nc1capper - definitely there are different equally good ways to go about things, whatever works for each person is key, lean under as well - BOL this year buddy
whodey - may have to check that out, haven't played in several years - sounds like a good fix for a few weeks
would think there should be some LVSC unofficial numbers next week
Nos what books are you using these days..
Da Punishner
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Quote Originally Posted by nostradamus12:
nc1capper - definitely there are different equally good ways to go about things, whatever works for each person is key, lean under as well - BOL this year buddy
whodey - may have to check that out, haven't played in several years - sounds like a good fix for a few weeks
would think there should be some LVSC unofficial numbers next week
agree with most of those points bigdaddy such as most touts being no better than average handicappers, the top 10 CFB covers cappers would destroy most touts long term
- agree straight wagers are the way to go with 99-100% of bankroll however if occasional two team parlay (equivalent to about -115 juice) for small fraction of unit or a prop at -115 is not the end of the world, even props are beatable if selective - the bigger issue for most is getting anywhere near 55% long term - one thing for sure - there are many more people who think of themselves around 55% than actually are
- disagree than long term most touts and general public ends up between 45-55 - most never get close to 55 long term (or 45 for tha matter) more likely 49-51 - again talking long term 10 yrs+ - regression to the mean with the mean being 50/50 (i.e. flipping coin)
- another factor is that if someone or some group is hitting a good percentage however cannot do so 'blind' without consulting others or reading covers then 'their' record is just a collection or consensus of others thoughts and blind would be 50%
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agree with most of those points bigdaddy such as most touts being no better than average handicappers, the top 10 CFB covers cappers would destroy most touts long term
- agree straight wagers are the way to go with 99-100% of bankroll however if occasional two team parlay (equivalent to about -115 juice) for small fraction of unit or a prop at -115 is not the end of the world, even props are beatable if selective - the bigger issue for most is getting anywhere near 55% long term - one thing for sure - there are many more people who think of themselves around 55% than actually are
- disagree than long term most touts and general public ends up between 45-55 - most never get close to 55 long term (or 45 for tha matter) more likely 49-51 - again talking long term 10 yrs+ - regression to the mean with the mean being 50/50 (i.e. flipping coin)
- another factor is that if someone or some group is hitting a good percentage however cannot do so 'blind' without consulting others or reading covers then 'their' record is just a collection or consensus of others thoughts and blind would be 50%
not sure who those guys are or track record, if they are good 60% is possible, many services are no better than people on the street - might do just as well or better if using manifesto's consensus picks on covers at no charge
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not sure who those guys are or track record, if they are good 60% is possible, many services are no better than people on the street - might do just as well or better if using manifesto's consensus picks on covers at no charge
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