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🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets

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Legend
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Posted: #5276

Pending good early play, I am hoping to take a LEAN to Buckeyes to a LIVE bet at a lower line..

 
Legend
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Posted: #5277

These fine folks stopped by my threads the past few months to extend a handshake, offer support and/or best wishes...So here is to each and all of YOU for 2026 --


cool May YOU enjoy a VERY prosperous 2026! an_2drinks

            Hope to see you all again next year...

 JJWoods
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Legend
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Posted: #5278

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

  SUN BOWL, 2pm ET ...

an_police  A lot more players OUT for Sun Devils than for Duke, including their stellar QB! Whatever team rating you may have for AZ.State - it should be downgraded accordingly (significantly)...not much for Duke.....Which puts DUKE at a higher rating than the Sun Devils....hence the line favoring Duke very slightly...

cool Definite LEAN to DUKE on ML.... and this almost made a pre-game bet....BUT I prefer to see how AZ state handles all the key players out....maybe their backups are good quality too!  Who knows.  Gotta see first....waiting is the wise play here....

cool DUKE rules!!!      an_cheers

 

 
Prospect
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Posted: #5279

Happy New Year, Fubah! I appreciate you. 

 
Prospect
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Posted: #5280

Happy New Year, Fubah! I appreciate you. 

 
Veteran
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Posted: #5281

Duke killed me by the hook. Glad you hit on the ML

 

Happy (early) New Years an_2drinks

 
Legend
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Posted: #5282

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Citrus Bowl, 3pm ET...

LEAN to LongHornies SU  

My LongHornies win! an_clap

 
Legend
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Posted: #5283

Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42:

Happy New Year, Fubah! I appreciate you.

@stevebo42

 coolHey, Steve!  HAPPY NEW YEAR to you, sir!...and I hope it goes well for you! an_2drinks

 
Legend
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Posted: #5284

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Pending good early play, I am hoping to take a LEAN to Buckeyes to a LIVE bet at a lower line..

LIVE BET 2Q, lucky Miami leads 14 - 0, OSU ball: Buckeyes +10.5 -290 alt@B365  *BB

 
Legend
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Posted: #5285

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Pending good early play, I am hoping to take a LEAN to Buckeyes to a LIVE bet at a lower line.. LIVE BET 2Q, lucky Miami leads 14 - 0, OSU ball: Buckeyes +10.5 -290 alt@B365  *BB

 

an_lightMy thinking here is that OSU is the slightly better team (hence the pre-game fav odds) and although down 0 - 7, they were driving for a game-tying TD when an unthinkable error led to a VERY LUCKY pick 6 for Miami.  This game, per the strength of the teams and early play *SHOULD* be tied....only a horrific error gave Miami a free TD!   Make no mistake, the #2 ranked Buckeyes are going to score  *AND* Miami is also going to make a big mistake too!  I grabbed OSU for +10.5 in what truly is EVEN play thus far (noting that Miami having the extra drive in their stats) and I suspect OSU will likely tie the game at some point... 

And I see an even better alt-line than what I got is now available!

 
Legend
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Posted: #5286

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Pending good early play, I am hoping to take a LEAN to Buckeyes to a LIVE bet at a lower line.. LIVE BET 2Q, lucky Miami leads 14 - 0, OSU ball: Buckeyes +10.5 -290 alt@B365  *BB   My thinking here is that OSU is the slightly better team (hence the pre-game fav odds) and although down 0 - 7, they were driving for a game-tying TD when an unthinkable error led to a VERY LUCKY pick 6 for Miami.  This game, per the strength of the teams and early play *SHOULD* be tied....only a horrific error gave Miami a free TD!   Make no mistake, the #2 ranked Buckeyes are going to score  *AND* Miami is also going to make a big mistake too!  I grabbed OSU for +10.5 in what truly is EVEN play thus far (noting that Miami having the extra drive in their stats) and I suspect OSU will likely tie the game at some point...  And I see an even better alt-line than what I got is now available!

an_ref Warning:  down 0 - 14 it could go further south with another fluke/lucky break to Miami......so IF you consider LIVE BETTING on Buckeyes, I highly recommend betting  SMALL!!

 
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Posted: #5287

Is 10.5 an alternate line. I have it seen it go past 7.5. 

 
Legend
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Posted: #5288

Yesterday, HEAVY FAV Lou.Tech was down 3 - 14, then stormed back to win 23 - 14!
Today,
favored DUKE was down a TD early, but won 32 -29!......Favored TEXAS was down a TD in the 1st half but stormed back to win 41 - 27!.....HEAVILY FAVORED UTAH was down by 7 in the first half then stormed back in a blowout win, 44 - 22......and favored VANDY was down 3 - 21 in the 3rdQ but stormed back to close within 7 pts!

 
Legend
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Posted: #5289

Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42:

Is 10.5 an alternate line. I have it seen it go past 7.5.

