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Early Reverse line movements this week to hammer...

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Posted: #26
im still in the learning process as well. i hope you dont take this in negatively. Just sharing my experiences.
 
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Posted: #27
I normally do add betting trends and handicap my own games, but I have been using this as a trial system so far in the year.  I make stronger plays based on my handicapping and will makes smaller plays or no play if I feel that there is a trap set up by oddsmakers.  Once this system has a losing week, I will rethink it and tweak some things in it.  But so far, this has been pretty solid.
 
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Posted: #28
With regards to the OSU bet, I am only doing this with the dogs right now.  I have not played the reverse with heavy favs all year, I am only using dogs which has panned out pretty well. Last week 85 percent of public action was on New Mexico and OSU rose to 44.5 from 40.5.  I have tried to stay away from those types of lines and staying away from top tier teams vs. lower tier teams.
 
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Posted: #29
 
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Posted: #30

This is who I had last week with this system:

Ball St. =W

Iowa St.=L

SMU=W

Wash St.= W

Min.=W

Ark St.=L (Did not play because of the weak team factor and differences of conference).

So I tracked the system at 4-2, I went 4-1 in the games that I played.  I will not play the game unless 70 percent or over is on the action.

 
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Posted: #31
Ill tell u what Ive been looking at reverse line movement for years and he is right it does hit at a great % but this year has been alittle different than most years, GL with the plays this week
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by grnlntrn4life:

 

 

Not only texas, but oklahoma state as well.  They gave up 33 points, most coming in the 2nd half too.  Only threat on that defense is Witherspoon.  This team is inconsistent, we will see though.

So you are comparing a top 15 team and a top 3 team to Baylor.....good idea

 

 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

So you are comparing a top 15 team and a top 3 team to Baylor.....good idea

 

 

not at all, just stating the fact that their defense does give up the big play.  If you watched the OK St. game you would have seen that. This defense makes a lot of mistakes.... GL.

 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by grnlntrn4life:

 

not at all, just stating the fact that their defense does give up the big play.  If you watched the OK St. game you would have seen that. This defense makes a lot of mistakes.... GL.

A few big plays to a couple teams that have a passing game.....the Ok St game was lost by the MU offense...

 
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Posted: #35
we shall see, I am just speaking from what I have seen and what stats I have read.  BOL to you on your plays this week!
 
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Posted: #36
gl
 
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Posted: #37
You are missing Nebraska - big time.
 
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Posted: #38

yep, haven't had a chance to look today.  Nebraska also on the list.

 

Nebraska +5.5

 

Thanks a lot PlacinUnits and GL this week.

 
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Posted: #39

I am actually going to hold off on Neb. for now I need to look into that game a little bit.  Will figure it out by tomorrow.

 
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Posted: #40
Pulling the trigger on Nebraska +5.5
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by grnlntrn4life:

we shall see, I am just speaking from what I have seen and what stats I have read.  BOL to you on your plays this week!


ditto
 
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Posted: #42

also adding....

 

Maryland +6.5

Wake +14

Hawaii +2

 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by cburk:

G...No offense but I am 15-5 for the last three weeks betting road favs.  In the beginning of the year I worried about line movement and it messed with my handicapping so much that I would not play a strong lean of mine, Boise vs Fresno comes to mind, low and behold, Boise covers.  I am not saying it doesn't win, sorry if you took it that way, but you can't just look at line movement, especially when crap teams like Baylor or UNLV are involved, you need to do some handicapping.

This week I am playing all favs, Houston was a fav.  I like Oregon, Houston, UTEP, Sooners, OKla St, ND, BYU, and Houston, thoughts?

GL 

completely agree, I v'e also been worry too much about line-movement this year. Last week I ignored it and went 13-5, until that point I was a little better than 50%

gl everyone, hope it's profitable to all
 
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Posted: #44
GL to you too ron!
 
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Posted: #45

Final card:

Colorado +3

Baylor +14

FIU +13

Tulsa PK

ASU +10

UNLV -1

Nebraska +5

Hawaii +2

Wake +14

Maryland +6.5

All plays are 20 units.

 

BOL everyone!

 
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Posted: #46
Grn What Are Your Units Equal To? I'm Just Askin Kus I Play Large And A Unit For Me Is $1K So If Your Betting That Amount I'm Definitley Goin With Your Line Movements I Like Tulsa Alot I Have It At +1 Tulsa Now
 
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Posted: #47

Quote Originally Posted by peanutt612:

Grn What Are Your Units Equal To? I'm Just Askin Kus I Play Large And A Unit For Me Is $1K So If Your Betting That Amount I'm Definitley Goin With Your Line Movements I Like Tulsa Alot I Have It At +1 Tulsa Now

 

yes, I decided to just make all of these a similar amount.  I count 20 units as 200 dollars and that is my normal play under this system.  GL to you. 

 
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Posted: #48

Also adding a parlay as well...

Penn St. ML/Jake Shields   22 units to win 21.30 units.

 
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Posted: #49

Adding:

Iowa -7 2nd half  22 units to win 20

 

GL

 
 
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Posted: #50

Quote Originally Posted by cburk:

Dude, seriously, are you going to lay your money on some of the worst teams in college football all because you see a reverse line movement.

Col, Baylor and UNLV suck and Tulsa has no coach.  How about doing some actual handicapping and not just looking at a line movement to make a play.

GL.

THE SQUARE QUOTE OF THE WEEK!!!!!

These fools will never learn!!

 

 

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