Quote Originally Posted by Bridge1: Word up Wise... Saw the Yahoo top 25 today (minus big/pac, etc)... some recent news made on some of those way up there teams .. Oklahoma #4 - Already down Kennedy Brooks, but #2 RB Stevenson is suspended a couple games now unclear how many/how long just said several... #2 QB Tanner Mordechai is out a period of time w injury... maybe no big deal but sounded like he was gunna at least compete w Rattler .... Caleb Kelly starting LB out with an ACL, DL Jalen Redmond most sacks LY looks like he'll be RS'ing due to some legal trouble.. that line already had a few questions on it ... IDK... Its starting to add up .. Clem at #1 .... their 3 projected starting WR's not in the scrimmage and missing practice... unclear what the deal is with them but Amari was out for a good part of LY and replacing the 3 super studs this year.... eek? UF at #6... their 3 proj. WR's missing practice .. speculation they might Opt.. figure a headline would note if they were back but didn't see that rectified yet.. Bridge , as a Bettor , this concerns me a great deal . With Bookmakers eager to hang some lines and get some revenue coming in , and Cappers looking to put some cash to work, this could be a major problem for bettors. Players not practicing in protest , the potential for treams to have multiple opt outs at a position ,will make it hard to guage production from teams in Week 1. If I'm a Clemson backer , and their WR's ain't practicing , Books are still gonna put a line up like everything is OK. I don't use stats to cap a matchup because stats don't reflect the exact matchup itself , just how teams played vs other opponents . IMO , a stat based capping method will prove to be a futile exercise this season. Last minute roster moves for health issues ,players playing out of shape , etc . will make cashing in week 1 very challenging. FYI , if you can find out which schools will have a " non contact " policy for practices, this should be looked at when capping week 1 games. Don't bet early just to be in the action , make the wager only when you are sure of the teams status on gameday. It may save you some money.
Just to clarify this . while I do not use stats to cap a matchup , I do look at them to see
what the public is likely to see and which way a line is likely to move.
Understanding direction on line movement will more likely help you get a better price
on a wager. Better price = greater chance to make a profit.
GLTA