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Posted: #76
Nropp,  why don't you like Akron in this spot getting 2.5.with Buffalo coming off a heartbreak game and after Akron came thru for you last outing as 5* play?  Aren't they worth a shot?  Appreciate your taking time to reply.
 
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Posted: #77
Quote Originally Posted by fortunerich01:

Neil,

What do you think about Fordham at home against Rhode Island?  Fordham has quietly improved tremendously from last year and have some serious revenge against RI after losing to them by like 100 points last year.  They also have some serious wins at home.  I noticed that money has moved in on RI.  What gives?

Thanks man

No interest here. Fordham hasn't been a favorite in the conference since 2008. Game should feature a bit more up and down than the normal game, just have to depend on the Fordham offense to show up which I think is scary to trust. They do have some good home wins, but I can't explain em.
 
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Posted: #78
Quote Originally Posted by bigbozo:

Nropp,  why don't you like Akron in this spot getting 2.5.with Buffalo coming off a heartbreak game and after Akron came thru for you last outing as 5* play?  Aren't they worth a shot?  Appreciate your taking time to reply.

Buffalo's zone takes Zeke Marshall and the Akron bigs out of the equation and puts all of the scoring on Akron's guards. Buffalo is much better at home and Akron has Kent State on deck, the biggest rivalry on the basketball side of the MAC. Leaning on the fact that Buffalo's bigs are going to produce a bit more than Akron's, so I leaned that way.

GL
 
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Posted: #79
Any opinion on the Drexel matchup?  Was actually leaning Morehead St myself so I will look at that one a bit more after reading your thoughts. As an SEC gal, I like Ole Miss tonight too so will be on them as well. Thanks Neil!
 
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Posted: #80
Neil, 

Do you have a separate record of your side plays and your totals plays? I feel like you've done significantly better on side plays. Am I right? 
 
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Posted: #81
Quote Originally Posted by TDHCentral:

Any opinion on the Drexel matchup?  Was actually leaning Morehead St myself so I will look at that one a bit more after reading your thoughts. As an SEC gal, I like Ole Miss tonight too so will be on them as well. Thanks Neil!

Drexel's defensive pressure should take Hofstra's guards out of the equation which equals a win. Just my way of doing things, but I've always been the type of guy to play Drexel at home and avoid them on the road.

They've more than impressed me thus far in CAA play, however. Looking like a contender, and the offense has been much better than what I had thought it would be.

GL
 
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Posted: #82
Quote Originally Posted by daviddaman24:

Neil, 

Do you have a separate record of your side plays and your totals plays? I feel like you've done significantly better on side plays. Am I right? 

I did last year, not sure why I didn't follow the same pattern this year. But I believe you are 100% correct. My totals have sucked this year.
 
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Posted: #83
Quote Originally Posted by nropp11:


I think I’ve been pretty consistent on how bad the Ole Miss offense has sucked this year, but I don’t necessarily think they’ll need it in this spot. Mississippi State is coming off a big win against tough and physical Alabama in a 59 possession game before taking part in this one, then continuing on to Vanderbilt. It’s a pretty big Sandwich spot within the SEC, and I’ll take my chances with the home pup. Mississippi State won both games last year, but they were a twelve point pup in this exact spot. Yah, the Ole Miss offense has dropped off (although the 50 against Dayton, the 50 against SMU, and the 55 against LSU are a bit misleading b/c they were without their leading scorer) , but the defense has gotten much better. They have the defender’s to contain Bost and Moultrie, and that’s if the Ole Miss guard pressure on the outside allows the ball to go into the post (if it does go into the post then Ole Miss’ career shot blocker in Buckner draws the task). State’s forced to go from two snails into uptempo with the lookahead, and it’s a slightly different Ole Miss defensive philosophy than what they’re use to. In the past, Ole Miss has had a bunch of tiny guards, but this year they’ve beefed up with some size out front, and State’s only posted a 62 and 56 the past two against teams with size, and those were home games.  Good spot to back the home pup in a rivalry game. Ole Miss 67, Mississippi State 64

5* Missouri State +2
3* Ole Miss +2.5

More.

GL

Took the moneyline +115

 
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Posted: #84
Quote Originally Posted by nropp11:


I think Rice holds more value than a UAB team that could be wore out going on the road for a 2nd straight having faced those top 3 of C-USA that you pointed out. UAB's also got a few look aheads on deck, yet again.

Tough spot for UAB I think.

