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    All Forums | College Football

    Jimmydafreak

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    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Dec. 29, 2015 - 11:30 PM ET #326

    Quote Originally Posted by HERMES:


    No question Oklahoma has faced tougher offenses than Clemson. I personally like the Sooners myself more complete battle tested team in my opinion. 

    I agree with you.  I think the Baylor game convinced me to take Oklahoma.  North Carolina is softer than a baby's azz.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by HERMES:


    No question Oklahoma has faced tougher offenses than Clemson. I personally like the Sooners myself more complete battle tested team in my opinion. 

    I agree with you.  I think the Baylor game convinced me to take Oklahoma.  North Carolina is softer than a baby's azz.

     

     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 12:00 AM ET #327

    Before the line moves against me . . .

    Adding:

    Oklahoma -2.5 (Buying a point) vs. Clemson

     

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    Before the line moves against me . . .

    Adding:

    Oklahoma -2.5 (Buying a point) vs. Clemson

     

     
    boomersooner18
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 12:09 AM ET #328

    It moved to 4 with the announcement of the suspensions, mainly the Kicker.
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    It moved to 4 with the announcement of the suspensions, mainly the Kicker.
     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 12:39 AM ET #329

    Really kicking myself for not attacking the LSU team total today.

     

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    Really kicking myself for not attacking the LSU team total today.

     

     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 12:42 AM ET #330

    Quote Originally Posted by boomersooner18:

    It moved to 4 with the announcement of the suspensions, mainly the Kicker.

    My book still showing -3.5.  I don't expect it to stay there though.

     

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by boomersooner18:

    It moved to 4 with the announcement of the suspensions, mainly the Kicker.

    My book still showing -3.5.  I don't expect it to stay there though.

     

     

     
    MoopyWilliams
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 1:00 AM ET #331

    Yep^
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    Yep^
     
    HammersSpreads
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 1:36 AM ET #332

    Solid work as always jimmy. You have any thoughts/plays on your Bama Boys?
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    Solid work as always jimmy. You have any thoughts/plays on your Bama Boys?
     
    1bajalife
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 1:44 AM ET #333

    Great job Jimmy! 
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    Great job Jimmy! 
     
    m0rtgageguy
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 2:32 AM ET #334

    Jimmy: Oklahoma / Clemson TOTALS, what's your opinion? And what are the suspensions?

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    Jimmy: Oklahoma / Clemson TOTALS, what's your opinion? And what are the suspensions?

     
    warcameagle56
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 3:29 AM ET #335

    LSU was my biggest play of 2015.….TT played better than I thought.I thought Gibbs was gonna get pom poms on the sideline..Gus has to win tmrw...6-7? Auburn has gonna have to play their best game to win tmrw...Never seen Auburn lose 3 straight Bowls.I don't think it happens tmrw.
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    LSU was my biggest play of 2015.….TT played better than I thought.I thought Gibbs was gonna get pom poms on the sideline..Gus has to win tmrw...6-7? Auburn has gonna have to play their best game to win tmrw...Never seen Auburn lose 3 straight Bowls.I don't think it happens tmrw.
     
    warcameagle56
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 3:31 AM ET #336

    Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

    Quote Originally Posted by incognegro:

    Can we get a write-up this week with your boys vs. LSU?  Always love your insight in games especially in regards to Bama.  

    I have considered giving my thoughts on the game, but there really isn't much mystery in this match-up.  As always, my top play in this matchup is the UNDER.  The number I see right now is 48, which I think is a bargain.  Because this is a game with OT potential, I would prefer to play the 1st half UNDER versus the game UNDER, but both are very strong plays.
    As far as the side is concerned, I view this game as a toss up, and if you're inclined to bet a toss up game, ALWAYS take the points.  Toss up games, however, usually have lines of around 3.  I'm seeing 6.5 right now, so I'd either buy the hook and roll with LSU +7, and/or play LSU on the ML.
    As gamblers we have to seek out value, and all the value in this game is on the LSU side.  As has been the case with Alabama virtually all season, the oddsmakers have sucked all the value out of playing the Alabama side.
    My play is UNDER whatever total the oddsmakers throw out there.  At the current number of 48, which 3-5 points higher than what I expected, I would consider that a Best Bet.
    ..A lot of great cappers played U ...At the end of the day we are all trying to win that 4% + ..
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    Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

    Quote Originally Posted by incognegro:

    Can we get a write-up this week with your boys vs. LSU?  Always love your insight in games especially in regards to Bama.  

