Dr. Strangelove Week 4

YTD: 6-4

 

A bit of a bad beat last week with CMU. You could have got them at +21.5 (briefly) right before kickoff. Timing is everything!

 

Florida State -2 ....I'm guessing this line will move to 3/3.5...but my antenna on line moves hasn't given me strong signals this season.

Illinois +9

Still pissed I missed the 10. 

I mad also missing ILLY, I really thought that would go the other way

I think the Husker fans drove it up to 10, and then somebody came in and hit it hard down 8. We might see it go up a little again before kickoff. 

Texas Tech/ASU over 58.5

Best of Luck this week Sir!!

BOL with your plays Docta!  

Good luck Dr. S.  

GL this week Doc

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

@DrStrangelove

 I was just looking at this game.  Doesn’t look like much D here.  

Doc, how strange is your love?

bol

pal

It's still a week or two early to roll out the running Dogs (PRD's), but here's a few guesses I have based on how these teams have performed so far. Just keep in mind that some of these stats have been racked up against inferior competition. So play at your own risk. 

 

 

Possible PRD's

 

South Alabama +8

ULL +2.5 (damn! I kinda like Tulane)

Houston +3

Kansas +2.5

CCU +3.5

Temple +6.5 (I probably won't touch this unless it goes back up to 7)

Navy +9

Michigan +5

ASU +3.5

ECU +6.5

Tulsa +2.5

Minnesota +2.5 (holding out for a 3)

Baylor +1.5

 

Weird movement on this total. It was bet up to 61.5. Now back down to 59.5. I wouldn't play it unless I could get a 59 (key number) or lower. Neither team has much defense to speak of. Texas St moved it up and down the field on ASU before they stiffened up in the 4th quarter.. 

We like a lot of the same lines but I feel Vegas is real real sharp this week and did not leave too much to carve off of ....some grabbed what could be carved 

 

I am doing a watching splurge on Saturday and definitely will be making some parlays and ingame plays before it all begins. I frankly found it hard to suggest in my thread to grab something I love because I am seeing so many coinflip spreads.

 

I went teasers and hoped that advantage with the right keys brings home the cash

 

BOL DOC 

@Last2thirst

I'm limiting my picks until I get more of a solid database on these rushing teams. I might play one or two more this week depending on line moves. I'll get a better idea next week since many of these teams are going into conference play. Right now they are all guesses. GL this week.

 

He's catching the falling knife with FSU and I'm tailing.  You decide. 

@DrStrangelove

 

 I'm liking Coastal, Navy and Michigan myself.  I'm also eyeballing Rutgers over VT.  

BOL 

Iowa is incredible on the road i conference as a small Chalk.    I just question Minny after they failed against UNC. 

 

I am not playing that total as I cant evaluate  overs well. 

 

go get em this  week

Yep, pretty much. FSU is 0-2 in conference play. They know if they lose this one it's over almost before the season begins. The Noles didn't look at all excited to play Memphis last week. It should be different this week. Just a hunch on my part, I could be wrong. One of those backs to the wall plays..

Navy COULD be in a good spot with Memphis coming in feeling good about themselves after beating up on the Noles. Navy 1st half could be a good play. Still thinking this one over and hoping for a 9.5 or 10. I like Michigan in this spot, although USC is still a bit of a wildcard. But +5 is kind of a "no man's land"  number. Maybe it comes from years of playing this line, but it seems to favor the dogs more often than not. At least on the games that I've played. CCU is a potential running dog, but I'm going to be careful betting this team this season. They are a "play against" team for me, but just a minor one. They could repeat the 8 ATS wins performance from last season, but my spread formula says it's not likely to happen.

It's always tough for me to bet against Iowa at less than a FG. I would need at least a 3 before I consider it. Of course the under is always in play with these two teams. The first half under 17 could also be good. If I see a 17.5 I might make it a small play.

Probable Runnng Dog (PRD) South Alabama outrushed Appy St last night 320 to 119!