent is as bad as teams like Miami Ohio and expect this to be a closer game than people think at least for a while....Problem is Minny D is pretty good and Kent is gonna need help to get more than 7.

Summary - lean Kent. No lean on total. Game screams under but total pretty low.

mega

excellent ! Best of luck this week with your card

Miami 3 Nebraska (58)

Megalocks line 3

This looks like one of the sharpest lines on the board to us; Miami has home field (insert joke here) and revenge - but our beloved Canes showed a bit of a soft underbelly last wk vs the run and FAU who ran for 223Y vs the Canes and while we did not see the game that has us a bit concerned.....Newby running the ball pretty well for Neb and Armstrong equal to or better than Kaaaayaaayaayaa at QB.....Still think the Canes have the edge on the defensive side of the ball - Huskers gave up over 500 to BYU and allowed some passing yards to S Alabama - but this looks like a real tossup to us; The total looks about right we were hoping for something closer to 53/54 to go over but we were obviously mistaken.

Summary- no leanage.

mega

Iowa 5.5 Pitt (47)

Megalocks line 4

Iowa gave Iowa St a full 60 min and pulled away to a deserving win last wk - great call by subscriber and friend of the show ABizzo....Good running game - solid D - efficient QB play....Another team that looks to be a tough out in the big10 and like NW they also miss Ohio St this yr....Their leading rusher probably out for this game but Canzeri has done a nice job...We hope this is not yet another season of the injury bug depleting the RB depth chart.....We do think the line is a bit high tho - and while we remember the old old days when iowa at home was ATS gold the last 3 yrs as HF ATS they are 6-12 or 33% ATS so we just would be careful here....Pitt D improved drastically last week holding Akron to just over 100Y for the entire game - the run game still working even without star RB Conner....They are using 2QBs again this week and frankly - say what you want- but that just might work out ok - Peterman has looked very good the same # of attempts essentially as Voytik but averaging 10 yards per attempt and Voytik under 5 yards/attempt. Pitt revenge a minor angle Iowa did beat them 24-20 last yr but realistically no matter what both these teams gonna fight for it.

Summary - no lean but would consider Pitt on Saturday if somehow this gets to 7.

mega