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Duke @ MIami

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Posted: #1
Can anyone who layed points with Miami or say they love Miami in this game explain why .?

I've watched this team for two years poor coaching horrible QB play horrible defense what has changed that they beat Duke here 

Miami lost to Louisville by 20 i watched that game,,   Miami was pathetic , 

do you really think Loiusville is that much better than Duke 

Duke ranked 23 granted they haven't played anyone, but who has Miami beat ? Duke beat this team by 18 points last year ,

 Miami looked worst then last year to me in the Louisville game 

Strange line to say the least , anyone that comes in this post please explain why you like Miami  don't just say Miami other than the fishy line cause Miami just plain sucks 


All these people that love Miami Educate me 


 
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Posted: #2
Duke is a well coached, disciplined team. 
 
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Posted: #3
If you can't see yourself playing Duke....  you have to just pass on this one... IMHO  
 
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Posted: #4
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by The_BigDog:

If you can't see yourself playing Duke....  you have to just pass on this one... IMHO  


I would never put 2 cents on Miami  anyway,  but the line opened at 5.5 bet up to 7 


Iv'e seen some posted say they love Miami Of course they never say why . as usual on here a bunch of posters picking games without any reasons,  this is what make these forums boring a bunch of posters that just list their plays 

Home field in Miami is nothing ,what changed since last year to make Miami a 7 point favorite ? 
 
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Posted: #6
Brad Kaaya is playing much better in his last 2 games you can read my thread with the write-up of the game. 

Duke's defense is very overrated. I've watched them --> slow + small and I expect Miami's WRs to eat up a ton of yards. 

Duke's schedule has been cupcake city ... Tulane, CMU, Kansas??? Miami's schedule has been much better and prepared them for this game. They aren't the same team they were W1 vs. UL. 

Passing on this game hate the current # of -7
 
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Posted: #7
Play the over and forget about the side
 
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Posted: #8
I got $500 in on Monday on Duke when the line went to  +7.5. 

Duke wins out right here perhaps....we'll at least see a game in the 4th quarter. 

'Stay thirsty my friends'


 
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Posted: #9
This will be Dukes biggest challenge to date but should be a close game. the play here is Duke +7  
 
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Posted: #10
I played the U Peter!!! Since I can't use the fishy line thing, I'll go with revenge and Miami can't look any worse than it has, can it???
 
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Posted: #11
ManzielMania I'm like you on this one,  I  saw 7.5 and jumped on it.
 
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Posted: #12
i'm a little worried about the early steam but i still like duke and might nibble at 7 since i already bought at 4.5  i'm interested to see where this line goes come saturday 
 
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Posted: #13
Read every post on this thread, and tell me you still like being on the same side as EVERYBODY on Covers... despite the fact this line went from Miami (-5) to Miami (-7)... 


I don't like Miami... I LOVE Miami!


There are reasons other than just the fact that this is a public bloodbath game, with the line moving in the opposite direction... but you shouldn't need any of them, really... 


In summary... stay the darn away from Duke this week!
 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by peter10:



Iv'e seen some posted say they love Miami Of course they never say why . as usual on here a bunch of posters picking games without any reasons,  this is what make these forums boring a bunch of posters that just list their plays 



Here are some reasons... 

1) Biggest revenge game on Miami's schedule
2) Duke has looked pretty hopeless against some hopeless teams, despite getting a couple ATS covers
3) Miami needs a win
4) Homefield advantage IS worth something in Miami
5) Duke and Maryland are the most popular dogs this week, and in both cases the line is moving in the opposite direction... as a rule, you should never jump on those bandwagons!
 
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Posted: #15
Duke's SOS rating = 190
Miami's SOS rating = 45


Duke's wins may look lopsided, but much of it has been smoke and mirrors, with bad teams giving the ball away to assist them... 
 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by ManzielMania:

I got $500 in on Monday on Duke when the line went to  +7.5. Duke wins out right here perhaps....we'll at least see a game in the 4th quarter. 'Stay thirsty my friends'

That's strange..?? I got MIAMI-3.5 on Sunday night..:)
Hope Miami win by 7 so we both can cash :)
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by Shark_Attack:

Quote Originally Posted by peter10:

Iv'e seen some posted say they love Miami Of course they never say why . as usual on here a bunch of posters picking games without any reasons,  this is what make these forums boring a bunch of posters that just list their plays 
Here are some reasons... 1) Biggest revenge game on Miami's schedule2) Duke has looked pretty hopeless against some hopeless teams, despite getting a couple ATS covers3) Miami needs a win4) Homefield advantage IS worth something in Miami5) Duke and Maryland are the most popular dogs this week, and in both cases the line is moving in the opposite direction... as a rule, you should never jump on those bandwagons!



Sweet I got 2 of the 5 in my thread!!!
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by Shark_Attack:

Read every post on this thread, and tell me you still like being on the same side as EVERYBODY on Covers... despite the fact this line went from Miami (-5) to Miami (-7)... I don't like Miami... I LOVE Miami!There are reasons other than just the fact that this is a public bloodbath game, with the line moving in the opposite direction... but you shouldn't need any of them, really... In summary... stay the darn away from Duke this week!

