Posted:
#51
@WahooS
GL on your plays amigo and Hammer 'em!! 
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Conference Championship Money
Posted:
#52
Quote Originally Posted by Luv2Win06:
I’m thinking penn state 1h wahoo but I hope Oregon smashes them!I just think Oregon had a respectable win over Washington who’s still a good team.. and penn state won’t take them light 1h
now that may be ok there before the Franklin choke factor sinks in ha
I’m thinking penn state 1h wahoo but I hope Oregon smashes them!I just think Oregon had a respectable win over Washington who’s still a good team.. and penn state won’t take them light 1h
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1
Posted:
#53
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:
Quote Originally Posted by Yanasaur: I know what you mean when you lay off something you identify and like and it ends up being an easy winner it can be really dejecting. I went very heavy on Oregon -3.5. I thought this game would be hung at 6.5 or 7. This is my biggest bet of the year. Also like Clemson ml. beating the mindfuk is always a challenge, especially when you make the correct bet & it loses, passing on winners, betting a bad number & losing by a hook, all of it, just part of what we do I’ve learned over the years to not get emotional about it, 25 years ago I’d break a tv, now I hit the vape & move on to the next week haha I think we have to constantly evolve Ducks are your biggest bet of the year? Wow, I hope they come through for us, I just bet it standard on my end
Quote Originally Posted by Yanasaur: I know what you mean when you lay off something you identify and like and it ends up being an easy winner it can be really dejecting. I went very heavy on Oregon -3.5. I thought this game would be hung at 6.5 or 7. This is my biggest bet of the year. Also like Clemson ml. beating the mindfuk is always a challenge, especially when you make the correct bet & it loses, passing on winners, betting a bad number & losing by a hook, all of it, just part of what we do I’ve learned over the years to not get emotional about it, 25 years ago I’d break a tv, now I hit the vape & move on to the next week haha I think we have to constantly evolve Ducks are your biggest bet of the year? Wow, I hope they come through for us, I just bet it standard on my end
Oh yes I've lost by the hook a few times this year, and I've had a few bad beats, the worst of which was a 2u bet on Baylor vs Colorado when they had a big lead late and fell to the hail mary and then fumbled over the goal line in OT....That was brutal.
I really believe the Ducks will easily handle business vs PSU. Its 3u bet for me, so biggest of the year but nothing crazy, I am disciplined with bankroll. 90% are just 1u, I think I made maybe 3 or 4 2u bets this year only.
1
Posted:
#55
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69: Ducks Alt Line worth looking into..... Oregon 37 Peanut Head St 17 I was thinking 31-20 ducks were - 2 for a bit, I missed it, had to do a double take espn has Penn st 51% to win, their matchup predictor is watching something different than I am or I need lasik again Lanning is a maniac & will have the Ducks breathing fire out there, he wants that conference title in his first season in B1G speaking of that Oregon in first season big10 SMU in first season Acc Texas in first year of SEC Arizona St in first year of Big12 I’d say each of those obviously improved their conferences & clearly can compete
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69: Ducks Alt Line worth looking into..... Oregon 37 Peanut Head St 17 I was thinking 31-20 ducks were - 2 for a bit, I missed it, had to do a double take espn has Penn st 51% to win, their matchup predictor is watching something different than I am or I need lasik again Lanning is a maniac & will have the Ducks breathing fire out there, he wants that conference title in his first season in B1G speaking of that Oregon in first season big10 SMU in first season Acc Texas in first year of SEC Arizona St in first year of Big12 I’d say each of those obviously improved their conferences & clearly can compete
And Army in their first year in the AAC.
1
Posted:
#58
The line seems low at 3/3.5. I think the handicap does not come down to speed, but the trenches. Sure Oregon has burners but PSU is not a slow team. In fact they are more likely to over pursue and get burned. Which brings me back to the trench. To Bridges point PSU goes from really solid RT to maybe replacement level on a good team. That matters a lot for a plodding but creative offense that relies on development of plays. PSU needs to run and control clock to have a shot. On the other side, I do think PSU can cause problems for Oregon in the front 7. If they can't, yes, the popular opinion in this thread (and on the splits.. saw 90/95 today, yet the line hasn't moved...) will prevail.
FWIW: I do think Oregon can burn PSU over the top with those WRs but I actually think PSU may have better back 4 and depth than OSU. It's going to depend on time to throw and oregons run game to open it up. PSU has no deep passing game outside of schemed shots to Warren or #5, so OSU was largely untested outside of Oregon who BURNED them. We know Indiana couldn't hold up.
