Posted:
#26
@Last2thirst
BOL this week!!
Appreciate your efforts!!
L2T Week 5 Plays
Posted:
#28
Community TEASERS....
Before you consider: DON'T!! 
I am down nearly $1000 on teasers that I am fouling out on one of my KEYS and I am using my NCAAB account which I tend to leave profits in from the previous year + my usual stack so profits are draining in that one and I wish to put some of the cash back in.
Gonna do something differently this time. I have selected my ONE KEY and going to go for 1.71 payout on every correct selection instead of 3 way or 4 way plays. HALF U each. If I lose my KEY, I will stop. TEASERS are soooooo seductive so you have to be careful..
I trust from the COMMUNITY HockeyNight's take on the BIG10 and he has Nebraska rated very highly and they are delivering...someone else I respect his take and results, is on Cornhuskers -14
7 pt TEASER KEY HALF U each (return is +$35.50 per correct): NEBRASKA -7.5 with:
-have a look at Terps injury list and how badly they are playing and now 2nd road game in a row after a beatdown!!
-13 guys Questionable/Out/Doubtful
*** Thank you to many of you who posted reasoning in your threads to use a lot of these leans***
1. Iowa +21.5
2. Florida Over 50.5
3. Mississippi St +13
4. Georgia Under 57.5
5. Pitt +10
6. Northwestern +10
7. Under 60.5 UNLV
8. USC -2.5
9. Arizona St +3.5
I like OVER LOUISVILLE 51.5 but would have to add cash .....this empties me from that account and hoping to fill with 7 out of 9 hits i hope or more
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#30
Super impressed with watching Pitt tonight....wow
But NORTHWESTERN.... double wow....they have a shot at a PLAYOFF potentially.....they have to beat IOWA and hope Iowa is still high ranked
NW goes to OREGON .....and after that, if they win, they should be in a playoff position as crazy as that could sound because they would only have OHIO ST to face
If NW loses to Oregon in a squeaker, and they beat Iowa.....might get consideration for 2 LOSS Playoff team slot
Am I dreaming haha? They are fun to watch and Chip Kelly is making a difference with the offense no doubt
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#31
Stylistically, both Louisville and NCSt play in high scoring games ......why is the TOTAL dropping?
Weatherwise, I see 10 mph winds (no factor) + 32% chance of rain
Only thing I can see why bettors are dropping it.... 1st official roadie for Cards but see that NC St piles the points at home!
Now I see it.... Cards have a lot of offense on the injury list
Still...there is enough on both sides for one team to score over 30 which puts this game into a potential OVER....
I will combine with some parlays
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#32
Some other line notables late....
JMAD line dropping
Virginia dropped a pt
Miami dropping overnight and continuiing....night game in Death Valley and Seminoles on deck??
ULMonroe-SAB total > ULM can put up pts and so can SAB ...why only 56.5 as a conference game? Both defenses are avg to poor
Razorbacks can move the ball and TexAM gets some offensive players for Reed to hang his hat on so 50.5 seems low ....
Why is USC line plunging??? Huskies look like shit
Is Aranda a better coach than Dillingham??? - and his team rested and home cooking for almost 2 weeks!!
Arizona getting some steam again....tough homefield to win if Cats are motivated
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#33
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:
Play #3 - Texas St -3.5 x HALF U -SDSU is in disarray with their QB situation it appears.... best QB is 5 TD/5INTs mind you, that is against tougher competition but Texas St can move the ball and put pressure on these SDSU QB's to play catch up and make mistakes..... on a small line, its an acceptible number to go with the better offense vs a very tired San Diego team that played in Toledo one way jet lag and now has to adjust the other way
Play #3 - Texas St -3.5 x HALF U -SDSU is in disarray with their QB situation it appears.... best QB is 5 TD/5INTs mind you, that is against tougher competition but Texas St can move the ball and put pressure on these SDSU QB's to play catch up and make mistakes..... on a small line, its an acceptible number to go with the better offense vs a very tired San Diego team that played in Toledo one way jet lag and now has to adjust the other way
The Aztecs have had a mumps outbreak affecting many players. I think you made a good bet brother! The full game line is now up to -9'!
BOL 
Posted:
#35
Quote Originally Posted by Boisestateand8:
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst: Play #3 - Texas St -3.5 x HALF U -SDSU is in disarray with their QB situation it appears.... best QB is 5 TD/5INTs mind you, that is against tougher competition but Texas St can move the ball and put pressure on these SDSU QB's to play catch up and make mistakes..... on a small line, its an acceptible number to go with the better offense vs a very tired San Diego team that played in Toledo one way jet lag and now has to adjust the other way The Aztecs have had a mumps outbreak affecting many players. I think you made a good bet brother! The full game line is now up to -9'! BOL
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst: Play #3 - Texas St -3.5 x HALF U -SDSU is in disarray with their QB situation it appears.... best QB is 5 TD/5INTs mind you, that is against tougher competition but Texas St can move the ball and put pressure on these SDSU QB's to play catch up and make mistakes..... on a small line, its an acceptible number to go with the better offense vs a very tired San Diego team that played in Toledo one way jet lag and now has to adjust the other way The Aztecs have had a mumps outbreak affecting many players. I think you made a good bet brother! The full game line is now up to -9'! BOL
I did not know that 
I was going to up my bet midweek but said nah ....now I know why I need to continue to read your thread ... 
