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    All Forums | College Football

    NCAA Week 1 Ponderings

    «First Previous 12
    Boisestateand8
    FloatinPicks
    Mskeets
    blowoutgm
    Last2thirst
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    Views: 3546
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    «First Previous 12
     
    Boisestateand8
    Boisestateand8
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2026 - 12:46 PM ET #26

    Quote Originally Posted by blowoutgm:

    I really think N Dame spanks Wisky…the first h looks tempting.  Good luck!!

     

    The Irish are loaded for sure and will be looking to take no prisoners this season. Unfortunately bettors will pay a heavy price as the lines will be inflated. BOL brother! Thanks for chiming in. an_cheers

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by blowoutgm:

    I really think N Dame spanks Wisky…the first h looks tempting.  Good luck!!

     

    The Irish are loaded for sure and will be looking to take no prisoners this season. Unfortunately bettors will pay a heavy price as the lines will be inflated. BOL brother! Thanks for chiming in. an_cheers

     
    Boisestateand8
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2026 - 12:57 PM ET #27

    Quote Originally Posted by Mskeets:

    Gonna pass on east Michigan n San Jose.  ..San Jose crushed my parlay …had usc -20.5… but that’s a lot of travel for San Jose … and it’s hard to judge that they crushed usc in second half… I don’t think eastern Michigan played well… I had them… barely covered… my gut says eastern Michigan plays much better so I’m passing this game or playing eastern for a small play.   My 2 cents  appreciate your time n efforts

    I see EMU is down to -3 now. I agree that we'll probably see improvement this week. Last week this line was -4' and no doubt has gone down because of how the Spartans played against USC's backups. Of course those backups are better than EMU's starting unit so there's that. I just think the short week and second straight road game will affect San Jose more than the Eagles who are playing back to back home games. If this line drops below three I might pull the trigger.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Mskeets:

    Gonna pass on east Michigan n San Jose.  ..San Jose crushed my parlay …had usc -20.5… but that’s a lot of travel for San Jose … and it’s hard to judge that they crushed usc in second half… I don’t think eastern Michigan played well… I had them… barely covered… my gut says eastern Michigan plays much better so I’m passing this game or playing eastern for a small play.   My 2 cents  appreciate your time n efforts

    I see EMU is down to -3 now. I agree that we'll probably see improvement this week. Last week this line was -4' and no doubt has gone down because of how the Spartans played against USC's backups. Of course those backups are better than EMU's starting unit so there's that. I just think the short week and second straight road game will affect San Jose more than the Eagles who are playing back to back home games. If this line drops below three I might pull the trigger.

     
    FloatinPicks
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2026 - 3:58 PM ET #28

    Hey Mr. Boise thanks again for the NDSU play.

    Looking at numbers, when i see 23.5 i get scared as a bettor of favorites, because i have lost a lot of money on said number, my logic used to be: oh the favorite is gonna cover because they are this big-name program. the game i am referring to is the USC vs Fresno st game.

    Fresno always has a chip on their shoulder when it comes to this game

    i do not trust the USC defense, and you need defense to cover this number, because it is important to smack a dog on its nose.

    reading up on fresno st offense, looks the same as another state team that wants to beat USC.

    with a 23.5 point spread, If the dog has any kind of bite and the favorite has any kind of weakness on defense, then stay away from the fav.

    USC is a No Play

    Reply

    Hey Mr. Boise thanks again for the NDSU play.

    Looking at numbers, when i see 23.5 i get scared as a bettor of favorites, because i have lost a lot of money on said number, my logic used to be: oh the favorite is gonna cover because they are this big-name program. the game i am referring to is the USC vs Fresno st game.

    Fresno always has a chip on their shoulder when it comes to this game

    i do not trust the USC defense, and you need defense to cover this number, because it is important to smack a dog on its nose.

    reading up on fresno st offense, looks the same as another state team that wants to beat USC.

    with a 23.5 point spread, If the dog has any kind of bite and the favorite has any kind of weakness on defense, then stay away from the fav.

    USC is a No Play

     
    Boisestateand8
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2026 - 5:03 PM ET #29

    @FloatinPicks

     Yeah, I'm not sure there's an advantage of having a game under your belt. Fresno will have the advantage of film study from USC's win over San Jose, plus the Trojans are playing on a short week while the Bulldogs come in fresh. 

    Stanford falls into that same scenario with Miami this Friday. Not that I'm picking a side in either game but it will be interesting to see how these games play out. 

    Glad you hit on North Dakota St. That game was weird with over 70% of the bets on the Bison. Yet it was the BIG money on Jax St. that dropped the line from -10 to -6'. I was leaning NDSt. but the only thing I played was North Carolina. BOL this week. peace_5

    Reply

    @FloatinPicks

     Yeah, I'm not sure there's an advantage of having a game under your belt. Fresno will have the advantage of film study from USC's win over San Jose, plus the Trojans are playing on a short week while the Bulldogs come in fresh. 

