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Freak Pics!!! (Week 2)

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Posted: #101
hard to trust tulsa after they screwed us the first week
 
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Posted: #102
Duke vs. Memphis is 54. Where do you see 49?
 
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Posted: #103
The total opened at 49/49.5 it spiked up today all the way to 54 in about 2 hours. I know because I bet the line a few hours after the bet was available.
 
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Posted: #104
  I bet the Duke @ Memphis on Tuesday, so I picked it up at 49.5.  Right Angle Sports released the OVER in the Duke @ Memphis game this afternoon, and that moved the total up to 53 & 53.5.  I still like it at the number.  I think this will be a close game with overtime potential, and I think both teams will push the 30-point mark.

 
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Posted: #105

Quote Originally Posted by themog:

Jimmy, Aggie Homer here so just wanna give you my perspective.  I agree that Bama will shred the Aggie Defense.  No doubt.  But the Aggie offense will shred Bama's D.  Our offense is much better than last year IMO.  Bama may easily cover but they will have to score 50+ to do so

 

and you are indeed a homer and the quintessential delusional aggie...so you say Bama will have to score 50 to beat A&M...really...that means you think A&M will score at least 49 on this Bama D...that's laughable bro...put down the crack pipe, or cow turd or whatever you sheep humping degenerates smoke in college station...

JPM will run around for a while, then get knocked down, and knocked down again, and knocked down again, then he will throw ints, and with the lack of character that JPM has shown on and off the field, he will ask to be taken out of the game by the end of the 3rd quarter...

Bama is about to humble you guys...that's not hate, that's a fact...and I think most aggies know they are going to get their fools handed to them...

LonghornHoosier
 
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Posted: #106
jimmy - do you have a final summary of our your picks for the week or are you still working on it.  With you on UCF.   tonights FAU cover scares me a bit.   I hope O'Leary wants to open a can of whoop behind on the panthers...
LonghornHoosier
 
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Posted: #107
Quote Originally Posted by LonghornHoosier:

 

and you are indeed a homer and the quintessential delusional aggie...so you say Bama will have to score 50 to beat A&M...really...that means you think A&M will score at least 49 on this Bama D...that's laughable bro...put down the crack pipe, or cow turd or whatever you sheep humping degenerates smoke in college station...

JPM will run around for a while, then get knocked down, and knocked down again, and knocked down again, then he will throw ints, and with the lack of character that JPM has shown on and off the field, he will ask to be taken out of the game by the end of the 3rd quarter...

Bama is about to humble you guys...that's not hate, that's a fact...and I think most aggies know they are going to get their fools handed to them...


Try reading comprehension 101 buddy.  I never said they will need to score 50 to win.  What I am saying is that it will not be a blowout unless they score 50.  A&M will score 35+ I am certain about that.  Can Bama score 50?  Certainly possible, our D sucks.  But our Offense is going to put up points in bunches as well
 
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Posted: #108
And I would like to add that I have the utmost respect for Jimmy's opinions but I didn't see any discussion of A&M offense and wanted to make a comment on that, that is all.  I agree that Bama O will have a field day, no disagreement at all there
 
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Posted: #109
Quote Originally Posted by themog:


Try reading comprehension 101 buddy.  I never said they will need to score 50 to win.  What I am saying is that it will not be a blowout unless they score 50.  A&M will score 35+ I am certain about that.  Can Bama score 50?  Certainly possible, our D sucks.  But our Offense is going to put up points in bunches as well

WHATTTTTTT
 
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Posted: #110
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

This is one of those weeks where I really liked a lot of games, so my challenge was to narrow those plays down to a manageable card.

Hopefully my Friday and Saturday plays are better than my Thursday night play.  WOW is FAU brutally bad on offense.

Thursday Night Game:

Florida Atlantic @ East Carolina OVER 54 

Friday Night Games:

Central Florida -23.5 -120 @ Florida International

Wake Forest +3 @ Boston College

Wake Forest @ Boston College UNDER 48.5

Wake Forest UDML +130 @ Boston College

Saturday Early Games:

Oklahoma State -26.5 @ Texas-San Antonio *** Best Bet ***

Florida -3 @ Miami

Eastern Michigan @ Penn State -23.5

Saturday Afternoon Games:

Duke @ Memphis OVER 49.5 ***Best Bet ***

South Carolina +3.5 @ Georgia

Toledo +17 @ Missouri

South Carolina UDML +145 @ Georgia

Saturday Evening Games:

Colorado State @ Tulsa -10 *** Best Bet ***

UAB @ LSU UNDER 62.5

Texas -6.5 -120 @ BYU

Saturday Late Games:

Washington State +16 @ USC








My SAME exact problem this week.  I usually only play 5-6 games a week, this week i have 10 that I like A LOT. 

Glad to see that you have a few of them on your card & we are on the same page. 

BOL this week, Get Money
 
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Posted: #111
Quote Originally Posted by Brinksta:

hard to trust tulsa after they screwed us the first week


I'll have a write up of Tulsa a little bit in my thread that I post later.  But the short way of saying it is: Tulsa has a habit of coming out flat & ugly in week 1 (as I stated last week when I still bet them), & in week 2 when they typically have their home opener, they come out and DEMOLISH their opponent.  I'd be very confident that tulsa wins by 2 TD's at the least.  I could continue & will in my thread, but keep in mind that Tulsa could have easily been up 13-6 at the half last weekend at BG.
 