Edit: a little more context. The DEs PSU presents will be the best Oregon has seen, including the returnee$ at OSU. Watch that game if you don't believe me, where they made Howard's life difficult but over pursued a handful of times leading to big plays. Howard missed a few bombs on wash outs too. Gabriel wont. And PSU is not lacking options in the middle between a pass rusher tweener Durant and 3 dudes who can play 1 tech (though have been hit been attrition here). I expect them to go pass rush so if Oregon can establish the run PSU will be in trouble. At LB they are good not great (can be taken advantage of) and if no pressure, the corners can be beat. The safeties are near top of conference imo but injury to Winston has hurt upside and depth.
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Posted:
#59
Quote Originally Posted by Skanless1:
Definitely leaned Oregon initially. However, Wahoo.. any concern about the fact that, with a loss, OREGON might have a more favorable path to the championship than if they win, with how the bracket currently projects?
Definitely leaned Oregon initially. However, Wahoo.. any concern about the fact that, with a loss, OREGON might have a more favorable path to the championship than if they win, with how the bracket currently projects?
Crazy but I was thinking the same thing. I have the Ducks at -3 but just a standard play. 
You learn more from losing than winning. You learn how to keep going.
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BOL
Posted:
#62
Quote Originally Posted by Skanless1:
Definitely leaned Oregon initially. However, Wahoo.. any concern about the fact that, with a loss, OREGON might have a more favorable path to the championship than if they win, with how the bracket currently projects?
I’ve not thought of this because I’d think winning a conference title & being the top seed is what that program wants
Definitely leaned Oregon initially. However, Wahoo.. any concern about the fact that, with a loss, OREGON might have a more favorable path to the championship than if they win, with how the bracket currently projects?
I’ve had the chance now to watch lots of Penn st & Oregon last few days & it now appears to me that the lions should be able to run on the ducks & their style of defense may matchup vs Ducks, I’m not sure I’ll keep Oregon now, I’ve also talked to about 50 people this week & not a single person likes Penn St that I know so that’s generally not my favorite side to be on
im not disagreeing with you on angle but I do think Oregon will try to win this game for sure, can’t imagine them wanting to lose to improve their path
I like a couple other games more now so will likely add those & may bail on ducks
Franklin is now the sole reason I’d even bet ducks, not a matchup on the field like I initially thought
your Tide may get in, that’s absurd to me after losing by 21 at OU but here we are
happy holidays amigo
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0
Posted:
#63
Quote Originally Posted by JozKnows:
The line seems low at 3/3.5. I think the handicap does not come down to speed, but the trenches. Sure Oregon has burners but PSU is not a slow team. In fact they are more likely to over pursue and get burned. Which brings me back to the trench. To Bridges point PSU goes from really solid RT to maybe replacement level on a good team. That matters a lot for a plodding but creative offense that relies on development of plays. PSU needs to run and control clock to have a shot. On the other side, I do think PSU can cause problems for Oregon in the front 7. If they can't, yes, the popular opinion in this thread (and on the splits.. saw 90/95 today, yet the line hasn't moved...) will prevail. FWIW: I do think Oregon can burn PSU over the top with those WRs but I actually think PSU may have better back 4 and depth than OSU. It's going to depend on time to throw and oregons run game to open it up. PSU has no deep passing game outside of schemed shots to Warren or #5, so OSU was largely untested outside of Oregon who BURNED them. We know Indiana couldn't hold up. Edit: a little more context. The DEs PSU presents will be the best Oregon has seen, including the returnee$ at OSU. Watch that game if you don't believe me, where they made Howard's life difficult but over pursued a handful of times leading to big plays. Howard missed a few bombs on wash outs too. Gabriel wont. And PSU is not lacking options in the middle between a pass rusher tweener Durant and 3 dudes who can play 1 tech (though have been hit been attrition here). I expect them to go pass rush so if Oregon can establish the run PSU will be in trouble. At LB they are good not great (can be taken advantage of) and if no pressure, the corners can be beat. The safeties are near top of conference imo but injury to Winston has hurt upside and depth.
