This should be a very entertaining game if you like offense because there won't be much defense being played......however I see a big advantage in this game on several fronts.
ECU Offense: Ranked #7 in passing yards, #22 in total yards and #14 in points scored. This is very impressive to me as they have played tough competition AND on the road. Scored 27 at Va Tech (L 49-27), Scored 17 at North Carolina (L42-17), put up 44 in a 44-43 shoot out victory in SO Miss, and scored 35 in a loss to Central Florida (35-49).
I'm not concerned that they lost 3 of these 4 or the points they gave up, I'm only looking at the moment regarding the Points they scored on the road in very tough places to play........and yes MUCH tougher that UAB. VA Tech is #30 in points allowed (22 in pass yards allowed), N.Carolna is #48 (37 against pass), Southern Miss #63 (#59 pass #25 in total yards allowed), and Central Florida #15 in points allowed (32 against pass and 18 in total yards allowed).
Several things really stand out for me #1 that is some tough defense to go agains #2 very tough road games #3 UAB IS #96 IN POINTS ALLOWED, #101 IN PASS AND #82 TOTAL YARDS ALLOWED..........hello 42 or more points for ECU tomorrow night.
ECU Junior QB Dominique Davis should torch the UAB secondary. He has 26 Td's against 11 picks, over 2700 yards passing and a very high 65% completion percentage. At 6'3 215 he also scores in short goal situations with 7 rushing TDS.
Ok, lets look at the defense. Not pretty......#115 in total yards allowed, #118 in rush and #90 against the pass and they are #117 in points allowed.
Torched by Navy......can't hide from the 521 rushing yards they allowed, damn 521?? There is nothing good to say about the defense so why even try. What I am looking at is UAB doesn't run the triple option so that will be helpful.
UAB Offense: They have averaged a little over 25 points a game at home against weaker teams the ECU (L 31-17 Marshall), (W 21-6 against UTEP), (W34-33 Troy) and LOST to Florida International 31-32.
Some examples where UAB played poor defenses and how did they do: Scored 31 on FLA International (#100 in rush defense, #60 in total yards and #59 in points allowed), scored 34 against Troy (#110 against the pass #80 in points allowed), scored 29 against Tenn (#92 in pass defense, #79 points allowed), and last week at home against Marshall they scored only 17 points against #92 defense.
The most points UAB put up this year was 34 except for the game at S.Miss where they scored 50, however 15 came from OT. This is telling me that UAB should max out at no more that 35.
UAB Junior QB Bryan Ellis only has a 55.3 percent completion percentage, 14 tds and 9 picks (4 picks last 2 games). He is not a mobile QB.
UAB has one of the worst kicking games #120 in FG at 27.8% success rate. They will obviously leave a few points on the field.
Overall ECU has played much harder competition in much harder places. The 4 losses for ECU have been on the road, but the competition was MUCH stronger than UAB.
UAB will be giving up alot of points and I just don't see them scoring enough to keep up and if it is close UAB kicking could likely cost them the game.
Taking East Carolina Pirates +2.5 -120 (bought the hook to come off of a solid number. No pushes wanted.)
Good luck