 

YES, +10.5 is an alt-line. 99% of the time if a spread carries a juice over -150 or so then that is very likely an alt-line.  Fan Duel offers an alt-line pt spread right now at halftime on several numbers, while B365 only offers a few during the game.  I believe OSU comesback to tie at some point BUT I COULD BE WRONG....THERE'S NO GUARANTEES! However, they should at the very least close with a TD by game's end I suspect and so that's where I put my money....Min you, at this point in the season I am playing with "house money" but even so I don't like losing and I put a chunk on this one, even more than my two *Best Bet winners earlier today....

 

an_lightTo ANYONE reading this, I recommend only a smallish bet on an alt-line taking +10.5 or more.... SMALL $$$!

 
Legend
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Posted: #5290

cool Yesterday,

HEAVY FAV Lou.Tech was down 3 - 14, then stormed back to win 23 - 14!

 


cool Today,


favored DUKE was down a TD early, but won 32 -29!......

Favored TEXAS was down a TD in the 1st half but stormed back to win 41 - 27!

HEAVILY FAV UTAH was down by 7 in the first half then stormed back in a blowout win, 44 - 22

and favored VANDY was down 3 - 21 in the 3rdQ but stormed back to close within 7 pts!!

 
Legend
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Posted: #5291

AT halftime, after EVEN drives each, Miami has just 11 more net yards

 

and

a fortunate MISSED FGA by Buckeyes, plus

one very fortunate pick 6 on an UNFORCED ERROR (Miami D did not cause that dumbass throw!!)

 
MVP
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Posted: #5292

Posted by fubah2:  LIVE BET 2Q, lucky Miami leads 14 - 0, OSU ball: Buckeyes +10.5 -290   *BB .... hang onto your hat   an_speechless

goldfinger 1964
 
Legend
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Posted: #5293

Late-3Q each team has ONE, *earned* offensive TD so far....It's an even game, except for two separate scoring breaks which BOTH went in favor of very lucky Miami. (both those breaks were UNFORCED errors! - the dumbass BAD pass and the missed FGA)

 

 

And Miami just added a 49 yd FG.  That kicker was 5/9 from  40 - 49 range.

Earlier, OSU kicker MISSED from 49 yds, though he was 3 - 3 from that range.

 

an_ref  The breaks so far going heavily in favor of Miami.  If they were even, OSU wins....

 
Legend
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Posted: #5294

Quote Originally Posted by PUSSYGALORE333:

Posted by fubah2:  LIVE BET 2Q, lucky Miami leads 14 - 0, OSU ball: Buckeyes +10.5 -290   *BB .... hang onto your hat an_speechless

@PUSSYGALORE333

 Yeah....might be too close for comfort an_nailbiter, because I am worried Miami will get really LUCK once again! angry  Hypothetically, taking LUCK out of it,  the Buckeyes have the edge in play now regardless the actual game score...... so far.....

 
Legend
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Posted: #5295

Early 4thQ and 17 - 14.....Buckeyes have 2 earned offensive drive TDs, while Miami only has one...

 

OSU owns +100 more net yds - although the coming Miami drive will even up the number of drives each to make stat comparisons fair...

 
Legend
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Posted: #5296

With just under 6 mins left, this is likely Miami's final drive.  If they don't score or only get 3, the door is open for OSU in their final drive - and they will be playing 4 down football

 
Legend
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Posted: #5297

T

 
Legend
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Posted: #5298

 


cool May YOU enjoy a VERY prosperous 2026! an_2drinks

             

 
Legend
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Joined: Aug, 2012
Posts: 54585
Posted: #5299

These fine folks stopped by my threads the past few months to extend a handshake, offer support and/or best wishes...So here is to each and all of YOU for 2026 --

 


cool May YOU enjoy a VERY prosperous 2026! an_2drinks

               Hope to see you all again next year...

 JJWoods
RedskinsRback
mandy1
PUSSYGALORE333
shadowmagic808
Europa
RayRayK
Fuse
Macwestie1
rufus1966
JuiceCanseco
trust-me
vc1028
Mskeets
River_fish
Felix Fermin21
kidd22
Coloneljim
KellyM_1964
RUM151
Atlanta Gambler
Zeus4par
iDshaDoW
joe pockets
zircon
wingit
LuckyGuy
MudPhud3
DogbiteWilliams
dubz4dummyz
Phil_Bombs
erikhv
redline
TDHCentral
MidwestGator1
julio_cat
Midnight1
Fester
JoseAlonso787
UGACLP1995
DrStrangelove
dcgmt
SourSausage
Craginator
TheVigPodcast
Twoinches
stevebo42
Hoyasaxa
007CRUSHER
MrFreedo
Last2thirst
daneault23
finsterbaby
KeyMaster
CC0687
mlesnet
Moose6836
TheBuddah
poppyg
wallstreetcappers
Flynt
djbrow
weeble5672

</

 
 
Legend
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Joined: Mar, 2016
Posts: 85324
Posted: #5300

Same too you buddy peace_5

Learn, be content and stay disciplined.
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