    Stanford falls into that same scenario with Miami this Friday. Not that I'm picking a side in either game but it will be interesting to see how these games play out. 

    Glad you hit on North Dakota St. That game was weird with over 70% of the bets on the Bison. Yet it was the BIG money on Jax St. that dropped the line from -10 to -6'. I was leaning NDSt. but the only thing I played was North Carolina. BOL this week. peace_5

     
    FloatinPicks
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2026 - 8:31 PM ET #30

    Im drinking the Oklahoma State Kool-Aid, Revenge game , a True 1, we already saw what Carolina Bill did to TCU

    Reply

    Im drinking the Oklahoma State Kool-Aid, Revenge game , a True 1, we already saw what Carolina Bill did to TCU

     
    Boisestateand8
    Boisestateand8
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2026 - 9:25 PM ET #31

    Quote Originally Posted by FloatinPicks:

    Im drinking the Oklahoma State Kool-Aid, Revenge game , a True 1, we already saw what Carolina Bill did to TCU

    I don't think this game qualifies as a revenge type situation. The Cowboys are a completely new team with a new HC, new coordinators, new assistants and just three starters back. But don't let me talk you out of it if you like it. I'm leaning the other way but I don't like the line move down to -13'.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by FloatinPicks:

    Im drinking the Oklahoma State Kool-Aid, Revenge game , a True 1, we already saw what Carolina Bill did to TCU

    I don't think this game qualifies as a revenge type situation. The Cowboys are a completely new team with a new HC, new coordinators, new assistants and just three starters back. But don't let me talk you out of it if you like it. I'm leaning the other way but I don't like the line move down to -13'.

     
    Mskeets
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2026 - 9:46 PM ET #32

    @Irisheric777

     My gosh I played the older brother about a week ago…. Raiders… his stats were awful…. Rating of 28 ish… yes I lost.   

    Reply

    @Irisheric777

     My gosh I played the older brother about a week ago…. Raiders… his stats were awful…. Rating of 28 ish… yes I lost.   

     
    blowoutgm
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2026 - 10:02 PM ET #33

    @Boisestateand8

     I am definitely expecting that. I want to jump on them this 1st game before things get too out of hand! I'll be digging deep these next 2 days. Good luck!

     

    an_cheers

    Reply

    @Boisestateand8

     I am definitely expecting that. I want to jump on them this 1st game before things get too out of hand! I'll be digging deep these next 2 days. Good luck!

     

    an_cheers

     
    Last2thirst
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    Posted: Sep. 1, 2026 - 11:06 PM ET #34

    Really appreciate the detailed writeups on your first two posts....helps a lot Boisean_clap

     

    GL this week clover

    Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
    Reply

    Really appreciate the detailed writeups on your first two posts....helps a lot Boisean_clap

     

    GL this week clover

     
    lumpy701
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2026 - 12:05 AM ET #35

    Love your writeups. I saw what you said about having a game under the belt may be overrated, but it seems I have also heard/read that many teams have their most improvement between games 1 and 2. I wonder if that will be a factor in SMU v Fla State since it will be the Seminoles second game, but SMU's opener, with the game in Tallahassee.

    Reply

    Love your writeups. I saw what you said about having a game under the belt may be overrated, but it seems I have also heard/read that many teams have their most improvement between games 1 and 2. I wonder if that will be a factor in SMU v Fla State since it will be the Seminoles second game, but SMU's opener, with the game in Tallahassee.

     
    DynastyOne
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2026 - 12:43 AM ET #36

    Thinking bout laying the pts with Oregon. They have a lot of depth this season and I think with raiola as the backup, they will continue to put up more points in garbage time.

    -24.5 or team total 37.5 bth are on my radar against your Boise squad.

     

    l

    Reply

    Thinking bout laying the pts with Oregon. They have a lot of depth this season and I think with raiola as the backup, they will continue to put up more points in garbage time.

    -24.5 or team total 37.5 bth are on my radar against your Boise squad.

