Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Two *HUGE* LUCKY BREAKS go to Bama for an easy 10 pts and the game is tied, on pure LUCK. That kinda luck can spread. I'm already preparng to hedge...
LIVE hedge BET mid 4Q, 27 - 17, Bama ball: BAMA -486 *BB @pinn
WINNER!! salvage a 1 - 1 split rather than a net -145 loss.
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Two *HUGE* LUCKY BREAKS go to Bama for an easy 10 pts and the game is tied, on pure LUCK. That kinda luck can spread. I'm already preparng to hedge...
LIVE hedge BET mid 4Q, 27 - 17, Bama ball: BAMA -486 *BB @pinn
WINNER!! salvage a 1 - 1 split rather than a net -145 loss.
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: I gotta see the lineups at kickoff of the upcoming Tiggers vs. Wolfpack before risking a bet here....but I am LEANING to Wolfpack. LIVE BET 1stQ, no score, NCSU ball: WOLFPACK -165 @pinn
31 - 7 WINNER!!
2 - 1 on Friday..... 4 - 1 post-season so far (includes FCS) [3 - 1 *BB] ....
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: I gotta see the lineups at kickoff of the upcoming Tiggers vs. Wolfpack before risking a bet here....but I am LEANING to Wolfpack. LIVE BET 1stQ, no score, NCSU ball: WOLFPACK -165 @pinn
31 - 7 WINNER!!
2 - 1 on Friday..... 4 - 1 post-season so far (includes FCS) [3 - 1 *BB] ....
While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D. IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+. That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies! However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm. Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...
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While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D. IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+. That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies! However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm. Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...
While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D. IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+. That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies! However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm. Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...
LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn *BB
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D. IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+. That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies! However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm. Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent...
LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn *BB
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D. IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+. That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies! However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm. Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent... LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -155 @pinn *BB
...and of course moments after I place my bet....TURNOVER!!!
Am I gonna suffer yet ANOTHER bad beat due to bad luck to the dogs???
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D. IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+. That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies! However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm. Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent... LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -155 @pinn *BB
...and of course moments after I place my bet....TURNOVER!!!
Am I gonna suffer yet ANOTHER bad beat due to bad luck to the dogs???
Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune..... After even possessions, no score...
grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low...
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune..... After even possessions, no score...
grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low...
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune..... After even possessions, no score... grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low...
ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune..... After even possessions, no score... grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low...
ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune..... After even possessions, no score... grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!
ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return...
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune..... After even possessions, no score... grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!
ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return...
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune..... After even possessions, no score... grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!
ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return...
But that break is nullified by a missed 47 yd FGA....
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune..... After even possessions, no score... grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!!
ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return...
But that break is nullified by a missed 47 yd FGA....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune..... After even possessions, no score... grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!! ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return... But that break is nullified by a missed 47 yd FGA....
This is NOT a posted bet but I have a BUNDLE $$$$$$ riding on a prop for the 2H to be higher scoring than 1H....
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune..... After even possessions, no score... grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!! ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return... But that break is nullified by a missed 47 yd FGA....
This is NOT a posted bet but I have a BUNDLE $$$$$$ riding on a prop for the 2H to be higher scoring than 1H....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune..... After even possessions, no score... grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!! ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return... But that break is nullified by a missed 47 yd FGA....
....and yet ANOTHER LUCKY BREAK goes to Canes on a botched fake punt....
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune..... After even possessions, no score... grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!! ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return... But that break is nullified by a missed 47 yd FGA....
....and yet ANOTHER LUCKY BREAK goes to Canes on a botched fake punt....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune..... After even possessions, no score... grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!! ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return... But that break is nullified by a missed 47 yd FGA....
....and yet ANOTHER LUCKY BREAK goes to Canes on a botched fake punt....
But that lucky break is also nullified by a missed FGA...
Miami has been gaining the lucky breaks, but they have been nullified each time. The only time it wasn't was on A&M's botched FGA.....so Miami is still up a full lucky break that should have given A&M the lead on a chipshot...
It's like fate is teasing Miami fans but favoring A&M- who have yet to gain a LUCKY BREAK of their own (other than the nullified Miami breaks)
Much could ride on how Miami opens up the 2nd half.....
