Posted:
#351
Quote Originally Posted by DAWGPRINT:
Congrats....who do you have tomorrow??? 
He will tell you after the games are over. 
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ARKANSAS @ MISSOURI: A Black Friday TROLL-SMASHING Special, from me to those who ENJOY Write-Ups!
Posted:
#354
Quote Originally Posted by mws:
Again, Scalabrine, I hope you're able to ignore the idiots and keep doing what you do so well.
Again, Scalabrine, I hope you're able to ignore the idiots and keep doing what you do so well.
I've been through a decade of this. Believe me, I'm well-conditioned to weather the storm.
I mean, look at JDR, a troll extraordinaire, ragging on....trolls, claiming he went 5-0, had Mizzou and claims he has AZ when they had a 28-7 lead.
Do they have no shame. DO THEY HAVE NO MUTH******** SHAME!!!!
Just for the record, I said in this thread I would have other plays on Saturday because if this one ever lost (it did) it would be claimed I was 'chasing'. The accusation has already occurred here on this page. All my plays were all capped already. One happened to fall a day earlier so whoever says that can shove it up their a**.
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Posted:
#355
I really wouldn't worry about it to much Scal. You had the right side, Unfortunately, the best side does not always win. This game was teetering on a blowout late in the 1st half and in the 3rd qtr as well. The Hogs controlled the ball for 25 minutes in the 1st half for 318. 1st and goal in the 3rd qtr. 6:55 to go in the 3rd Allen throws an int on the goal line on 3rd down. Just throw the ball away and kick the 3. After that the key sequence occurred. Tigers survive an almost int inside the 10 twice on the following series. Then go for it on a fake punt on 4th and 7 from their own end zone. The Game turned at this point. Unlikely, but it happened. After that Uncle Mo was all Tigers. Sh@t happens, and it did here. Don't let it deter you.
If you can't close you can't cover.
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Posted:
#357
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
I've been through a decade of this. Believe me, I'm well-conditioned to weather the storm.
I mean, look at JDR, a troll extraordinaire, ragging on....trolls, claiming he went 5-0, had Mizzou and claims he has AZ when they had a 28-7 lead.
Do they have no shame. DO THEY HAVE NO MUTH******** SHAME!!!!
Just for the record, I said in this thread I would have other plays on Saturday because if this one ever lost (it did) it would be claimed I was 'chasing'. The accusation has already occurred here on this page. All my plays were all capped already. One happened to fall a day earlier so whoever says that can shove it up their a**.
Keen for your other plays my man. You've made me more money gambling on NFL/NBA than any one ever has, so dont stress about the trolls!
Cheers from Australia my man!
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Posted:
#358
Well, I didn't like Arkansas because I just think they're a bad team this year. I went into a lot of detail earlier in this thread, but they don't have it this year and I figured that out after the LSU game where I was pretty stunned they were not competitive at home. But no sense in jumping on anyone in any of these threads.
With that being said, I liked WSU a lot today and they got bent over and raw dogged by Washington. And then they took a big load of jizz to their face. These college teams really are all over the place week to week, the only exception being Alabama.
College is tough to handicap for a couple reasons. Sample size and uneven schedules. Teams are different year to year, moreso than the NFL. The uneven schedules lead to a lot of guessing because you can't see many patterns. And small sample size hurts. NFL you get 16 games vs competition in which all teams have top of the line athletes playing each other. College you get 2-3 games out of conference that tell you nothing and 8 conference games with teams who have major talent differentials between the top to the middle to the bottom. Hard to evaluate.
The NFL is profitable because teasers are so effective there, and they aren't nearly as effective in college.
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+1
Posted:
#362
Quote Originally Posted by fluffybucker69:
Well, I didn't like Arkansas because I just think they're a bad team this year. I went into a lot of detail earlier in this thread, but they don't have it this year and I figured that out after the LSU game where I was pretty stunned they were not competitive at home. But no sense in jumping on anyone in any of these threads.
With that being said, I liked WSU a lot today and they got bent over and raw dogged by Washington. And then they took a big load of jizz to their face. These college teams really are all over the place week to week, the only exception being Alabama.
College is tough to handicap for a couple reasons. Sample size and uneven schedules. Teams are different year to year, moreso than the NFL. The uneven schedules lead to a lot of guessing because you can't see many patterns. And small sample size hurts. NFL you get 16 games vs competition in which all teams have top of the line athletes playing each other. College you get 2-3 games out of conference that tell you nothing and 8 conference games with teams who have major talent differentials between the top to the middle to the bottom. Hard to evaluate.
The NFL is profitable because teasers are so effective there, and they aren't nearly as effective in college.
NO DISRESPECT
BUT I THINK YOU ARE WRONG = DISAGREE WITH EVERYTHING ABOVE
BEST OF HEALTH, HAPPINESS,WEALTH, BLESSINGS and LUCK TO ALL !!
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Posted:
#363
Quote Originally Posted by FunKyRufus:
I really wouldn't worry about it to much Scal. You had the right side, Unfortunately, the best side does not always win. This game was teetering on a blowout late in the 1st half and in the 3rd qtr as well. The Hogs controlled the ball for 25 minutes in the 1st half for 318. 1st and goal in the 3rd qtr. 6:55 to go in the 3rd Allen throws an int on the goal line on 3rd down. Just throw the ball away and kick the 3. After that the key sequence occurred. Tigers survive an almost int inside the 10 twice on the following series. Then go for it on a fake punt on 4th and 7 from their own end zone. The Game turned at this point. Unlikely, but it happened. After that Uncle Mo was all Tigers. Sh@t happens, and it did here. Don't let it deter you.
