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FREAK PICS!!! (Week 9)

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Posted: #26
What do you all think about under 19 for the 1st half? I already have AU locked in at +3.5 with the under 39..
 
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Posted: #27
Jimmy some very good points i am changing over to auburn. Bol
 
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Posted: #28
Read this article on the ECU game before you pull the trigger on WVU tonight.  Yea, Pat White & Noel Devine were healthy for this game.
 
 
FREAK OUT!!!
 
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Posted: #31
Would you still play on Bama even at -7? That is what my local guy has.  Im kinda gunshy on 7
 
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Posted: #32
Pags - Thanks buddy!!!  to you!!!
 
Trichome - I couldn't agree more.  I have to laugh when someone tells me what a tough out-of-conference venue an SEC team has to play in when the SEC team plays at much tougher SEC venues on a weekly basis.
 
Shambler - I've actually never played a team-total before, but if West Virginia is 21.5, I think that's the bet of the century!!!
 
Nostradamus - Thanks buddy.  As we both know, they're only good picks if they win!!!  .  As far as the venue is concered, I couldn't agree with you more.  No battled-hardened SEC team will be remotely rattled by the West Virginia venue.
 
Hans - I have not broke down the Northern Illinois game yet, but I will probably tomorrow.  I was on them BIG last week, so the game caught my eye.  At first blush, I really like the game.
 
I also really like the New Mexico State game.  As everyone knows by now, Idaho is pathetic.  They haven't covered a game all year and probably won't, and New Mexico seems to be consistently undervalued.  I have liked them several times this year but have yet to pull the trigger.  The only thing I would check before betting this game is the weather.  If it is extremely cold, or if there is snow predicted, that might make me lay off the game.
 
Vols - I feel your pain bro.  Many people on this board know that I was on the Vols HUGE against Northern Illinois a few weeks ago, and they shit the bed.  When I say HUGE, I mean HUGE.  And whatever number you're thinking right now, I promise you it's much bigger.    In past years I have been very successfully betting Tennessee games, but I haven't got one right this year.  I think I will this week.
 
I have several good friends who are Tennessee grads, and they all pretty much feel like you do.  As much as they want to beat Bama, they know it won't happen.  Actually one of them told me he hopes Bama beats them by 60 so they get get rid of Philopotamus.
 
Unfortunately for you, I'm pretty certain your on the wrong side of the game tonight.  Maybe you can hedge it a little by betting WVU team total under 21.5.  See my Shambler response.
 
D-town -  to you as well
 
Sugadaddy - I think we have us a winna!!!
 
longhorn - I don't see this game as being a "coin toss" at all.  I see it being all Auburn.  If Auburn were laying 3 or 3.5, then I would tend to agree with you.  Nevertheless, I think the UNDER is pretty solid!!!   buddy!!!
 
koko - I wouldn't bet the UNDER for the game just because of the overtime rules in college football.  I would agree with going under 19.5 for the first half.  I think that's the right side, but 19.5 is a very bad wagering number because it is essentially the same thing as 17.5.  In other words, there is no value in that number.  If I could get 20 or 20.5, then I would LOVE it!!!
 
real - I think you'll be happy you did!!!
 
 everyone!!!
 
FREAK OUT!!!
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by WindyCityCapo:

Would you still play on Bama even at -7? That is what my local guy has.  Im kinda gunshy on 7

I don't think 7 is a bad number.  I mean if you have 6.5 you still need Bama to win by 7.  Now it'll be a push instead of a win.  To answer your question more directly, yes I still thin it's a great play at 7.  I think Bama wins this game by 20 or better.

FREAK OUT!!!

 
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Posted: #34
how bout auburn/under 1st half?????  any thoughts?
 
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Posted: #35
Quote Originally Posted by pburgess25:

how bout auburn/under 1st half?????  any thoughts?

See my reply to Koko 2 posts above yours!!!

FREAK OUT!!!

 
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Posted: #36
BOL FREAK
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

Read this article on the ECU game before you pull the trigger on WVU tonight.  Yea, Pat White & Noel Devine were healthy for this game.
 
 
FREAK OUT!!!

