Jimmydafreak

Reposting all of today's plays on the current page.

Memphis vs. Auburn -2.5 (Hook)

NC State vs. Mississippi State -4 (Hook)

** Will also be looking to make a 2nd half play on the Bulldogs

Louisville -2.5 (Buying a point) vs. Texas A&M

Louisville vs. Texas A&M UNDER 24.5 (1st Half)

Wisconsin vs. USC UNDER 24.5 (1st Half)

Memphis vs. Auburn UNDER 29.5 (2nd Half)

 

JDF - I see you're taking the 1H under in the USC game 24.5...I've watched Whisky play a few times this year and they're not good on either side of the ball.  I have a feeling SC destroys them and starts that early. 

But, I'm just Bazookajoe and you're JDF!!!!!!!!!!!

freak i hope malzonne pulls it together  ... Get white out and run wildcat rest of day.....

Estes - I agree!  Auburn 2H with him in there could be ugly.  And Memphis is starting to show up on D.  I already have game over (ugh!) and Memphis +3 (even)....Staying put.

I'm not a big ratings guy, but Wisconsin's defense does rate #1 in the nation in points allowed at 13.1 points per game.  And yes, their offense is atrocious, thus the UNDER makes a lot of sense IMO.  Obviously if you don't like it, lay off.

 

The story of the 1st half is 3 turnovers (interceptions) to zero.  If Auburn protects the football in the second half, they should win.

 

I'm with Jimmy on the Wisky total

  Weather Alert in the NC State/Mississippi State game!!!

Flash flood warnings, and a 100% chance of rain.

I would think the inclement weather would favor the Bulldogs.

 

thanks Jimmy, your insights are appreciated. I am already on Mississippi St.

WM and JDF - understood, although I too am not a big ratings guy.  But, you do have to give credit where credit is due and yes, Whisky's D does rank rather high on overall D.  And, I'm not complaining either, as I certainly have benefited from JDF's picks!  I don't know where Utah was ranked defensively when they played USC, however for some reason I see a lot in that game in this one is all.   

No one has a crystal ball...

JDF - you taking under 60 due to weather? 

Talk to me Jimmy. Clemson / OU - 64 points. Over or under? I am worried that the line moved down to 63. Why?? Shouldn't it be like 75?

If the ACC is soft shouldn't OU be able to put up 40+? And as for the Big 12.. It certainly won't be OU to stop Clemson to score at least in the upper 20's.

What am I missing?

First of all, I know what I said, but we must be careful when casting aspersions conference wide.  While I don't think we can dismiss what happened in the UNC/Baylor game, I think Clemson has been strong at the point of attack.  That's one of the reasons they are where they are.

That said, the question before us is how do they match up with Oklahoma.  Both teams have QBs that have the athleticism and play-making ability to nullify a defense that is controlling the line of scrimmage.

The fan in me would love to see a Alabama/Clemson finale, but the bettor in me has to give the advantage to Oklahoma, and part of that is based upon Baylor's complete dominance over UNC in the trenches yesterday.

I really don't have a strong opinion on the total.  I do think both defenses will prevent the offenses from going completely wild.  At 63 I would lean OVER, but I could easily see a 31-28 type of score.

While I don't completely dismiss line moves, I mostly ignore them when handicapping games.  If I'm confident in a play (like Alabama), line moves will not sway my opinion.  If you liked OVER 64, don't let the line move sway you off of taking OVER 63.

 

While I don't think UNDER 31 (1st Half) would be a bad play, I'm not playing it.  Don't overreact to weather news.  Football games usually last over three hours.  Just because It's raining at the start of the game doesn't mean the sun won't be shining in the 4th quarter.

 

  Will be adding Mississippi State 2nd half.  Will post when I have a line.

 

Adding:

Mississippi State -3 (2nd Half)

 

What about the 2nd half Under 30.5? These NC State scores were a joke

I see your on UL. What's your thoughts on why UL?

Thanks for the plays and analysis this season Jimmy! I appreciate your straightforward nature on the madness that is Covers.  Roll tide brotha 

Jimmy,I've always found an edge when betting 2games from the same 2 different conferences.U can absolutely get edges by watching Baylor/NCar for Okla/Clemson..I think Oklahoma going beat Clemson soundly..I like Dabo,but I'd like to just hear Baby Huey STFU.

I think this is a really difficult assignment for inexperienced sophomore QB Jake Hubenak.  How much of TAMU's offense will he be able run tonight?  I think Louisville's ball-hawking defense will make life very miserable for Hubenak tonight.

I think TAMU's defense will keep them in the game, but I expect Louisville to prevail in the end.

 

 great pick! i has miss st 1h.2h.game and 3 in-play bets.

Your bookie hates you!!!

 

Who is Baby Huey?