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Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by stevebo42: Saved! Lol Yeah......oooo boy..... Canes don't capitalize on their fortune..... After even possessions, no score... grrrr.....Blocked FGA after huge play downfield.... I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was EARNED by Miami, even though the shaky kicker hit it a bit low... ooooppss...turns out on replay the kicker hit the ground on his swing....meaning MIAMI *did* get lucky on a chip shot FGA!! ANOTHER big break for lucky Miami on fortunate punt return... But that break is nullified by a missed 47 yd FGA....
....and yet ANOTHER LUCKY BREAK goes to Canes on a botched fake punt....
But that lucky break is also nullified by a missed FGA...
Miami has been gaining the lucky breaks, but they have been nullified each time. The only time it wasn't was on A&M's botched FGA.....so Miami is still up a full lucky break that should have given A&M the lead on a chipshot...
It's like fate is teasing Miami fans but favoring A&M- who have yet to gain a LUCKY BREAK of their own (other than the nullified Miami breaks)
Much could ride on how Miami opens up the 2nd half.....
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D. IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+. That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies! However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm. Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent... LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn *BB
After even # possessions in first half, A&M is dominating the stats!
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D. IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+. That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies! However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm. Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent... LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn *BB
After even # possessions in first half, A&M is dominating the stats!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D. IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+. That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies! However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm. Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent... LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn *BB After even # possessions in first half, A&M is dominating the stats!
DOINK! I now consider the lucky breaks to be EVEN...
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D. IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+. That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies! However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm. Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent... LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn *BB After even # possessions in first half, A&M is dominating the stats!
DOINK! I now consider the lucky breaks to be EVEN...
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D. IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+. That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies! However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm. Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent... LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn *BB
Well this *BB loss sucks but financially I am still up quite a bit from my prop winner (not a posted bet) where I laid heavy!
1
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D. IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+. That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies! However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm. Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent... LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn *BB
Well this *BB loss sucks but financially I am still up quite a bit from my prop winner (not a posted bet) where I laid heavy!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D. IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+. That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies! However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm. Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent... LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn *BB Well this *BB loss sucks but financially I am still up quite a bit from my prop winner (not a posted bet) where I laid heavy!
Keep it going!!!
1
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D. IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+. That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies! However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm. Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent... LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn *BB Well this *BB loss sucks but financially I am still up quite a bit from my prop winner (not a posted bet) where I laid heavy!
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D. IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+. That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies! However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm. Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent... LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn *BB Well this *BB loss sucks but financially I am still up quite a bit from my prop winner (not a posted bet) where I laid heavy!
*not a Posted bet*
Love those words
0
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2:
Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: While injuries - particularly in the 1st half - can easily flip the game completely around, as well as LUCKY BREAKS favoring one team over the other, all else being equal, AGGIES have a small edge over the Hurricanes PLUS the HFA. Many important facets, of course, but I think it boils down to Aggies having a dual threat QB (Reed) to put enormous pressure on the Canes D. IF Aggies utilize that dual threat/schemes to their advantage then I expect them to score at least 26+. That's *IF* they exploit this dual-threat advantage! IF Aggie coaching largely ignores this, then it becomes a coin-flipper for sure.... and a break or two for Miami and A&M end up LOSING at home just like Oklahoma did ... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am LEANING Aggies, but I need to see them play (with QB runs!) facing a very good team (and vice-versa) in the early going..... Yesterday was an example of a fluke win for the visitors - where early *LUCK* can not only tie a game when otherwise being vastly outyplayed, but completely flip momentum *AND* getting the 2ndH KO to start the 3Q..... recipe for bad beat to the homies! However, while bad beats may be fairly common they are NOT the norm. Usually the team with an edge PLUS HFA will prevail SU..... Will Aggies exploit their dual threat edge?!?!....We shall see and if they do then I would grab them ML when that becomes apparent... LIVE BET mid-1Q, no score, Aggies 2nd drive: Aggies -165 @pinn *BB Well this *BB loss sucks but financially I am still up quite a bit from my prop winner (not a posted bet) where I laid heavy!
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salvage a 1 - 1 split rather than a net -145 loss.
... Turnovers are a big deal of course and on the season they favor Miami over A&M.....But invoking the dual-threat option plenty vs throwing is likely to keep the ints down and even the field. I am 
I can't say LUCKY BREAK though as that block was 
This is NOT a posted bet but I have a 
- who have yet to gain a LUCKY BREAK of their own (other than the nullified Miami breaks)
Keep it going!!! 
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