 

I watched that game, and from that point on it was obvious that any team that can stop WVU's run offense and force them to use that Pop Warner passing game they have, will have a tremendous advantage. ECU's run-d (or Colorado's) is not even in the same room as Auburn's, so look for WVU to look downright pathetic once they are forced into obvious passing situations early and often.

 

 
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Posted: #38
Aubourne identity.
 
 
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Posted: #39
Is Pat White playing tonight?
 
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Posted: #40
Freak,
 
I have been looking at your picks all year.  I think that you are one of the best cappers on this site.  I am a huge ALABAMA fan!! and I hope they kill Fat Fulmer's team.  But I am worried about Terrence Cody not playing.  Since the injury, Ole Miss ran wild on Alabama and which we gave up 100 yard rusher for the year.  Keep up the good work and RTR
 
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Posted: #41
With you on Bama freak
 
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Posted: #42
 nice
 
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Posted: #43
On other side but BOL Freak
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by steven94116:

Is Pat White playing tonight?

Yes, Pat White hasn't played in 19 days so he is healthy.

FREAK OUT!!!

 
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Posted: #45
Quote Originally Posted by mikeirvin:

 

I watched that game, and from that point on it was obvious that any team that can stop WVU's run offense and force them to use that Pop Warner passing game they have, will have a tremendous advantage. ECU's run-d (or Colorado's) is not even in the same room as Auburn's, so look for WVU to look downright pathetic once they are forced into obvious passing situations early and often.

We are on the same page Mike

 buddy!!!

FREAK OUT!!!

 
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Posted: #46
Quote Originally Posted by Bamarod:

Freak,
 
I have been looking at your picks all year.  I think that you are one of the best cappers on this site.  I am a huge ALABAMA fan!! and I hope they kill Fat Fulmer's team.  But I am worried about Terrence Cody not playing.  Since the injury, Ole Miss ran wild on Alabama and which we gave up 100 yard rusher for the year.  Keep up the good work and RTR

Thanks for the kind words Bamarod.  Being on top of the capping world is usually transitory.  Just about the time you start reading your own press clippings, the gambling Gods have a way of smacking you back to reality. 

I LOVE Bama this week, and will try to post my opinion on this game either late tonight or tomorrow.

As far as Cody is concerned, it would be pretty stupid to pretend that his injury is not a huge blow to Bama's defense.  Obviously it is.  But I don't think it'll have quite the deleterious effect that many think it will.  The reason is man-child Josh Chapman.

Many don't realize that Cody normally plays about 2/3 of the snaps, and Chapman plays the other 1/3.  Many times when Chapman does make a big play, most people assume it's Cody.  Announcers seem to mess this up frequently.  The biggest problem will be who plays behind Chapman.  It appears the guy who Chapman will share snaps  with Chapman this week will be last year's starter Lorenzo Washington.  And while Washington did a decent job of holding down the nose last year despite being way undersized for the position, he is not a prototypical 3-4 nose tackle.  Unlike Cody and Chapman, Lo can be moved and, most importantly, he doesn't command a double-team.

As far as last week is concerned, it's a little different when you lose a guy in the middle of the game, and you have to make adjustments on the fly.  Many times you have guys playing out of position, or having to play guys who got very few reps in practice.  Bama should hold up pretty well this week given that the new rotation will have the benefit of a week of practice.  See the difference?

FREAK OUT!!!

 
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Posted: #47
Jimmy Did You Get My Message On your Space?

I Know you are a Bama Fan.. But Im Big On Tenn. this weekend
Tell Me Why i should not be... I Need Your take on Alabama.
 
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Posted: #48
bro love west virginia gl though with bama
 
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Posted: #49
BOL
 
 
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Posted: #50
Freak ...
You are one of the cappers I really  have looked into this season  love your plays but am always scared of when your on the opposite  side of my . Now tonight Lets Bang that BOOKIE Hard cause like you have posted I agree Auburns D will prevail and AUBURN  should win this game easy with out there sorry ass kicker that have lost them 2 games....
GL tonight bro
 
 
Whats your insight on the NM/AF game ?
If your not going to play it any leans ? Leaning on NM as there Offense is going to be unstoppable and the Defense has gotten ALOT better
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