ARKANSAS @ MISSOURI: A Black Friday TROLL-SMASHING Special, from me to those who ENJOY Write-Ups!

$100/$200 PLO.

That is a game professionals play in.

For someone who has a BA from Stanford and a graduate degree from Harvard Business School, it sure looks like you took a different path in life!

I know some pretty big poker and gambling degens and none, and I do mean NONE, have degrees from highly esteemed universities like that.

If you are really playing in that game, you are dancing with the devil sir.

That game is underground. If it is, I'd be very worried about the characters I'd meet in that game and/or that place getting held up. There's massive amounts of money on the table in a game like that. It's a bad economy. People want that kind of easy money.

I've played underground. Here's what I thought: "If I get whacked here, no one will ever find me. They'll throw me in the Hudson and that will be that." I don't want to leave this earth like that. I left the game and only played in AC live after that.  

Anyhow, thanks for the offer, but no. Can't do it. But I will be in this threads with posted picks if you want to fade the syndicates!

Last2thirst

kc t6 1133 mws urban bws urban sacker Oktober (and everyone on the previous page)

Good comments. This spot is solid. I am comfortable. If I am comfortable, that is just another star in grade for a play. I was not comfortable with several plays this year, still posted them and it didn't work out. I have followed Missouri. I may wait and entire year to fade a team. I did the same thing against New Mexico (waiting for the right time to fade) and it worked out well for us.

Let's just hope the Bills somehow, some way get a shot, just a shot to make the playoffs in the final week of the season @ NY Jets. It's a longshot at .500 but it's not dead.

THAT will be a MASSIVE play if the Bills are healthy at their key positions. You could bring back Namath, Gastineau, Klecko, Toon, Curtis Martin, and all the Jet greats and Rex will have his team ready to beat them on that day. He would have a heart attack on the field and deny medical attention if it meant losing to the Jets under those circumstances. So CHEER for the Bills because if we get that play, we are all going to make a hell of a lot of money! 

Quote Originally Posted by jdr016:

As of right now, 87% of the public on Arkansas and the line has moved from -9 to -7.5. 

Missouri has done well this year when the public was against them big at home. Public was on Georgia big as a touchdown favorite and they only won by 1. Public was on Vanderbilt big as a 3.5 point underdog and Missouri won by 9. 

Happy Thanksgiving to you and your family! 

Not true. Why? It only applies to ONE game vs. Georgia who they lost to 28-27 at home as 7 point dogs. In all the other home games they were favored and the public was on them.

Public wasn't on Vandy big. If they were, the line wouldn't have moved against Vandy from Mizzou -3 to Mizzou -3.5 (unless you want to talk reverse line movement and then the books screwed themselves because Mizzou covered all spreads).

Books had that line at Mizzou -3.5 the entire time or -2 and it went to -3.5 which means more money on Mizzou.

So we are only addressing ONE game vs. Georgia, a team that almost lost to Nichols state the week before and then got bombed by Ole miss the week after 45-14, showing their true colors in an early rough opening stretch which Mizzou could not beat them in. One cover is not enough to substantiate an argument.

Anyhow, Happy

Precisely, they are too well-schooled in fact. Which is why I essentially traded almost all my poker for capping. I couldn't believe how much the average player understood about the game at even the most benign limits. No advantage there.

Capping? Wow. I can't even begin to express how much of an advantage the average player has if they limit their volume with a slate of 60 games available. You can find ONE winner there. And I just preface that with staying away from the biggest games, as you noted, which have by far the sharpest lines.

The line on Bama/A&M was just glorious. -18 and it danced between that and -19.5. Amazing line setting. Vegas will get it wrong on the small conferences but they most certainly nail the big ones. Even this LSU/Bama -7 line was incredible. Beautiful.

No problem. I'll keep 'em comin'.

Monster