*** Freak Pics *** (Week 6)

Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

I would bet it to -13.5.  I just wouldn't bet it nearly as big if the number creeps over 7.

 

I love how Ole Miss's defense is being talked about like the second coming of Jesus Christ.....they have yet to play anyone who could test their defense. 

 

 

Quote Originally Posted by DegenCurtis21:

I feel like this is the time Alabama finally starts to gel after starting slow. Their QB is growing confidence, their offensive line is still great, & they have the best RBs in CFB. I just question Alabama's secondary vs Ole Miss' great WRs. Although I don't think Bo Wallace is good enough. Ole Miss' defense looks good, but they haven't faced an offense in the top 80 of PPG this year. Bama could seriously roll here if they get turnovers on Wallace. I expect at least 3 picks. This game could finish 42-14, truthfully. Saban with two weeks to prepare is scary. I think Nebraska is seriously overrated & I expect Michigan State to roll. They will win that game in the trenches. Nebraska has a good running game, but Michigan State's rushing defense is 4th in the nation at 2.8 YPC, despite playing at Oregon. This is Nebraska's first road test of the year. Michigan State has a good coach, a good running game, & a veteran QB. 31-17 MSU. Despite running out of gas in the second half vs Oregon, I still think this is a top 4 playoff team. I know Nebraska slept through McNeese State, but they still ran for 178 yards on them. This is a problem for the Corn Huskers. Jimmy, see what you did? Get the East Carolina line at -34 & it's already up to -41. Never seen anything like it. I'm taking it anything up to 45. I still expect like a 70-7 score here. East Carolina isn't going to hold anything back...they want to jump in the polls. I expect Baylor's defensive line to eat up Texas. I don't know how Texas reaches 20+ points in this game & how they hold Baylor to under 42, therefore, Baylor it is anything up to 17. Also keep in mind that Texas has Oklahoma next week, so they could possibly be looking ahead for that rivalry. Also, doesn't Rutgers -3 pretty much have to be an AUTO PLAY after how Michigan as played. Going to continue to fade Michigan, especially on the road. They don't want to play for his fat @$$. Texas A&M is coming off an overtime win in which they were lucky. Arkansas big O-line probably beat them up a little bit. Terrible spot for them. They are very overrated and will lose 3-4 games this year. Look at that schedule...straight brutal. Mississippi State has better defense & is tougher in the trenches. Kenny Hill missed a lot of throws last week. Remember, Arkansas is not a good football team. Didn't mean to hijack the thread, just rambling. Looks like a great week with a lot of great games. Opportunity to get a big bank roll back. Lets do this.

Quote Originally Posted by syracusejoe:



Post this in your own thread. Chest what a waste of 5 minutes of my life reading your rambling.

Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

I hate keeping track of my record because it's a PIA and, quite frankly, I don't care what it is.  I only care about my account balances.  I'm never going tout, so it's completely meaningless to me.  That said, years ago people moaned and groaned that I didn't keep track of it, so I did it for several years.  I kept the record, not the units.  Keeping track of the record isn't so bad, but trying to keep an accurate record of units is almost impossible.

This season I have been particularly busy, so I said f-it.  I can tell you that I have missed exactly 1 "Best Bet" every week, so my record is something & 5.  I usually do about 4 "Best Bets" a week so my guess would be something like 15 & 5.  I haven't been nearly as good on non-Best Bets.  Those are probably hovering a little over 50% if I had to guess.  My goal is 75%/60%.  I'm pretty close on "Best Bets."

Nevertheless, if someone wants to go back and tally my record, let them knock themselves out.  It's all posted.  As for me, I'll spend my time on more productive endeavors.

 

Quote Originally Posted by DegenCurtis21:

I feel like this is the time Alabama finally starts to gel after starting slow. Their QB is growing confidence, their offensive line is still great, & they have the best RBs in CFB. I just question Alabama's secondary vs Ole Miss' great WRs. Although I don't think Bo Wallace is good enough. Ole Miss' defense looks good, but they haven't faced an offense in the top 80 of PPG this year. Bama could seriously roll here if they get turnovers on Wallace. I expect at least 3 picks. This game could finish 42-14, truthfully. Saban with two weeks to prepare is scary.

I think Nebraska is seriously overrated & I expect Michigan State to roll. They will win that game in the trenches. Nebraska has a good running game, but Michigan State's rushing defense is 4th in the nation at 2.8 YPC, despite playing at Oregon. This is Nebraska's first road test of the year. Michigan State has a good coach, a good running game, & a veteran QB. 31-17 MSU. Despite running out of gas in the second half vs Oregon, I still think this is a top 4 playoff team. I know Nebraska slept through McNeese State, but they still ran for 178 yards on them. This is a problem for the Corn Huskers.


Jimmy, see what you did? Get the East Carolina line at -34 & it's already up to -41. Never seen anything like it. I'm taking it anything up to 45. I still expect like a 70-7 score here. East Carolina isn't going to hold anything back...they want to jump in the polls.

I expect Baylor's defensive line to eat up Texas. I don't know how Texas reaches 20+ points in this game & how they hold Baylor to under 42, therefore, Baylor it is anything up to 17. Also keep in mind that Texas has Oklahoma next week, so they could possibly be looking ahead for that rivalry.