     

    l

     
    Boisestateand8
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2026 - 1:36 AM ET #37

    [Quote: Originally Posted by DynastyOne]Thinking bout laying the pts with Oregon. They have a lot of depth this season and I think with raiola as the backup, they will continue to put up more points in garbage time. -24.5 or team total 37.5 bth are on my radar against your Boise squad.   l[/Quote

    I'm not playing the game myself but I'm not too optimistic. QB Maddux Madson is only 5'10" and gets a lot of passes batted down when he's in the pocket. Oregon's D linemen are all at least 6'3", and four of our O linemen are 6'3" or taller. That's why Madsen has to roll out so much. Hard to find passing lanes through the trees. If Dylan Riley and Sire Gaines can get the run game going consistently maybe we can hang, but our defense has to ball out. I'll actually be at the game. A bunch of us are leaving Boise Friday morning. BOL if you play it but I'll be rooting against ya brother! peace_5

    Reply

    [Quote: Originally Posted by DynastyOne]Thinking bout laying the pts with Oregon. They have a lot of depth this season and I think with raiola as the backup, they will continue to put up more points in garbage time. -24.5 or team total 37.5 bth are on my radar against your Boise squad.   l[/Quote

    I'm not playing the game myself but I'm not too optimistic. QB Maddux Madson is only 5'10" and gets a lot of passes batted down when he's in the pocket. Oregon's D linemen are all at least 6'3", and four of our O linemen are 6'3" or taller. That's why Madsen has to roll out so much. Hard to find passing lanes through the trees. If Dylan Riley and Sire Gaines can get the run game going consistently maybe we can hang, but our defense has to ball out. I'll actually be at the game. A bunch of us are leaving Boise Friday morning. BOL if you play it but I'll be rooting against ya brother! peace_5

     
    Boisestateand8
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2026 - 1:09 PM ET #38

    Quote Originally Posted by lumpy701:

    Love your writeups. I saw what you said about having a game under the belt may be overrated, but it seems I have also heard/read that many teams have their most improvement between games 1 and 2. I wonder if that will be a factor in SMU v Fla State since it will be the Seminoles second game, but SMU's opener, with the game in Tallahassee.

    I don't know what to what to make of the Seminoles. Norvell is on shaky ground and they didn't look good last week against New Mexico St. and I'm sold on Mustangs HC Rhett Lashlee. But I've gotta see 'em play this year before I do any investing. BOL peace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by lumpy701:

    Love your writeups. I saw what you said about having a game under the belt may be overrated, but it seems I have also heard/read that many teams have their most improvement between games 1 and 2. I wonder if that will be a factor in SMU v Fla State since it will be the Seminoles second game, but SMU's opener, with the game in Tallahassee.

    I don't know what to what to make of the Seminoles. Norvell is on shaky ground and they didn't look good last week against New Mexico St. and I'm sold on Mustangs HC Rhett Lashlee. But I've gotta see 'em play this year before I do any investing. BOL peace_5

     
    Steam98
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    Posted: Sep. 2, 2026 - 9:02 PM ET #39

    an_cheers

    Reply

    an_cheers

     
     
    Boisestateand8
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    Posted: Sep. 3, 2026 - 12:36 PM ET #40

    Another thing to factor in regarding Miami-Stanford: The 'Canes have four new starters on their offensive line. Doesn't mean they in any lack talent, but sometimes it can take a game or two to develop chemistry. 

    Oklahoma St.-Tulsa is gonna be played in temps around 100°, and you know there's gonna be humidity. Another thing about that game. As good as Eric Morris's North Texas team was last season they weren't great on defense. They allowed 216 rushing yards a game (4.8 YPR) with only 24 QB  sacks. It was pretty much the same story in his two previous years in Denton. I expect Oklahoma St. to be much improved offensively this season, but defense seems to be an afterthought with Morris. In last year's win in Stillwater, which got Mike Gundy fired, Tulsa gained 424 total yards including 205 on the ground (4.8 YPR). The Cowboys are gonna be a fascinating team to watch this year but the jury is still out defensively.

    UNLV-Hawaii - I haven't seen any updates on whether or not C Austin Boyd will play for the Rebels. He had to be helped off the field last week with an ankle injury, which isn't a good sign. Dude weighs 305 pounds, which is a lot of weight to put on a bum ankle.

    Reply

    Another thing to factor in regarding Miami-Stanford: The 'Canes have four new starters on their offensive line. Doesn't mean they in any lack talent, but sometimes it can take a game or two to develop chemistry. 

    Oklahoma St.-Tulsa is gonna be played in temps around 100°, and you know there's gonna be humidity. Another thing about that game. As good as Eric Morris's North Texas team was last season they weren't great on defense. They allowed 216 rushing yards a game (4.8 YPR) with only 24 QB  sacks. It was pretty much the same story in his two previous years in Denton. I expect Oklahoma St. to be much improved offensively this season, but defense seems to be an afterthought with Morris. In last year's win in Stillwater, which got Mike Gundy fired, Tulsa gained 424 total yards including 205 on the ground (4.8 YPR). The Cowboys are gonna be a fascinating team to watch this year but the jury is still out defensively.

    UNLV-Hawaii - I haven't seen any updates on whether or not C Austin Boyd will play for the Rebels. He had to be helped off the field last week with an ankle injury, which isn't a good sign. Dude weighs 305 pounds, which is a lot of weight to put on a bum ankle.

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