2025-2026 NCAA FB ( 151 )

WED  

okay we got Delaware @ Jax st  these 2 teams are identical in scoring and what they give up, both teams avg 29 pts a game and give up 26 pts a game , both average 422 yds a game on offense, and both give up about 400 on defense... Delaware is the passing team and Jax is the running team , Delaware offense is averaging 276 yds passing and 145 rushing, and Jax st is giving up 211 yds passing and 165 rushing.....Jax st is avg 280 rushing and 147 passing and Delaware is giving up 154 rushing and 239 passing , I think this will be a very close game, and it should be good, most likely might come down to turnovers, both teams give the ball away about 1.5 times a game, and both teams are good when it comes to penalties as Delaware averages about 30 yds a game and Jax about 40 

Tonight I am going to go with Jacksonville state +3.5  line at Hardrock dropped to 2.5 so I cant get 3 unless I go to my offshore but I'd rather stay at Hardrock and grab 3.5 at -130  to be honest I think Jax can win this game tonight, for one they have a pretty good pass defense, and their pass rush is in the top 50 and they have 14 sacks this year, and they have been playing 2 qb's and when they play Creel he really gives them a balanced attack, as he is decent passing the ball, and that really helps the running game which is very good already, and Delaware has had issues inside the Red Zone this year as they rank 112th in red zone conversions 

I do not like that Jax st only beat SHS by a couple even though they out gained them by about 150 yds, but Delaware did lose at home to WKY last game after leading at halftime, and we seen what WKY did last night vs a weak team, I am going with a very good running game and a ok passing game and a decent defensive team here at home 

Jax st +3.5  1 unit -130   

not sure about the other game, I will look at it but there you pretty much have 2 not good teams , you have SHS looking for their 1st win and you have UTEP as a small favorite even though they have not covered as a favorite yet and only have 1 ATS cover this year, both these teams average about 17.5 pts a game on offense but Utep is the better defensive team, I mean SHS is giving up about 465 yds on defense, and both teams played Texas this year and Texas beat SHS 55-0 and UTEP went to Texas and lost 27-10 ....also you have UTEP who is only converting about 57% of their trips in the red zone into points, and SHS lets teams convert 3rd downs at 55%    you almost have to take Utep here as a small favorite , BUT I also think SHS has been showing signs of being able to score some points, as they lost by just 2 to Jax st last game and scored 27 pts, and 24 at WKY, and 21 at Hawaii. UTEP just cannot score points  so that worries me too   I could see going either way here tonight to be honest  you have a winless team at home playing a team that has a very hard time scoring points, this could be their best chance to finally get a win here 

gl 151

VANDY dropped to -130 ML  I went ahead and bet them at that price, they were -135 yesterday   , I just do not think it will go much lower , and it is who I want to play , and so went ahead,   

Vandy -130  ML  1 unit might add on Gameday 

Yeah I’ve got Vandy as part of a parlay on ML,also my granddaughter is a med student there so I follow them closely the should win this one.

Looking at S.Miss again here on the road again, at Louisiana S Miss is -3.5 which seems kind of low. S Miss is coming off a 3 point win at Ga Southern last week where they totally dominated the game but late they let Ga southern come back, and covered the 3.5 that many took but I also covered laying 2.5 , it was one of those games that the books hate, because many laid 2.5 and many took 3.5 , but no doubt S Miss had that game, they were up 35-14 late in the 3rd and gave up a TD to make it 35-21 going into the 4th, S Miss kicked a fg to go up 38-21 and then Ga southern threw a INT after a nice drive but s.miss fumbled it right back to give them another chance, 

S Miss had won 10 in a row vs Louisiana until last year when La finally beat them 23-13 but s.miss covered as a 17 pt dog  and s Miss has covered the last 10 vs La, S Miss has scored at least 38 in their last 4 of 5 games, their offense is pretty good ....La is coming off a 14-24 loss at James Madison where most in here were on James Madison -17+, and Louisiana has been giving up a lot of points last 4 they gave up 54 to Missouri, 34 to EMU, and 51 to Marshall in their only win vs div 1 teams  not sure how to read this, line seems low, I would think S Miss feels good going here, with all the wins but their let down late last game is a worry, but also cannot trust Louisiana's defense here either, this could be a high scoring game too, yet the total is only 53.5 which seems low  

just thinking out loud here    always feel free to chime in  anyone   

SMiss in b2b road games that I tend to avoid is my only feel it’s a pass for me.

@RUM151

 Yep… bison down.  Ha.  

My bases tonight won over 600 on my 5 hit parlay with 30% bonus and springer got a hr need polanco to hit one for another 550. 