Also, doesn't Rutgers -3 pretty much have to be an AUTO PLAY after how Michigan as played. Going to continue to fade Michigan, especially on the road. They don't want to play for his fat @$$.

Texas A&M is coming off an overtime win in which they were lucky. Arkansas big O-line probably beat them up a little bit. Terrible spot for them. They are very overrated and will lose 3-4 games this year. Look at that schedule...straight brutal. Mississippi State has better defense & is tougher in the trenches. Kenny Hill missed a lot of throws last week. Remember, Arkansas is not a good football team.

Didn't mean to hijack the thread, just rambling. Looks like a great week with a lot of great games. Opportunity to get a big bank roll back. Lets do this.

Quote Originally Posted by Crazy_Train:

Been tailing your USA plays  Thank you. I will again this week. My book is asking who the F is South Bama?  I see it's a best bet but 3 units, not 5 units - any reason? Thanks again for all your insight - greatly appreciated  Do you have an opinion on UB / BGU -5. I'm leaning BGU.

Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

That's the funniest sh it I've read all day!!!  Here's the conversation between CT and his bookie.

CT's Bookie in his best Vinny Gambino voice:  "Who is this South Alabama team you keep betting on?"

Bookie:  "I mean what the fu ck do you know about some hillbilly-azz team in south Ala-fu cking-bama ?"

CT playing dumb so his bookie won't cut him off:  "Oh sh it!!!    I've been betting on "SOUTH" Alabama this whole time???  I thought I was betting on that Nicky Saban Roll Tide Alabama team.  Are you sure they're not the same team?

Bookie: 

 

Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

No need to apologize.  Your thoughts are a great contribution to the thread.  Anytime.

I guess if I "Max Bet" a game, I'm obliged to do a write up on it, so I will try to find some time to cobble something together tomorrow evening.  But your thoughts on Bo Wallace are essentially correct.  Ole Miss' Offense versus Alabama's defense should pretty much be a repeat of last season's mismatch.  That's not to say that it'll necessarily be a shout out, but then again, last season's game should not have been a shutout either.  Ole Miss shut themselves out when they repeatedly went for it on 4th down when they were in field goal range, and were stopped on downs.

What I mean by repeat of last season is that Alabama will completely take away the running game like they did last season, and force Bo Wallace to win the game with his arm.  In last season's matchup Ole Miss ran for 46 yards on 25 attempts.  Expect similar dismal results in the running game against a much improved Alabama defense this time around.

On the other side of the ball, I have much respect for Ole Miss' defense.  They are a formidable group no doubt.  But just like last season, when Ole Miss' offense is unable to sustain drives, the defense eventually buckles.  Alabama dominated TOP 39 minutes to 21 minutes.  Again, expect this game to look very similar.  Ole Miss's defense will only be able to keep Alabama's plethora of offensive weapons in check for so long before they succumb to the constant onslaught.

Look for Ole Miss to get the same kind of meat grinder treatment in this Saturday's game.

I hate laying points when they get into the 40s, but this may be a case where it's warranted.  I personally would start getting leery if the number hits 42 (41 currently).

I expect Texas' offense to generate about 10 points, not much more than that.  It Texas gets in the 20s, there are going to be a lot of Baylor backers who will be sweating off some pounds.  I don't think it comes to that though.  Again, my knees become a little weak if this thing hits 17 (16.5 right now).

Your probably right on Michigan being an auto-fade team right now.  I'm not sure if the garnet and blue are quite ready for Mega's "TOTAL FECES BUT SLEEPER WATCH LIST"

I agree Texas A&M will have trouble with a very confident Mississippi State team in the trenches, and trench play is one of my main criteria I look for when capping football games.  I obviously like the Bulldogs to pull out a win in cowbell land.

 

Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

I'm going to start this early so I don't get fussed at!!! 

Coming off of a good week.  I actually like this week's card better, so hopefully that's a good omen.

Friday Evening:

3Us - Louisville @ Syracuse +3.5

Saturday Early:

5Us - SMU @ ECU -34.5 (-120) "Best Bet"

3Us - Texas A&M @ Mississippi State PK

Saturday Afternoon:

10Us - Alabama -4.5 @ Mississippi "Max Bet"

5Us - Texas @ Baylor -13 "Best Bet"

5Us - Wake Forest @ Florida State -37.5 "Best Bet"

3Us - Stanford @ Notre Dame +1

3Us - Oregon State @ Colorado +7

3Us - Vanderbilt +32 @ Georgia

Saturday Evening:

3Us - South Alabama -5.5 @ Appalachian State "Best Bet"

3Us - Georgia Southern -16.5 @ New Mexico State

3Us - South Carolina @ Kentucky +7

3Us - Hawaii @ Rice -6

3Us - LSU +9 @ Auburn

3Us - UAB +13 @ Western Kentucky

 

Quote Originally Posted by SlapNutts:

Jimmy the line on the S.Alabama game just dropped 2.5 pts to -3 ? WTF

Quote Originally Posted by thejhnny:

Quote Originally Posted by cfrank63845: