🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets

WINNER!  

Great job Fubah!

@fubah2  hope your watching the nd/mia game 

Yes.  After 2 possessions each, no score. 

BIG BREAK for Miami at the ND 24 (fumble rec)

then BIG BREAK for ND on the blown FG attempt...

I saw ND +6.5 live but couldn’t catch it… 

2ndQ, under 11 mins left in 1H... ND ball...LIVE BET: 1H under 17.5 -140  *BB

2Q, under 8 mins left...ND ball...LIVE BET: Game UNDER 45.5 -250  alt-total@B365 *BB

I am holding off on ND for now....

lmao just thought if games go ot .... hope to ck the current rules ..but got a get some food.. good luck

PUSSYGALORE333   .. messed up posted twice sort of so here ya go      WOODS  i saw +7.5 but juice like ? -136 .. had to fill this spot with something different..

 Yeah, but are we having fun yet? 

 Bummer....FG attempt only woulda been a win, but they got a late TD.

That puts my BB game total at jeopardy as well 

fubah2   Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: 2ndQ, under 11 mins left in 1H... ND ball...LIVE BET: 1H under 17.5 -140  *BB  Bummer....FG attempt only woulda been a win, but they got a late TD.   sure looked like a winner.. didn't miss your live post by much but the line was 16-  .......... so that saved me.... hope you get the game under...  

All scores count of course.... but, that said, the last 2 TDs scored were wildly fortunate to happen.  However if it appears the bad luck will continue with more unexpected scoring I will be looking to hedge some to save a unit or two if possible.

LIVE hedge BET: less than 3 mins left in 3Q...game OVER 41.5 -250 *BB alt-total @B365

Undeniably, the SEMINOLES were, so far, including tonight, the best performance this weekend and better than EVERY top rated team

ND just scored to make it  21 - 14... 

Technically I guess I have a longshot at a middle on my game totals if the rest of the 4Q is at least 7 pts but no more than 10, for +2.0 units!

Alas, I'm usually just not that fortunate,  so I expect to split my hedged totals for a -1.50u LOSS...

Look at upcoming matchups, per my preseason ratings. (these are not bets, just analysis)
You decide if there is value within...

I use 7 main tiers for RATING team strength among all 136 FBS teams:

          G+       G        M+        M        M-        W       W- 

 Whereby  G = GOOD......... M = Mediocre/Middlin ........W = Weak

Labor Day:

G /M+......Horny Frogs -3.5

M+/M.......Tar Heels  +3.5

 Line is about right where it should be based on my TIER structure ratings.  They are about a FULL tier apart.  According to the stats I keep, this equates (roughly, not exact!) to about a -6 pts edge to TCU on a neutral field.  However, since this is in Chapel Hill, TCU yields 3 pts (approx) to the NC home field advantage.....so the line should be around -3 give or take a half pt either way.

Could easily make a case for either team to cover this spread. 

For me, without stats/performance results to support my initial inclination, any pick would amount to a "guess" at this point in the season .....meaning, hello coin-flip!  .... so this is a "watch & wait" for me, being ready for an advantageous bet on either team or props in LIVE PLAY if and only if it has value and a good chance for success (no guessing and hoping like an addicted gambler)

As always in sports, almost anything can happen. The final score may well be a blow out for either team or a nail-biter. 

Injuries could blow up the best pregame analysis in all sports!

Fortuitous TURNOVERS - particularly in key spots on the field - or big punt/kick returns! - commonly flip game covers.

i took tcu -170 ml  

gl tonight fubah  

@KellyM_1964

  OK. BoL 

@fubah2

 On the Frogs as well...

Ribbit Ribbit

Wow!  That drive for TD looked genuinely EASY! 

Pick 6 looked easy too   

Too much speed and skill….Frogs could contend for Big 12 if defense continues to play this well.. 

enjoy 2nd half buddy 

Yep.  Only mid 3Q and they lead 41 - 7 ......it's an unexpected  rout (off a -3.5 line!)

....and the stands in Chapel Hill are emptying quickly....