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#36
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:
Fluff Bothwell now out of Alabama game .....Miss St has no chance to outthrow on this secondary ....betting in-game now 2U Alabama -17.5 @1.86
Fluff Bothwell now out of Alabama game .....Miss St has no chance to outthrow on this secondary ....betting in-game now 2U Alabama -17.5 @1.86
I have split Alabama ML and Alabama Ov60.5 on every parlay almost ....that I made this week (either one) so a 2 U bet loss won't be so bad because these $5-10 parlays pay well and I played over 30 plays ....some that just need to finish with NW+ pts and Pitt ML and + pts paying with some soccer plays midweek
I will get back into posting soccer plays starting in a week or so ....use them for parlays but did not have posting confidence to provide any with first national team playing post world cup ...a lot of times, coaches will promote younger players in key positions or you have brand new coaches running program so you have to watch and be selective
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#37
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:
Time to move on another Total .... UCF with a strong defense and offensive mix that keeps scores low.....can I see Houston scoring 35 - 38 on UCF? Sure, but if they do, I think it comes late and then UCF will give up the fight to match scoring and just run plays to finish the game UCF = 13-16 pts tops Houston = 35 - 38 tops Play #4 - UCF-Houston UNDER 51.5 x HALF U
I think you mean Houston 0-7 points tops, they're such ass they will be lucky to score today Time to move on another Total .... UCF with a strong defense and offensive mix that keeps scores low.....can I see Houston scoring 35 - 38 on UCF? Sure, but if they do, I think it comes late and then UCF will give up the fight to match scoring and just run plays to finish the game UCF = 13-16 pts tops Houston = 35 - 38 tops Play #4 - UCF-Houston UNDER 51.5 x HALF U
Civilizations are like leaves, they change color as they die
Posted:
#38
Quote Originally Posted by OneADayJ:
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst: Time to move on another Total .... UCF with a strong defense and offensive mix that keeps scores low.....can I see Houston scoring 35 - 38 on UCF? Sure, but if they do, I think it comes late and then UCF will give up the fight to match scoring and just run plays to finish the game UCF = 13-16 pts tops Houston = 35 - 38 tops Play #4 - UCF-Houston UNDER 51.5 x HALF UI think you mean Houston 0-7 points tops, they're such ass they will be lucky to score today
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst: Time to move on another Total .... UCF with a strong defense and offensive mix that keeps scores low.....can I see Houston scoring 35 - 38 on UCF? Sure, but if they do, I think it comes late and then UCF will give up the fight to match scoring and just run plays to finish the game UCF = 13-16 pts tops Houston = 35 - 38 tops Play #4 - UCF-Houston UNDER 51.5 x HALF UI think you mean Houston 0-7 points tops, they're such ass they will be lucky to score today
100% ....its looking that way .... loved the UNDER as I stated, the most because it appears UCF is building a rock defense !!
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#39
Early Results and Plays to come....
Play #1 - Navy - Air Force UNDER 46.5 x 1U 
2U Alabama -17.5 @1.86 
Play #2 - New Mexico -22.5 x 1U TBD
Play #4 - UCF-Houston UNDER 51.5 x HALF U
Charging out to a 3 - 0 +3.5 U start
Sooo many good people dropped into this thread and that always helps ....THANK YOU !!!
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#40
TEAMS IN PLAYOFF POSITION AFTER TODAY (Likely Seeding):
1. Texas
2. Georgia
3. Notre Dame
4. Miami
5. Ohio St
6. Alabama
7. Indiana
8. Ole Miss
9. LSU
10. BYU
11. Texas Tech
12. James Madison << don't think they will lose on their schedule so another 12 seed likely
------------------------------------------------------------
Best of the rest - Knocking on the Door
1. Missouri (just wait till they get back star RB!)
2. Utah
3. Oregon
4. Florida
5. Iowa
6. Tennessee
7. Northwestern
8. Houston
9. Mississippi St.
10. SMU
11. Pitt
12. USC
13. UCLA > this team an 2 others undefeated will move up fast if still no losses after Week 7
14. Nebraska
15. Kentucky
16. Oklahoma St.
17. Duke
18. Wake Forest
19. Wisconsin
20. Texas AM
Next wave and mix dependent on late game results > Virginia Tech, Cincy, Arizona, Arizona St, Baylor, Minnesota, Michigan, Florida St, New Mexico, Memphis
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Posted:
#41
Week 5 Results:
5 - 1 (+6U) and HALF U+ gain in Teasers ....results could be higher depending on Texas St result
Play #1 - Navy - Air Force UNDER 46.5 x 1U
2U Alabama -17.5 @1.86
Play #2 - New Mexico -22.5 x 1U
Play #3 - Texas St -3.5 x HALF U don't think it will cover late
Play #4 - UCF-Houston UNDER 51.5 x HALF U
Play #5 HALF U parlay AND 2 Quarter U boosters (Total 1U laid)
MAIN > OVER Florida 57 @1.85 with Over 60.5 Alabama 1.9 +$125 profit
Boost #1 > add Texas St ML @1.3 *** not sure they will win (-$25)
Boost #2 > add Zona ML @ 1.38 *** likely win (up 17 late 3rd Q) +96 profit
+$196 profit in parlays
----------------------------------------
7 pt TEASER KEY HALF U each (return is +$35.50 per correct): NEBRASKA -7.5 with:
1. Iowa +21.5
2. Florida Over 50.5
3. Mississippi St +13 NO
4. Georgia Under 57.5
5. Pitt +10
6. Northwestern +10
7. Under 60.5 UNLV NO
8. USC -2.5
9. Arizona St +3.5 NO
$450 laid > return $513 ($63 profit)
Sooo many good people dropped into this thread and that always helps ....THANK YOU !!!
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
Hot Forum Topics