I really wouldn't worry about it to much Scal. You had the right side, Unfortunately, the best side does not always win. This game was teetering on a blowout late in the 1st half and in the 3rd qtr as well. The Hogs controlled the ball for 25 minutes in the 1st half for 318. 1st and goal in the 3rd qtr. 6:55 to go in the 3rd Allen throws an int on the goal line on 3rd down. Just throw the ball away and kick the 3. After that the key sequence occurred. Tigers survive an almost int inside the 10 twice on the following series. Then go for it on a fake punt on 4th and 7 from their own end zone. The Game turned at this point. Unlikely, but it happened. After that Uncle Mo was all Tigers. Sh@t happens, and it did here. Don't let it deter you.
Very nice recap. Very true.
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Posted:
#364
Quote Originally Posted by fluffybucker69:
Well, I didn't like Arkansas because I just think they're a bad team this year. I went into a lot of detail earlier in this thread, but they don't have it this year and I figured that out after the LSU game where I was pretty stunned they were not competitive at home. But no sense in jumping on anyone in any of these threads.
With that being said, I liked WSU a lot today and they got bent over and raw dogged by Washington. And then they took a big load of jizz to their face. These college teams really are all over the place week to week, the only exception being Alabama.
College is tough to handicap for a couple reasons. Sample size and uneven schedules. Teams are different year to year, moreso than the NFL. The uneven schedules lead to a lot of guessing because you can't see many patterns. And small sample size hurts. NFL you get 16 games vs competition in which all teams have top of the line athletes playing each other. College you get 2-3 games out of conference that tell you nothing and 8 conference games with teams who have major talent differentials between the top to the middle to the bottom. Hard to evaluate.
The NFL is profitable because teasers are so effective there, and they aren't nearly as effective in college.
Teasers ARE more valuable in the NFL. You are absolutely right. BUT they are very hard to hit.
In comparison straight lines in CFB are easier.
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Posted:
#367
Quote Originally Posted by scalabrine:
3. RB Demarea Crockett was suspended for the season finale after an arrest.I posted this earlier in the week. He set a Missouri rookie rushing record with 225 yards against Tennessee and the Volunteers still beat them 63-37. Now take those 225 yards away and think about what the score would have been. Well we are taking them away for this Arkansas game.Crockett has eclipsed 100 yards in five games, including four times in the past six games. Crockett flipped his commitment from Boise State to Missouri late in the recruiting process, and his performance had been a bright spot in an otherwise bleak season for Missouri.Following Saturday’s game, Crockett expressed excitement for the game against Arkansas, which didn’t recruit him.“Let’s go. Let’s do it. Bring it on,” Crockett said of the Black Friday rivalry game.Think about what a boon to Missouri he could have been here. Now? Gone. All gone. Every yard of offense. So much lost to back up a shaky Drew Lock who is more than willing to throw the INT at the most inopportune time.
3. RB Demarea Crockett was suspended for the season finale after an arrest.I posted this earlier in the week. He set a Missouri rookie rushing record with 225 yards against Tennessee and the Volunteers still beat them 63-37. Now take those 225 yards away and think about what the score would have been. Well we are taking them away for this Arkansas game.Crockett has eclipsed 100 yards in five games, including four times in the past six games. Crockett flipped his commitment from Boise State to Missouri late in the recruiting process, and his performance had been a bright spot in an otherwise bleak season for Missouri.Following Saturday’s game, Crockett expressed excitement for the game against Arkansas, which didn’t recruit him.“Let’s go. Let’s do it. Bring it on,” Crockett said of the Black Friday rivalry game.Think about what a boon to Missouri he could have been here. Now? Gone. All gone. Every yard of offense. So much lost to back up a shaky Drew Lock who is more than willing to throw the INT at the most inopportune time.
You should feel"sick".
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Posted:
#372
Quote Originally Posted by kvs23:
Hi Scal,Your work is amazing. I have been following it for years - I love the breadth of the psychological factors (Rex Ryan bringing it, Marshall fighting for plane crash team, buy-low/sell-high match-ups, etc).Your patience (1-4 plays per week) is great - as well as generally avoiding the ESPN hype games (OSU/Michigan, Alabama/LSU, etc).Keep it up - love it.I sent you a PM (multiple PMs actually). Would love to meet up - I live in NYC - and have some interesting ideas for you (no it is not trying to go sell your picks, etc). Even better. I have talked to GameHunter, Bodio, and others over the years.Please do respond. Have a great thanksgiving - and thanks for the tireless work you put into this forum.Thanks.
Hi Scal,Your work is amazing. I have been following it for years - I love the breadth of the psychological factors (Rex Ryan bringing it, Marshall fighting for plane crash team, buy-low/sell-high match-ups, etc).Your patience (1-4 plays per week) is great - as well as generally avoiding the ESPN hype games (OSU/Michigan, Alabama/LSU, etc).Keep it up - love it.I sent you a PM (multiple PMs actually). Would love to meet up - I live in NYC - and have some interesting ideas for you (no it is not trying to go sell your picks, etc). Even better. I have talked to GameHunter, Bodio, and others over the years.Please do respond. Have a great thanksgiving - and thanks for the tireless work you put into this forum.Thanks.
Great pick
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