The line seems low at 3/3.5. I think the handicap does not come down to speed, but the trenches. Sure Oregon has burners but PSU is not a slow team. In fact they are more likely to over pursue and get burned. Which brings me back to the trench. To Bridges point PSU goes from really solid RT to maybe replacement level on a good team. That matters a lot for a plodding but creative offense that relies on development of plays. PSU needs to run and control clock to have a shot. On the other side, I do think PSU can cause problems for Oregon in the front 7. If they can't, yes, the popular opinion in this thread (and on the splits.. saw 90/95 today, yet the line hasn't moved...) will prevail. FWIW: I do think Oregon can burn PSU over the top with those WRs but I actually think PSU may have better back 4 and depth than OSU. It's going to depend on time to throw and oregons run game to open it up. PSU has no deep passing game outside of schemed shots to Warren or #5, so OSU was largely untested outside of Oregon who BURNED them. We know Indiana couldn't hold up. Edit: a little more context. The DEs PSU presents will be the best Oregon has seen, including the returnee$ at OSU. Watch that game if you don't believe me, where they made Howard's life difficult but over pursued a handful of times leading to big plays. Howard missed a few bombs on wash outs too. Gabriel wont. And PSU is not lacking options in the middle between a pass rusher tweener Durant and 3 dudes who can play 1 tech (though have been hit been attrition here). I expect them to go pass rush so if Oregon can establish the run PSU will be in trouble. At LB they are good not great (can be taken advantage of) and if no pressure, the corners can be beat. The safeties are near top of conference imo but injury to Winston has hurt upside and depth.
I had only watched them vs Ohio St & USC & they didn’t seem quick to me
the field was slowish when they played Bucs
I think they’d lose in the sec because of speed but we will see in the playoffs
I do agree with some of your post for sure, thanks for stopping in
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Posted:
#65
Tulane @ Army thoughts
this matchup is definitely favoring Tulane, the army defensive metrics are awful, there are couple factors keeping me away
1. how is Tulane mentally after getting beat by Memphis???
2. their coach is getting another job very soon so is his head all there now that playoff chance is finished???
3. Its going to be freezing weather & Tulane doesn’t play in weather like that
all these factors likely help army but these teams wouldn’t be close on a neutral in 60 degrees, they do what Dame did to them in that scenario imo
this is 100% going to be a “live bet” type of game because IF Tulane wants to be there they should win by 7 or more, the matchups simply favor the wave imo
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Posted:
#71
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:
Quote Originally Posted by JozKnows: The line seems low at 3/3.5. I think the handicap does not come down to speed, but the trenches. Sure Oregon has burners but PSU is not a slow team. In fact they are more likely to over pursue and get burned. Which brings me back to the trench. To Bridges point PSU goes from really solid RT to maybe replacement level on a good team. That matters a lot for a plodding but creative offense that relies on development of plays. PSU needs to run and control clock to have a shot. On the other side, I do think PSU can cause problems for Oregon in the front 7. If they can't, yes, the popular opinion in this thread (and on the splits.. saw 90/95 today, yet the line hasn't moved...) will prevail. FWIW: I do think Oregon can burn PSU over the top with those WRs but I actually think PSU may have better back 4 and depth than OSU. It's going to depend on time to throw and oregons run game to open it up. PSU has no deep passing game outside of schemed shots to Warren or #5, so OSU was largely untested outside of Oregon who BURNED them. We know Indiana couldn't hold up. Edit: a little more context. The DEs PSU presents will be the best Oregon has seen, including the returnee$ at OSU. Watch that game if you don't believe me, where they made Howard's life difficult but over pursued a handful of times leading to big plays. Howard missed a few bombs on wash outs too. Gabriel wont. And PSU is not lacking options in the middle between a pass rusher tweener Durant and 3 dudes who can play 1 tech (though have been hit been attrition here). I expect them to go pass rush so if Oregon can establish the run PSU will be in trouble. At LB they are good not great (can be taken advantage of) and if no pressure, the corners can be beat. The safeties are near top of conference imo but injury to Winston has hurt upside and depth. I had only watched them vs Ohio St & USC & they didn’t seem quick to me the field was slowish when they played Bucs I think they’d lose in the sec because of speed but we will see in the playoffs I do agree with some of your post for sure, thanks for stopping in
Interesting line to say the least as they were 3.5 dogs at home vs OSU... Now only 3.5 dogs to Oregon at a neutral site.. Watch PSU every game.... Not slow at all.. In fact kinda quick to the ball on defense ... On offense different story but there RB's can be a load.. May have looked slow vs OSU because that grass was so high you could have lost a golf ball in it.. On purpose to slow down OSU wr's .. Like PSU O-cord.. Andy.. But seemed bland vs OSU.. JMO but vs Oregon I think they open their bag of tricks formation wise ect.. GL.. Can see your love for Oregon.. PSU QB is hot and cold .. IMO he will decide the winner... Line is a mind bender to me... Quote Originally Posted by JozKnows: The line seems low at 3/3.5. I think the handicap does not come down to speed, but the trenches. Sure Oregon has burners but PSU is not a slow team. In fact they are more likely to over pursue and get burned. Which brings me back to the trench. To Bridges point PSU goes from really solid RT to maybe replacement level on a good team. That matters a lot for a plodding but creative offense that relies on development of plays. PSU needs to run and control clock to have a shot. On the other side, I do think PSU can cause problems for Oregon in the front 7. If they can't, yes, the popular opinion in this thread (and on the splits.. saw 90/95 today, yet the line hasn't moved...) will prevail. FWIW: I do think Oregon can burn PSU over the top with those WRs but I actually think PSU may have better back 4 and depth than OSU. It's going to depend on time to throw and oregons run game to open it up. PSU has no deep passing game outside of schemed shots to Warren or #5, so OSU was largely untested outside of Oregon who BURNED them. We know Indiana couldn't hold up. Edit: a little more context. The DEs PSU presents will be the best Oregon has seen, including the returnee$ at OSU. Watch that game if you don't believe me, where they made Howard's life difficult but over pursued a handful of times leading to big plays. Howard missed a few bombs on wash outs too. Gabriel wont. And PSU is not lacking options in the middle between a pass rusher tweener Durant and 3 dudes who can play 1 tech (though have been hit been attrition here). I expect them to go pass rush so if Oregon can establish the run PSU will be in trouble. At LB they are good not great (can be taken advantage of) and if no pressure, the corners can be beat. The safeties are near top of conference imo but injury to Winston has hurt upside and depth. I had only watched them vs Ohio St & USC & they didn’t seem quick to me the field was slowish when they played Bucs I think they’d lose in the sec because of speed but we will see in the playoffs I do agree with some of your post for sure, thanks for stopping in
Be careful with the axe Eugene.