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Posted: #112
I mean honestly... s.carolina  ml and line is a loss  so that's 0-2 lock stock and barrel... if wake doesn't come in and since Thursdays nights dog hit looks like ur behind the 8ball.. .. wow hope u study next week, cause this is disgracefull man
 
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Posted: #113
fkin boooo ... I mean the people that follow u are up chits creek without a paddle this week... but, what do u care ? by these picks u don't give a chit u dart thrower 
 
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Posted: #114
Quote Originally Posted by djvice:


good to know Packers. interesting trend. on the over on both nfl and cfb. just hope fl-atlantic can put up SOME points. shouldn't be a problem with this defense, so long as they move the chains, and get points out of it. ecu may light this up, they may put up 40+ themselves. i may take OVER 28 1st half

gl
jdf
another stat for ya vice since i was born Bama is 21-0 in their SEC opener. So when they beat A&M you'll know it was because of me
 
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Posted: #115
he will win the bama bet but, he will have to unload on bama and the over and bama team total over... which are all easy plays btw.....but, he will be behind the 8ball after this week... I expect better from him 
 
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Posted: #116
Quote Originally Posted by markpa:

I mean honestly... s.carolina  ml and line is a loss  so that's 0-2 lock stock and barrel... if wake doesn't come in and since Thursdays nights dog hit looks like ur behind the 8ball.. .. wow hope u study next week, cause this is disgracefull man
 
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Posted: #117
train   he is fkin fked this week isn't he 
 
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Posted: #118
Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

  I bet the Duke @ Memphis on Tuesday, so I picked it up at 49.5.  Right Angle Sports released the OVER in the Duke @ Memphis game this afternoon, and that moved the total up to 53 & 53.5.  I still like it at the number.  I think this will be a close game with overtime potential, and I think both teams will push the 30-point mark.



Just a quick question, how do you know what Right Angle releases?  Do you have access to their selections?
 
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Posted: #119
Duke @ memphis should cover easily at 49, would not be surprised to see this total end up 57 before kickoff. Duke has been good offensively now for the last couple of years and not know for their defense. Memphis has some pop in there offense and usually struggle on defense, I agree with jimmy should end up somewhere in the 60s.
 
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Posted: #120
Duke@memphis 54 at heritage, Jimmy's best bets has a solid chance of going 3 and o agree with many those picks OK ST should explode for 60 or more points. Tulsa is much better than last weeks performance if this were week one I see tulsa favored by 15 or more.

Gotta disagree with the fla/mia game although florida is very good on defense may be one dimensional offense , no passing game to speak of. and miami solid home dog match up speed  for speed. to close to make strong bet but i would lean with floiida.

Wake Forest vs BC head to head matchup last 3 seasons under 65% chance of better it goes under IMO. 

I really like Cincinnati again this week underated defense. solid team ats and straight up last 2 years should win  by at least 17 points or better worst case low Double digits.
illini have trouble scoring.

Considering the over on bowling green/kent 44 might for a punch bet 3 to 4 units a little to low for this game.

 
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Posted: #121
Quote Originally Posted by Laroja:

What's your take on the Wake Forest game? I've done some analysis and from what I've gathered the QBs are pretty much even; defense definitely goes to Wake Forest; offense goes to Wake Forest slightly with their all ACC receiver; special teams is heavily in BC' advantage, Wake Forest fg kicker missed twice last week at home. With all that being said Wake is awful on the road in ACC competition.


Agree for the most part.  Disagree that Wake is terrible in road conference games.  In 2011 Wake lost to Clemson and North Carolina on the road, and beat Duke and Boston College.  In 2012 they lost to Florida State, NC State, and Maryland, and beat Virginia.  In other words, over the past two seasons they played 4 teams on the road they had zero chance beating regardless of where the game was played, and they play 4 teams that were essentially on their level.  Of those 4, they won three of them.  Their only loss was by 5 points to Maryland.

I love Jim Grobe, and love backing him in these type of toss up games, especially when he's getting points.  I don't think there is a coach in the country that gets more out of less than Grobe.  I mean holy schnikes this guy won the ACC one year with nothing.  I also think Wake has the better QB.

In sum, I will back the team with the better coach and better QB getting points in a game I think they'll win outright.



 
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Posted: #122
Quote Originally Posted by jdnmoney:

Although the way you allocate you're money on wagers is unique, it is in fact very very smart. Right away you eliminate 10% of your losses bc of not paying vig. From there, even a 1-1 split creates a +1.6 net for you (on a 1unit wager). Very impressive. 

GL this week my man. Reallymimpressive. 


RTR


The other advantage is that it allows me to buy points without paying vig.  When I buy points in a parlay, I sacrifice payout in lieu of paying vig.  And because the majority of parlays are losers, even the reduced payout is usually not a factor.  Overall, I think it maximizes upside potential while minimizing downside risk.


 
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Posted: #123
Quote Originally Posted by ac_bum:

My nephew plays for ECU #93 CRISHON ROSE /NT love the over


Awesome!!!  I wish I would have seen your post before the game.  I also wish your nephew would not have played so well. 


 
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Posted: #124
I like the wake pick...I think they tcb!
LonghornHoosier
 
 
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Posted: #125
Quote Originally Posted by blowoutgm:

I'll be right there with you on Bama- i think the line will be -8 or so- 

Love the over tonight but i'll pass on the BC game although the under looks appealing. 

What are your thoughts on texas/byu total of 56.5 pts? That sounds way too high in my opinion.

Good luck and keep killing the books!!



I really didn't look at that very closely, but it does seem a bit high.  The higher the scoring, the bigger trouble BYU is in.  I just don;t see them scoring much.  I might put a little something down on that.

Speaking of lines that seem high, the UAB/LSU line seems high to me at 62.5.  Curious what your thoughts are.


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