    I have considered giving my thoughts on the game, but there really isn't much mystery in this match-up.  As always, my top play in this matchup is the UNDER.  The number I see right now is 48, which I think is a bargain.  Because this is a game with OT potential, I would prefer to play the 1st half UNDER versus the game UNDER, but both are very strong plays.
    As far as the side is concerned, I view this game as a toss up, and if you're inclined to bet a toss up game, ALWAYS take the points.  Toss up games, however, usually have lines of around 3.  I'm seeing 6.5 right now, so I'd either buy the hook and roll with LSU +7, and/or play LSU on the ML.
    As gamblers we have to seek out value, and all the value in this game is on the LSU side.  As has been the case with Alabama virtually all season, the oddsmakers have sucked all the value out of playing the Alabama side.
    My play is UNDER whatever total the oddsmakers throw out there.  At the current number of 48, which 3-5 points higher than what I expected, I would consider that a Best Bet.
    ..A lot of great cappers played U ...At the end of the day we are all trying to win that 4% + ..
     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 10:46 AM ET #337

    Quote Originally Posted by HammersSpreads:

    Solid work as always jimmy. You have any thoughts/plays on your Bama Boys?

      Woodshed alert!!!

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by HammersSpreads:

    Solid work as always jimmy. You have any thoughts/plays on your Bama Boys?

      Woodshed alert!!!

     

     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 11:00 AM ET #338

    Quote Originally Posted by warcameagle56:

    LSU was my biggest play of 2015.….TT played better than I thought.I thought Gibbs was gonna get pom poms on the sideline..Gus has to win tmrw...6-7? Auburn has gonna have to play their best game to win tmrw...Never seen Auburn lose 3 straight Bowls.I don't think it happens tmrw.

    I agree with you 100% WCE.  I think this is a MUST WIN game for Guz Malzahn and Auburn, and I think Auburn will find a way to do just that.  I do, however, think this will be a competitive game so if I were to bet a side, I would be compelled to take the 5 points.

    I like OVER 64 in this game as well, but the weather has scared me off of the play.  I'm in the southern part of the state, and we're experiencing torrential downpours at the moment.  This is suppose to hit the Birmingham area shortly.

    I have given this game as much though as any bowl game, and I have decided to lay off of it completely.  I'll take a peek at the 2nd half lines to see if there is anything that intrigues me.

    Best of luck with whatever you decide to play in this game, and best of luck to YOUR Tigers today.

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    Quote Originally Posted by warcameagle56:

    LSU was my biggest play of 2015.….TT played better than I thought.I thought Gibbs was gonna get pom poms on the sideline..Gus has to win tmrw...6-7? Auburn has gonna have to play their best game to win tmrw...Never seen Auburn lose 3 straight Bowls.I don't think it happens tmrw.

    I agree with you 100% WCE.  I think this is a MUST WIN game for Guz Malzahn and Auburn, and I think Auburn will find a way to do just that.  I do, however, think this will be a competitive game so if I were to bet a side, I would be compelled to take the 5 points.

    I like OVER 64 in this game as well, but the weather has scared me off of the play.  I'm in the southern part of the state, and we're experiencing torrential downpours at the moment.  This is suppose to hit the Birmingham area shortly.

    I have given this game as much though as any bowl game, and I have decided to lay off of it completely.  I'll take a peek at the 2nd half lines to see if there is anything that intrigues me.

    Best of luck with whatever you decide to play in this game, and best of luck to YOUR Tigers today.

     
    blowoutgm
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 11:08 AM ET #339

    I am all over the Sooners myself Jimmy- even before the announcements- I have 1 unit at -4 and 1 more at -3.5

    good luck!!

    And of course I have 2 more on Bama -9.5

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    I am all over the Sooners myself Jimmy- even before the announcements- I have 1 unit at -4 and 1 more at -3.5

    good luck!!

    And of course I have 2 more on Bama -9.5

     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 11:12 AM ET #340

    Quote Originally Posted by warcameagle56:

    My play is UNDER whatever total the oddsmakers throw out there.  At the current number of 48, which 3-5 points higher than what I expected, I would consider that a Best Bet...A lot of great cappers played U ...At the end of the day we are all trying to win that 4% + ..

    I like the Alabama side the best in this game.  I honestly think Alabama is going to beat the Spartans VERY convincingly in this game, with the emphasis being on the word "very."

    My favorite plays in this game in order are:

    Alabama minus whatever, Michigan State team total UNDER whatever and, lastly, the game UNDER.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by warcameagle56:

    My play is UNDER whatever total the oddsmakers throw out there.  At the current number of 48, which 3-5 points higher than what I expected, I would consider that a Best Bet...A lot of great cappers played U ...At the end of the day we are all trying to win that 4% + ..

    I like the Alabama side the best in this game.  I honestly think Alabama is going to beat the Spartans VERY convincingly in this game, with the emphasis being on the word "very."

    My favorite plays in this game in order are:

    Alabama minus whatever, Michigan State team total UNDER whatever and, lastly, the game UNDER.

     

     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 11:28 AM ET #341

    I made a small play on North Carolina yesterday because I didn't have much confidence in Chris Johnson's ability to throw the football.  Well, I was right about that.  He ended up completing 7 passes on 12 attempts for 82 yards.  What I didn't count on was that Baylor would have destroyed North Carolina had they not thrown the ball one time.  That is because Baylor rushed 84 times for a staggering 645 yards.  Not only is this indicative of how soft North Carolina is, but given that North Carolina's only conference loss was to Clemson in the ACC Championship Game, it is also indicative of how soft the ACC Conference is overall this season.  Thus, I will definitely be fading NC State today, and Clemson tomorrow.

    I missed the LSU 2nd half bet yesterday, and that is a bet I definitely should not have missed given my knowledge that LSU's physicality would eventually wear down Texas Tech in the trenches on both sides of the ball.  I won't miss that trick again today.  I will be on any reasonable Mississippi State 2nd half bet today.

     

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    I made a small play on North Carolina yesterday because I didn't have much confidence in Chris Johnson's ability to throw the football.  Well, I was right about that.  He ended up completing 7 passes on 12 attempts for 82 yards.  What I didn't count on was that Baylor would have destroyed North Carolina had they not thrown the ball one time.  That is because Baylor rushed 84 times for a staggering 645 yards.  Not only is this indicative of how soft North Carolina is, but given that North Carolina's only conference loss was to Clemson in the ACC Championship Game, it is also indicative of how soft the ACC Conference is overall this season.  Thus, I will definitely be fading NC State today, and Clemson tomorrow.

    I missed the LSU 2nd half bet yesterday, and that is a bet I definitely should not have missed given my knowledge that LSU's physicality would eventually wear down Texas Tech in the trenches on both sides of the ball.  I won't miss that trick again today.  I will be on any reasonable Mississippi State 2nd half bet today.

     

     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 11:42 AM ET #342

    My plays so far today:

    With the line dropping 2 points in the Memphis/Auburn game in the last hour, I will now pull the trigger on Auburn.

    Memphis vs. Auburn -2.5 (Hook)

    NC State vs. Mississippi State -4 (Hook)

    ** Will also be looking to make a 2nd half play on the Bulldogs

    Louisville -2.5 (Buying a point) vs. Texas A&M

    I will add some total plays shortly.

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    My plays so far today:

    With the line dropping 2 points in the Memphis/Auburn game in the last hour, I will now pull the trigger on Auburn.

    Memphis vs. Auburn -2.5 (Hook)

    NC State vs. Mississippi State -4 (Hook)

    ** Will also be looking to make a 2nd half play on the Bulldogs

    Louisville -2.5 (Buying a point) vs. Texas A&M

    I will add some total plays shortly.

     
    GoCards914
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 11:42 AM ET #343

    Any plays for today??
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    Any plays for today??
     
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 12:20 PM ET #344

    Quote Originally Posted by GoCards914:

    Any plays for today??

    Yes, the post right above yours.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by GoCards914:

    Any plays for today??

    Yes, the post right above yours.

     

     
    jimmydafreak
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 12:28 PM ET #345

    Adding:

    Louisville vs. Texas A&M UNDER 24.5 (1st Half)

    Wisconsin vs. USC UNDER 24.5 (1st Half)

     

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    Adding:

    Louisville vs. Texas A&M UNDER 24.5 (1st Half)

    Wisconsin vs. USC UNDER 24.5 (1st Half)

     

     
    GoCards914
    GoCards914
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    Posts: 174
    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 12:32 PM ET #346

    Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

    Yes, the post right above yours.

     


    Saw it, you posted a few seconds before I posted lol BOL Jimmy.
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    Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

    Yes, the post right above yours.

     


    Saw it, you posted a few seconds before I posted lol BOL Jimmy.
     
    jimmydafreak
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 12:34 PM ET #347

    Quote Originally Posted by blowoutgm:

    I am all over the Sooners myself Jimmy- even before the announcements- I have 1 unit at -4 and 1 more at -3.5

    good luck!!

    And of course I have 2 more on Bama -9.5

    I was leaning Sooners the whole way, but the Baylor game and the suspensions convinced me to pull the trigger posthaste.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by blowoutgm:

    I am all over the Sooners myself Jimmy- even before the announcements- I have 1 unit at -4 and 1 more at -3.5

    good luck!!

    And of course I have 2 more on Bama -9.5

    I was leaning Sooners the whole way, but the Baylor game and the suspensions convinced me to pull the trigger posthaste.

     

     
    Rambler882
    Rambler882
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    Joined: Sep, 2012
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 1:00 PM ET #348

    Hey Jimmy,

    I was hoping you could go more in-depth into the MSST pick.  I leaned them for weeks now but the line move from 7 to 5 crossing key numbers with nearly 80% of the money on them has caused pause on my side.

    I try to ignore steam and public percentages.

    I also just heard 100% chance of rain for this game as well.  Given both offenses have fantastic QBs (I was already on the over) but now curious your thoughts on how you think the rain impacts points.

    Any comments would be great - thanks!
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    Hey Jimmy,

    I was hoping you could go more in-depth into the MSST pick.  I leaned them for weeks now but the line move from 7 to 5 crossing key numbers with nearly 80% of the money on them has caused pause on my side.

    I try to ignore steam and public percentages.

    I also just heard 100% chance of rain for this game as well.  Given both offenses have fantastic QBs (I was already on the over) but now curious your thoughts on how you think the rain impacts points.

    Any comments would be great - thanks!
     
    jimmydafreak
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 1:29 PM ET #349

    Quote Originally Posted by Rambler882:

    Hey Jimmy,

    I was hoping you could go more in-depth into the MSST pick.  I leaned them for weeks now but the line move from 7 to 5 crossing key numbers with nearly 80% of the money on them has caused pause on my side.

    I try to ignore steam and public percentages.

    I also just heard 100% chance of rain for this game as well.  Given both offenses have fantastic QBs (I was already on the over) but now curious your thoughts on how you think the rain impacts points.

    Any comments would be great - thanks!

    NC State will get absolutely obliterated in the trenches.  Take Mississippi State at every opportunity - 1st half, 2nd half and game.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by Rambler882:

    Hey Jimmy,

    I was hoping you could go more in-depth into the MSST pick.  I leaned them for weeks now but the line move from 7 to 5 crossing key numbers with nearly 80% of the money on them has caused pause on my side.

    I try to ignore steam and public percentages.

    I also just heard 100% chance of rain for this game as well.  Given both offenses have fantastic QBs (I was already on the over) but now curious your thoughts on how you think the rain impacts points.

    Any comments would be great - thanks!

    NC State will get absolutely obliterated in the trenches.  Take Mississippi State at every opportunity - 1st half, 2nd half and game.

     

     
     
    jimmydafreak
    jimmydafreak
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    Posted: Dec. 30, 2015 - 1:33 PM ET #350

    Adding:

    Memphis vs. Auburn UNDER 29.5 (2nd Half)

    I also like Auburn -2.5 (2nd Half), but I already have that bet, so I'll lay off.

    Auburn is dominating in the trenches, and if they can protect the football the 2nd half, they'll win.

     

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    Adding:

    Memphis vs. Auburn UNDER 29.5 (2nd Half)

    I also like Auburn -2.5 (2nd Half), but I already have that bet, so I'll lay off.

    Auburn is dominating in the trenches, and if they can protect the football the 2nd half, they'll win.

     

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