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Early Reverse line movements this week to hammer...

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Posts: 116
 
Veteran
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Posted: #101
  What site do you use to see what publics on?
 
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Posted: #102

I decided not to bet the following:

Louisville +11 the line went back up.

 

I am adding:

Michigan +11.5

Kent St. +11

Ark. St. +10

Akron +10.5

 
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Posted: #103

updated picks...

Ball St. +14

Utah St. +23.5

Miss. St. +10

Ohio U PK

Ole Miss -4

NM St. +30.5

Michigan +11.5

Kent St. +11

Ark. St. +10

Akron +10.5

 
Prospect
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Posted: #104

Hey green if you were to wait untill an hour before gametime on your plays you'd get a better sample size considering most action won't come untill the day of the game. So for you to assume these line movements relevant, makes your insite unjust

 
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Posted: #105
11/21/2009
12:20 PM
See not that many bets yet, plus not even an inverse line movement
 
Legend
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Posted: #106

Quote Originally Posted by cburk:

Dude, seriously, are you going to lay your money on some of the worst teams in college football all because you see a reverse line movement.

Col, Baylor and UNLV suck and Tulsa has no coach.  How about doing some actual handicapping and not just looking at a line movement to make a play.

GL.

- The storms will come, the storms will pass -
 
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Posted: #107
Quote Originally Posted by absolutea6:

Hey green if you were to wait untill an hour before gametime on your plays you'd get a better sample size considering most action won't come untill the day of the game. So for you to assume these line movements relevant, makes your insite unjust

 

that is not true, I play the early line movements, wednesday mornings.  Like I said, this is a system that has been pretty good all year and has made a decent profit.  BOL to you this week.

 
Covers Rehab
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Posted: #108

grnl...any plays for tomorrow?

 

 
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Posted: #109

Utah State +23.5

 
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Posted: #110
also Akron +10.5 tonight.
 
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Posted: #111
Just a word of caution...it would behoove you to wait before the game if you play like this due to most money coming in late or on the day of the game. Line movement 5 days before a game does not paint the entire picture. I know plenty of people who play this way, and its not as rosy as it may seem sometimes.

BOL to you...but my advice would be to wait before the game to do so.
 
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Posted: #112

I agree, I will normally not lock these in until the day before or game day and I am still using this as a trial system...

 

BOL to you.

 
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Posted: #113

1 last RLM for the 2009-2010 season!!!!!

Texas -4

Huge majority of the public on Alabama in this one and line has changed from -5 to -4.

Good luck everyone, this was a fun thing to track this year and it made a nice small profit.

 
Prospect
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Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 244
Posted: #114
what would you make of the GT line movement?  According to sportsbook.com the action is pretty even (55/45 GT/UI) but the line has moved from 3.5 to 6.

i assumed the public was on GT (which they may be) but according to their site it's pretty even.

is there a more reliable place to see betting percentages?


 
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Posted: #115
that is what I was saying, I think that the public is almost split on that one, I only really play the RLM if the public is very heavy (70 percent) or more on one side...
 
 
Prospect
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Joined: Nov, 2009
Posts: 244
Posted: #116
that's what's strange...the public is split but the line keeps rising.

i cant figure it out...

i liked GT at 3.5...but the fact that it has jumped to 6 concerns me...

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