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    All Forums | College Football

    🏈🏈🏈 Fubah2's risky CFB bets

    «First Previous 203204205 ... 250251252 Next Last»
    fubah2
    stevebo42
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    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 19, 2025 - 11:39 PM ET #5051

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Two *HUGE* LUCKY BREAKS go to Bama for an easy 10 pts and the game is tied, on pure LUCK. That kinda luck can spread. I'm already preparng to hedge...  

    LIVE hedge BET mid 4Q, 27 - 17, Bama ball: BAMA -486 *BB @pinn

        WINNER!! an_boggienight salvage a 1 - 1 split rather than a net -145 loss.

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Two *HUGE* LUCKY BREAKS go to Bama for an easy 10 pts and the game is tied, on pure LUCK. That kinda luck can spread. I'm already preparng to hedge...  

    LIVE hedge BET mid 4Q, 27 - 17, Bama ball: BAMA -486 *BB @pinn

        WINNER!! an_boggienight salvage a 1 - 1 split rather than a net -145 loss.

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 3:54 AM ET #5052

    VERY busy Saturday for my handicapping Saturday!

    Full slate of NCAA mens CBK   ... 5:30 ET Houston @Arkansas!!

    Full slate of NCAA Womens CBK  ...11am ET on FOX Louisville @Tennessee HUGE!!

    2 HUGE FCS playoff games! ...4pm ET Montana @Montana St. rivalry is must see on ABC!!!

    3 FBS playoff games in CFB,  ...12pm ET on ABC, Miami@A&M being the most intriguing!

    2 NFL games with key playoff seeding implications!!

    Reply

    VERY busy Saturday for my handicapping Saturday!

    Full slate of NCAA mens CBK   ... 5:30 ET Houston @Arkansas!!

    Full slate of NCAA Womens CBK  ...11am ET on FOX Louisville @Tennessee HUGE!!

    2 HUGE FCS playoff games! ...4pm ET Montana @Montana St. rivalry is must see on ABC!!!

    3 FBS playoff games in CFB,  ...12pm ET on ABC, Miami@A&M being the most intriguing!

    2 NFL games with key playoff seeding implications!!

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 5:57 AM ET #5053

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: I gotta see the lineups at kickoff of the upcoming Tiggers vs. Wolfpack before risking a bet here....but I am LEANING to Wolfpack.    LIVE BET 1stQ, no score, NCSU ball: WOLFPACK -165 @pinn

     

    31 - 7   WINNER!!  an_2drinks

     

     2 - 1 on Friday..... 4 - 1 post-season so far (includes FCS)  [3 - 1 *BB] ....

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: I gotta see the lineups at kickoff of the upcoming Tiggers vs. Wolfpack before risking a bet here....but I am LEANING to Wolfpack.    LIVE BET 1stQ, no score, NCSU ball: WOLFPACK -165 @pinn

     

    31 - 7   WINNER!!  an_2drinks

     

     2 - 1 on Friday..... 4 - 1 post-season so far (includes FCS)  [3 - 1 *BB] ....

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 6:49 AM ET #5054

    While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D.  IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+.   That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did an_speechless... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field.  I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies!  However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm.  Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent... 

    Reply

    While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D.  IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+.   That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did an_speechless... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field.  I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies!  However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm.  Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent... 

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Joined: Aug, 2012
    Posts: 54579
    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 12:34 PM ET #5055

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D.  IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+.   That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field.  I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies!  However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm.  Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...

     

    LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn  *BB

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D.  IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+.   That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field.  I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies!  However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm.  Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...

     

    LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn  *BB

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posts: 54579
    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 12:37 PM ET #5056

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D.  IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+.   That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field.  I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies!  However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm.  Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...   LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -155 @pinn  *BB

     

     

    ...and of course moments after I place my bet....TURNOVER!!! angry

    Am I gonna suffer yet ANOTHER bad beat due to bad luck to the dogs???

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D.  IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+.   That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field.  I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies!  However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm.  Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...   LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -155 @pinn  *BB

     

     

    ...and of course moments after I place my bet....TURNOVER!!! angry

    Am I gonna suffer yet ANOTHER bad beat due to bad luck to the dogs???

     
    stevebo42
    stevebo42
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 12:44 PM ET #5057

    Saved! Lol

    Reply

    Saved! Lol

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 12:55 PM ET #5058

    Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42:

    Saved! Lol

    Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune.....

     

    After even possessions, no score...

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42:

    Saved! Lol

    Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune.....

     

    After even possessions, no score...

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 1:00 PM ET #5059

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune.....   After even possessions, no score...

     

    grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield....sad I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low...

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune.....   After even possessions, no score...

     

    grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield....sad I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low...

     
    fubah2
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 1:03 PM ET #5060

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune.....   After even possessions, no score...   grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low...

    ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune.....   After even possessions, no score...   grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low...

    ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 1:13 PM ET #5061

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune.....   After even possessions, no score...   grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!

    ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return...

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune.....   After even possessions, no score...   grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!

    ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return...

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 1:15 PM ET #5062

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune.....   After even possessions, no score...   grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!

     

    ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return...

    But that break is nullified by a missed 47 yd FGA.... an_timeout

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune.....   After even possessions, no score...   grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!

     

    ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return...

    But that break is nullified by a missed 47 yd FGA.... an_timeout

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 1:17 PM ET #5063

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune.....   After even possessions, no score...   grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!   ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return... But that break is nullified by a missed 47 yd FGA....

     

    an_light This is NOT a posted bet but I have a BUNDLE $$$$$$ riding on a prop for the 2H to be higher scoring than 1H....

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune.....   After even possessions, no score...   grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!   ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return... But that break is nullified by a missed 47 yd FGA....