Well Jax st came through easier than I thought, and did well in bases too, 

Jax st winner

1-0 YTD 78-49. 61.41%

AS ALWAYS WISHING EVERYONE THE BEST.     151

Great Job as usual Rum!

appreciate you sharing your wealth of experience!

adding 

added 2 more plays for this week, going to go with Texas here -12 I just think Texas has started to find a way, I think Manning has finally settled down, and I like how he is starting to run when needed to pick up a 1st down, but I think their defense has finally started to play better also, they are averaging 28 pts a game, I do think this week they get over 30, and their defense will keep KY to a low number, I am seeing a 33-13 34-16 type of game, so I am going ahead and playing this now, I was thinking of lowering this to the good number of 11 but 12 is ok , only way they do not cover is if they turn it over too many times and I do not think they will....KY is giving up just over 400yds on defense and Texas is giving up just 260 a game, I think this week it will be about 440 to 235 and they should get the cover here ...Texas is avg 166 yds rushing and they are giving up just 75 yds a game rushing, I think KY will be forced to try and throw more, which should let Texas's pass rush get going, we seen what happened last week when Oklahoma had to start throwing the ball I expect more of the same
Texas -12 1 unit

also I like the over 61 in the Arkansas game, but I may do what I did last week, when the total in the Arkansas game was 68 I bought it down to 61, and then parlayed it with 2 favorites Tex am and Tex Tech ML, which cost me -110 so I didn't have to pay the juice in buying 7 points but it did win as they scored 65 pts...but in this game I do think 61 is winnable as I see this getting to 70+

gl 151

PLAYS IN THIS WEEK 

TROY -5 

Vandy ML 

BYU +4

Texas -12 

OVER 61 ark/Tex am 

Do you have South Carolina too ?

Trying to figure out why Texas st is favored at Marshall, I like this Texas st team, liked them last year also, but they have lost 3 of their last 4 games, and their defense has been horrible lately as they are 103rd in total defense and 116th in scoring defense this year, and Marshall has really got their offense going lately as they have been putting up some points, so why are they a dog at home, and they do run the ball very well, as they are 40th in scoring offense right now, and then you have that they are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a dog, and they have won outright in 8 of their last 13 as a home dog, so what do the books KNOW?  this is a game that makes me think  the over has went up, as I posted early that I liked the over 64 here and its now 66.5, I just couldn't see taking texas st, in my mind its either Marshall  +3 or OVER ....or just stay away   or maybe just put in a parlay   but 13 of the last 14 Texas st road games have gone UNDER, but 6 of the last 7 marshall home games vs conf have went Over   GO FIGURE  :)

@Chickenzpick

 yes they will be a play   just waiting  this has went up I'll grab 5  but hoping for more or buy to 6 , I am also hoping that they get up for this game BIGTIME   they should 

Ok 

thanks for updated the plays 

still hot Rum151

Stay hot I meant 

Rum. Who you liking tonight 

THURSDAY

well doing really well this week , and tonight's game I really had to look into again, when giving big numbers you always have to worry about the old backdoor cover, tonight ECU looks like the play to me, their offense is good for sure, and Tulsa who is averaging 15 pts a game and giving up 30, and ECU who is averaging 23 pts a game and giving up just 18, and Tulsa's defense is giving up 410 yds a game, and they give up 193 yds rushing a a game, and actually ECU runs it more than they pass it, they are balanced, 42 runs a game and 35 passes a game , last game Tulsa lost at Memphis 45-7, and now they are on the road again, but are coming off a bye week, but I do not think that will help them tonight, ECU has been good at home except when they lost to a pretty good BYU team 34-13 and in that game ECU had 2 bad turnovers, Tulsa is not BYU, and coming off a loss I expect ECU to be fired up for this game, they need to go out and win this HUGE and they can, they took apart Army at home 28-6 and I do think the defense will step up tonight after the loss , Tulsa is averaging 2.2 to's a game, I do think ECU will get to 30+ I am thinking this is a 35-13 type of game tonight ..and with the books keeping everything on the half point I am taking ECU -14.5 -130  1 unit   to get to 13.5 its -155  I almost did it but I do believe that ECU wins this BIG I do like 16 also  I think they get this by 20+ but want more to stop the backdoor  

3-0 this week  YTD 78-49    was thinking about going larger here but big points are a worry sometimes  so why get greedy  

ECU-14.5  -130

@RUM151

 Just made a change to my Texas play, HardRock is offering all spreads tonight, and I took my play to -10.5 @ -130.  Letting everyone know ASAP. 

Texas -10.5. 1 unit -130. 

151

Under 2 mins....down 17 and Tulsa kicks a fg.....lmao!!!!  Like I posted i should have bought down to 13.5 at -155. People think your being stupid when you post something like that. Well its not stupid its actually smart...because you realize that shit like this happens. By all accounts Tulsa should have went for a td....if they cover by scoring a td so be it. But to be down 17 under 2 mins you can't win. So try for a td....the spread is what was being covered. Love to see ecu throw a long pass. Just bullshit cover. Bad beat. 

@RUM151

 People wonder why I buy points. Tonight perfect example except I should have bought 1 more. U never see teams do that when they are inside the 10

I hope Tulsa scores again now. Fk it. Let the Tulsa backers act like they had the nut all the way...lol

Crock of