21-9 last 30 posts..........ECU@UAB writeup and play

I know, you know who else say's that to me ?

Definitely will play ECU in this spot coming off back to back losses and getting points playing a team they should beat.

Just wanted you thoughts on how much, if at all, this injury could slow down the ECU pasing game?

You're mom?

Best of luck MJ

Good luck CalBear, even with the ECU disgusting defense last week I feel the best about this pick of all week. Teams have to throw out defensive stats against teams like Navy and Air Force. Nobody is prepared for this type of offense even the best teams. Teams never face this sort of attack so they don't focus on it all year except the week before the game and thats not enough time. Actully I'm surprised that really crappy teams don't think about converting to that triple option offense as an advantage.

Quote Originally Posted by BullyBoss:

Nice write up on it as well!

damn she's hot!  

Good luck and I'm with ya on Wandstead (or however you say his name). I like him, but just can't bet on him but when I first looked at the game I was leaning on Pitt, but after capping just couldn't pull the trigger.

I love the way the coach handled this. The kids have to be coached to handle that sort of offense and I like I said 1 week is not enough time. Letting his kids forget about it and start focusing on UAB makes me feel even better about the game. Nice link, great info.

From the press conference link coach thinks he will be ready. Not concerned here as they have talented receivers if he is out......obviously want him to play though.

Cooler999, no reason at all. I just never play the over/under with one exception last Saturday when my Iowa team played at Indiana and I just "had to" have action on the game. The -18.5 spread was ridiculous, but can't bet against my team. I saw the line on the over/under and went with the under. Too be honest, I sort of enjoyed playing the under but just not real comfortable for me but I may continue to see how I would do if I did play over/under but not wagering any money on it for now.

With that said, I can certainly see how people would lean on the over and I see the weather is going to be perfect for football tonight. The only concern I have is ECU defense may be very motivated to make up for last week, ECU had 4 turnovers starting last weeks 2H which kept the defense on the field too long and IF Birmingham thinks the best way to win is to run and grind it out that could be a problem in covering the over in my opinion.

Nice write-up Gilberto......Love the side......ML only +110  3rd highest over on board.

ECU +2, Under 67

.................LuDawg?

Hey Gilberto,Very nice wright up, I'm with ya on E.carolina..

Bol to all..

 BOL gilberto

Someone had asked earlier about the over for this game so I started looking at some comparisons and what is great about UAB and ECU is they have 3 like opponents to compare. This is actually telling me that I personally would stay away from the over if I were to bet it, which I'm not........however there is a line out there on ECU points o/u 32.5 that has me considering ECU over based on what I'm seeing below. Like comparisons to me are extremely telling when you have 3 or more games to compare.

Here is what I have at the moment and my thoughts:

East Carolina at Central Florida  L 35-49 (7 days to prepare)

UAB at Central Florida L 7-42 (12 days to prepare)

Thought: ECU scored 28 more points at the same location and same team and did give up 7 more points. NET outcome: 21 pts ECU

East Carolina at S.Miss W44-43 (after trainling 20-0 1st qtr) ***In addition they won with S.Miss controlling the clock 37:42 to 22:18.

UAB at S.Miss W50-49 (35-35 going into OT)***UAB led game 35-21 with 7:13 left in the 4th.

Thought: ECU scored 9 more points through 4 quarters but gave up 8 more points in 4 quarters. NET outcome: ECU 1 pt advantage. ECU comes back from deficit, UAB blows lead.

ECU at home against Marshall W 37-10 (E. Carolina never trailed in this game, held Marshall to 94 yards rushing, 4-1 to's in ECU favor)

UAB at home lost to Marshall 31-17 (UAB never led in this game, gave up 96 yards rushing, lost to's 2-1)

Thoughts: ECU scored 20 more points and gave up 21 less. NET advantage: 41 points to ECU.

Against these like opponents here are some additional comparisons:

Defensive 3rd down Efficency: ECU 22 of 46   UAB 22 of 46 (damn thats pretty even)

Defensive yards allowed: ECU 1156  UAB 1381 (ECU advantage +225)

Offensive yards gained: ECU 1214  UAB 1051 (ECU advantage +164)

Thought: ECU has a NET advantage against the same teams played in the same stadiums of 389 yards.

ECU outgained the like opponenets by 58 yards while UAB gave up 330