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Posted:
#72
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst: I feel good even with -3.5 and pressing a little on the DUCKS.....lets get it Hoo How are things going? Did you get back on the saddle with a new pup I think you mentioned? Nothing but respect and love for da smoking cat I did get a pup, been training the new addition to my household, going well, my betting will come back to normal levels soon my friend, it’s all about choosing wisely the smoking cat continues the winning journey bless you brotha, best this week
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst: I feel good even with -3.5 and pressing a little on the DUCKS.....lets get it Hoo How are things going? Did you get back on the saddle with a new pup I think you mentioned? Nothing but respect and love for da smoking cat I did get a pup, been training the new addition to my household, going well, my betting will come back to normal levels soon my friend, it’s all about choosing wisely the smoking cat continues the winning journey bless you brotha, best this week
Wahoo, congrats on your new pup. I would have told you to wait a little bit longer thou, just so you dont try to compare the new pup to Your Other Dog. I have gone thru losing so many Pets(Family), started to lose count.
Good luck
with the new pup? whats the breed and he or she name?
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Posted:
#74
Quote Originally Posted by WahooS:
Tulane @ Army thoughts this matchup is definitely favoring Tulane, the army defensive metrics are awful, there are couple factors keeping me away 1. how is Tulane mentally after getting beat by Memphis??? 2. their coach is getting another job very soon so is his head all there now that playoff chance is finished??? 3. Its going to be freezing weather & Tulane doesn’t play in weather like that all these factors likely help army but these teams wouldn’t be close on a neutral in 60 degrees, they do what Dame did to them in that scenario imo this is 100% going to be a “live bet” type of game because IF Tulane wants to be there they should win by 7 or more, the matchups simply favor the wave imo
Tulane @ Army thoughts this matchup is definitely favoring Tulane, the army defensive metrics are awful, there are couple factors keeping me away 1. how is Tulane mentally after getting beat by Memphis??? 2. their coach is getting another job very soon so is his head all there now that playoff chance is finished??? 3. Its going to be freezing weather & Tulane doesn’t play in weather like that all these factors likely help army but these teams wouldn’t be close on a neutral in 60 degrees, they do what Dame did to them in that scenario imo this is 100% going to be a “live bet” type of game because IF Tulane wants to be there they should win by 7 or more, the matchups simply favor the wave imo
100% in agreement with you, which is why I'm leaning towards Army. Whenever a team has a "bubble burst" loss, like Tulane experienced against Memphis, and Army had against Notre Dame, it tends to carry over to the next game. Tulane blew their CFP shot, and blew their chance to host this game. I can't imagine we'll see their best effort here, especially in freezing temps!
1
Posted:
#75
@WahooS
Oregon SHOULD win. I was surprised that the line is that low. Thought Oregon would be closer to 6 or at least 4.5. And yes, I’ve seen hardly anyone on Penn State. I’ll have to check out the bet %s on each side.
And yes Looks like Alabama will get in I’m obviously happy about that, but not sure if they deserve it or will do much They are very schizophrenic They have the best wins, but also some really bad losses. Their D is pretty shaky and they are uncharacteristically undisciplined at times. I DO think they’d beat Miami by 6 or so if they played so there’s that Should be interesting
Happy Holidays to you too bro You’re one of the few reasons I still come back here
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