     

    an_light This is NOT a posted bet but I have a BUNDLE $$$$$$ riding on a prop for the 2H to be higher scoring than 1H....

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 1:25 PM ET #5064

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune.....   After even possessions, no score...   grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!   ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return... But that break is nullified by a missed 47 yd FGA....

     

    ....and yet ANOTHER LUCKY BREAK goes to Canes on a botched fake punt....

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune.....   After even possessions, no score...   grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!   ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return... But that break is nullified by a missed 47 yd FGA....

     

    ....and yet ANOTHER LUCKY BREAK goes to Canes on a botched fake punt....

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 1:38 PM ET #5065

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune.....   After even possessions, no score...   grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!   ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return... But that break is nullified by a missed 47 yd FGA....  

    ....and yet ANOTHER LUCKY BREAK goes to Canes on a botched fake punt....

    But that lucky break is also nullified by a missed FGA...

    Miami has been gaining the lucky breaks, but they have been nullified each time. The only time  it wasn't was on A&M's botched FGA.....so Miami is still up a full lucky break that should have given A&M the lead on a chipshot...

    It's like fate is teasing Miami fans but favoring A&M an_horse- who have yet to gain a LUCKY BREAK of their own (other than the nullified Miami breaks)

    Much could ride on how Miami opens up the 2nd half..... an_eek2

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune.....   After even possessions, no score...   grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!   ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return... But that break is nullified by a missed 47 yd FGA....  

    ....and yet ANOTHER LUCKY BREAK goes to Canes on a botched fake punt....

    But that lucky break is also nullified by a missed FGA...

    Miami has been gaining the lucky breaks, but they have been nullified each time. The only time  it wasn't was on A&M's botched FGA.....so Miami is still up a full lucky break that should have given A&M the lead on a chipshot...

    It's like fate is teasing Miami fans but favoring A&M an_horse- who have yet to gain a LUCKY BREAK of their own (other than the nullified Miami breaks)

    Much could ride on how Miami opens up the 2nd half..... an_eek2

     
    stevebo42
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 1:47 PM ET #5066

    Might just have to bet the O/T net in this one. 

    Reply

    Might just have to bet the O/T net in this one. 

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 1:49 PM ET #5067

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D.  IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+.   That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field.  I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies!  However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm.  Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...   LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn  *BB

     

    After even # possessions in first half, A&M is dominating the stats!

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D.  IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+.   That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field.  I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies!  However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm.  Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...   LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn  *BB

     

    After even # possessions in first half, A&M is dominating the stats!

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 2:07 PM ET #5068

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    This is NOT a posted bet but I have a BUNDLE $$$$$$ riding on a prop for the 2H to be higher scoring than 1H....

    WINNER!!!   moneybag 

     

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    This is NOT a posted bet but I have a BUNDLE $$$$$$ riding on a prop for the 2H to be higher scoring than 1H....

    WINNER!!!   moneybag 

     

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 2:28 PM ET #5069

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D.  IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+.   That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field.  I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies!  However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm.  Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...   LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn  *BB   After even # possessions in first half, A&M is dominating the stats!

     

    DOINK!   I now consider the lucky breaks to be EVEN...

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D.  IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+.   That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field.  I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies!  However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm.  Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...   LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn  *BB   After even # possessions in first half, A&M is dominating the stats!

     

    DOINK!   I now consider the lucky breaks to be EVEN...

     
    stevebo42
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 2:37 PM ET #5070

    Dirty! Just dirty had the over 7 3rd quarter. 

    Reply

    Dirty! Just dirty had the over 7 3rd quarter. 

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 3:06 PM ET #5071

    LEAN Ole Miss if and only if the line drops considerably....

    Reply

    LEAN Ole Miss if and only if the line drops considerably....

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 3:25 PM ET #5072

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    LEAN Ole Miss if and only if the line drops considerably....

    LEAN Villanova

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    LEAN Ole Miss if and only if the line drops considerably....

    LEAN Villanova

     
    fubah2
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 3:29 PM ET #5073

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D.  IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+.   That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field.  I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies!  However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm.  Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...   LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn  *BB

    Well this *BB loss sucks but financially I am still up quite a bit from my prop winner (not a posted bet) where I laid heavy! an_2drinks

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D.  IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+.   That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field.  I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies!  However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm.  Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...   LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn  *BB

    Well this *BB loss sucks but financially I am still up quite a bit from my prop winner (not a posted bet) where I laid heavy! an_2drinks

     
    TDHCentral
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 3:33 PM ET #5074

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D.  IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+.   That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field.  I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies!  However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm.  Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...   LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn  *BB Well this *BB loss sucks but financially I am still up quite a bit from my prop winner (not a posted bet) where I laid heavy!
     an_clap  Keep it going!!! clover

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D.  IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+.   That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field.  I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies!  However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm.  Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...   LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn  *BB Well this *BB loss sucks but financially I am still up quite a bit from my prop winner (not a posted bet) where I laid heavy!
     an_clap  Keep it going!!! clover

     
     
    JFelty
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    Posted: Dec. 20, 2025 - 3:38 PM ET #5075

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D.  IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+.   That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field.  I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies!  However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm.  Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...   LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn  *BB Well this *BB loss sucks but financially I am still up quite a bit from my prop winner (not a posted bet) where I laid heavy!

    *not a Posted bet*

    Love those wordspeace_5

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:

    Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D.  IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+.   That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field.  I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies!  However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm.  Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...   LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn  *BB Well this *BB loss sucks but financially I am still up quite a bit from my prop winner (not a posted bet) where I laid heavy!

    *not a Posted bet*

    Love those wordspeace_5

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