Funny... That's what I thought:)
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by McGuire87:

Brad Kaaya is playing much better in his last 2 games you can read my thread with the write-up of the game. Duke's defense is very overrated. I've watched them --> slow + small and I expect Miami's WRs to eat up a ton of yards. Duke's schedule has been cupcake city ... Tulane, CMU, Kansas??? Miami's schedule has been much better and prepared them for this game. They aren't the same team they were W1 vs. UL. Passing on this game hate the current # of -7


Peter asked who played Miami and why??? Not 3 paragraphs of why your gonna pass on the game!!! He probably tried to read you thread of 4 1/2 pages of why your passing on 35 different games!!!
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by peter10:



I would never put 2 cents on Miami  anyway,  but the line opened at 5.5 bet up to 7 


Iv'e seen some posted say they love Miami Of course they never say why . as usual on here a bunch of posters picking games without any reasons,  this is what make these forums boring a bunch of posters that just list their plays 

Home field in Miami is nothing ,what changed since last year to make Miami a 7 point favorite ? 

What makes you like Duke? The fact they have whooped up on Troy, Elon, Kansas and Tulane? You say that Miami doesnt have any HFA, which is incorrect. EVERY team in college football has a HFA if the teams are similar (spread within +/-10). In Dukes 1st road game, at Troy, they win 34-17. Thats the same Troy team that lost 66-0 @ Georgia.

The Canes have already played @ LVille and @ Nebraska (night game to boot). Duke Johnson will be the best player on the field, and Brad Kaaya will be the main reason. Yep, he lost his 1st start at LVille, no big shocker. Since then, hes gotten better every game (offense scoring 34 ppg).

On the other side, Boone is a decent QB, but he doesnt have many weapons. He will target Crowder a lot for short gains. They dont have a RB thats scary, and thats what killed Miami thus far. I watched a good part of the Tulane game, and even thoughh Duke won 47-13, they were a couple plays away from being in a dogfight (safety, 2 pick 6's and other missed opportunities by the Wave).

So, you have Duke getting its first real test of the year, on the road, @ night. Miami has already seen bigger, faster and better....

I expect DJ to have a great game and Kaaya to do very well.I like Miami to win 38-23. If the Doookies can rise up, then so be it. I have lost plenty of bets before.

 

The reason I dont do writeups for every play is because it doesnt do that much good. Everyone has access to stats and trends. Everyone can see more games now. The hard part is putting all the pieces together and having your mind and instincts have a discussion. Often the brain will go with what its seen and heard, but the gut is always there (if you have that gambling trait), to warn you of impending danger. For example, getting a 4-0 team +7.....

The Maryland game and this game are actually quite different. Terps, after being pretty unimpressive so far, open as a small dog on the road vs a team that just beat a top 20 team....not surprising. Now, Miami, being 2-2 facing a 4-0 team that hasnt played anybody, opens at -4.....

 

bol

 
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Posted: #21
It funny i keep reading Duke has played no one and that's a given 

But these same posters want to give credit to Miami for losing twice to the only decent teams they played this year , losing by 18 and 10  

I don't think there's much difference between Duke Louisville and Nebraska here  

You really think Miami wins just because they need to ?
 
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Posted: #22
Die hard miami fan here.. take duke
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by peter10:

It funny i keep reading Duke has played no one and that's a given But these same posters want to give credit to Miami for losing twice to the only decent teams they played this year , losing by 18 and 10  I don't think there's much difference between Duke Louisville and Nebraska here  You really think Miami wins just because they need to ?



No Peter because I NEED them too,Lmao. Play who you play Peter and good luck!!!
 
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Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:

What makes you like Duke? The fact they have whooped up on Troy, Elon, Kansas and Tulane? You say that Miami doesnt have any HFA, which is incorrect. EVERY team in college football has a HFA if the teams are similar (spread within +/-10). In Dukes 1st road game, at Troy, they win 34-17. Thats the same Troy team that lost 66-0 @ Georgia.

The Canes have already played @ LVille and @ Nebraska (night game to boot). Duke Johnson will be the best player on the field, and Brad Kaaya will be the main reason. Yep, he lost his 1st start at LVille, no big shocker. Since then, hes gotten better every game (offense scoring 34 ppg).

On the other side, Boone is a decent QB, but he doesnt have many weapons. He will target Crowder a lot for short gains. They dont have a RB thats scary, and thats what killed Miami thus far. I watched a good part of the Tulane game, and even thoughh Duke won 47-13, they were a couple plays away from being in a dogfight (safety, 2 pick 6's and other missed opportunities by the Wave).

So, you have Duke getting its first real test of the year, on the road, @ night. Miami has already seen bigger, faster and better....

I expect DJ to have a great game and Kaaya to do very well.I like Miami to win 38-23. If the Doookies can rise up, then so be it. I have lost plenty of bets before.

 

The reason I dont do writeups for every play is because it doesnt do that much good. Everyone has access to stats and trends. Everyone can see more games now. The hard part is putting all the pieces together and having your mind and instincts have a discussion. Often the brain will go with what its seen and heard, but the gut is always there (if you have that gambling trait), to warn you of impending danger. For example, getting a 4-0 team +7.....

The Maryland game and this game are actually quite different. Terps, after being pretty unimpressive so far, open as a small dog on the road vs a team that just beat a top 20 team....not surprising. Now, Miami, being 2-2 facing a 4-0 team that hasnt played anybody, opens at -4.....

 

bol

why waste your time train? This guy is clearly set on betting duke...his question is simply rhetorical.  He doesn't want to hear any solid reasons against his play/lean as you have provided.  After all you have written he responds with post #21...not even acknowledging your valid points. This is why I no longer do write ups...they are pointless. By the way train, I'm very close to making Mia a play...gl bud.
 
 
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Posted: #25
I keep thinking of the Miami coach in his white shirt and tie on the sidelines with that head scratching look on his face and i see 

Many wrong teams favorites early in CF  look at last week with Miss State , LSU 

don't let the lines cloud your judgement .


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