Really comes down to who controls the pace. Rice is fast. UAB is slow. If UAB lets down just a tiny bit, then this one's going to be faster than what UAB wants to play, and with that, you get a bit more up and down than what's expected. I'm not all that interested, but just a hunch that this one is played more to Rice's style, just can't trust a worn down UAB team to produce offensively. UAB point totals on the road this year: 46, 47, 48, 49, 56, 61, 55.

Rice 66, UAB 59
Arsalan KazemiKneedoubtful Wednesday vs. UAB
GL (This guy is Rice's best player and he's averaging  14 ppg and 12 rebs.Have to go with UAB here.
 
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Posted: #85
Quote Originally Posted by nropp11:


I think I’ve been pretty consistent on how bad the Ole Miss offense has sucked this year, but I don’t necessarily think they’ll need it in this spot. Mississippi State is coming off a big win against tough and physical Alabama in a 59 possession game before taking part in this one, then continuing on to Vanderbilt. It’s a pretty big Sandwich spot within the SEC, and I’ll take my chances with the home pup. Mississippi State won both games last year, but they were a twelve point pup in this exact spot. Yah, the Ole Miss offense has dropped off (although the 50 against Dayton, the 50 against SMU, and the 55 against LSU are a bit misleading b/c they were without their leading scorer) , but the defense has gotten much better. They have the defender’s to contain Bost and Moultrie, and that’s if the Ole Miss guard pressure on the outside allows the ball to go into the post (if it does go into the post then Ole Miss’ career shot blocker in Buckner draws the task). State’s forced to go from two snails into uptempo with the lookahead, and it’s a slightly different Ole Miss defensive philosophy than what they’re use to. In the past, Ole Miss has had a bunch of tiny guards, but this year they’ve beefed up with some size out front, and State’s only posted a 62 and 56 the past two against teams with size, and those were home games.  Good spot to back the home pup in a rivalry game. Ole Miss 67, Mississippi State 64

5* Missouri State +2
3* Ole Miss +2.5

More.

GL

this seems to be the right side here, but a look ahead to Vandy is a little too far, this a RIVALRY game in the state & Nelson at the time the Rebels leading scorer did play the 1st two games mentioned and was released the day after the SMU game for a pot charge, he has since transfered to Jackson St. Kennedy is feeling the heat and another loss here, he is 3-7 vs Miss St could help push a little more, the Dogs have won 5 in a row in the series

 
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Posted: #86
Any thoughts on UAB +4 at Rice Neil? I  read that Kazemi is out tonight for Rice.  Thanks


 
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Posted: #87
Quote Originally Posted by sportsanalyst:

Any thoughts on UAB +4 at Rice Neil? I  read that Kazemi is out tonight for Rice.  Thanks
Don't be a fool here,take UAB +4.

 
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Posted: #88
Quote Originally Posted by lemons420:

this seems to be the right side here, but a look ahead to Vandy is a little too far, this a RIVALRY game in the state & Nelson at the time the Rebels leading scorer did play the 1st two games mentioned and was released the day after the SMU game for a pot charge, he has since transfered to Jackson St. Kennedy is feeling the heat and another loss here, he is 3-7 vs Miss St could help push a little more, the Dogs have won 5 in a row in the series



Did you really just use the same pic in my avatar?
 
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Posted: #89
Quote Originally Posted by MRHYDE:



actually, sorry Neil , I just went back to page 2 and saw your thoughts on UAB and Rice.  I guess they will play faster now without the big Iranian Kazlezmi. 

And thanks for letting me know about the 30 day thing on ESPN 3. I liked it before when the reception was clearer. Now its hit or miss with the clearness of the screen on there.  

GL tonight and thanks again for the information and great write ups
 
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Posted: #90
Quote Originally Posted by beastN:



Did you really just use the same pic in my avatar?



 
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Posted: #91
Now I see reports that Kazlami is not injured at all. Total confusion here.   Now I read on covers forum that carl jones of st josephs is out? Xavier going to win then
 
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Posted: #92
George washington pick was spot on!! Nice call!!
 
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Posted: #93
missouri state needs to stop bsing....
 
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Posted: #94
I really wanted to go Creighton, so went ML. Whew! We both win!

Two tough losses for Missoo State. N. Iowa and now Creighton edges them at the end.

You're looking good everywhere else as long as Ole Miss comes in.

GL
 
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Posted: #95
RPP...Fabulous...You got your shirt back...and some new pants too...

                        
 
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Posted: #96
Solid play on MIzzou St......goodness did we get lucky at the end...thanks bro
 
 
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Posted: #97
In had my max bet on Missouri state then adding half that amount the other way for 2nd half. Two for two hitting the middle in the past two days (U of M vs Michigan state yesterday)
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