Nice spot for Wyoming, but ultimately I'm hoping they fail in a big way b/c I want some nice value on Saturday. Wyoming's going to defend extremely well against teams who score from the outside like Air Force does, but it's a different type of offense than what I would call the "base" that Wyoming excels against. Probably not much value in a low total, but I can see this one in the upper 40's being a possibility. Air Force has SDSU on tap, so I'll take Wyoming to win, but not by much.
Wyoming 50, Air Force 49
Lean: Wyoming/Air Force Under 113
GL
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Quote Originally Posted by ameame:
any insight on air force / wyoming
thanks
Nice spot for Wyoming, but ultimately I'm hoping they fail in a big way b/c I want some nice value on Saturday. Wyoming's going to defend extremely well against teams who score from the outside like Air Force does, but it's a different type of offense than what I would call the "base" that Wyoming excels against. Probably not much value in a low total, but I can see this one in the upper 40's being a possibility. Air Force has SDSU on tap, so I'll take Wyoming to win, but not by much.
Thoughts on UAb? theyve played well against the top 3 of cusa, now they go to rice. total of 123 I thinks works in uab favors as a superslow paced team.
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Thoughts on UAb? theyve played well against the top 3 of cusa, now they go to rice. total of 123 I thinks works in uab favors as a superslow paced team.
Going to take a chance on George Washington here as it’s a pretty ugly spot for Richmond. First, they’re coming off a win over Temple. Second, they’re hitting the road without a PG if Lindsay doesn’t play, and I doubt he goes. Without Lindsay, they don’t really have anyone worthy of handling the ball against the defensive pressure that George Washington employs, sometimes in a full court setting. When they do that, they take Richmond out of everything they want to do in a half court modified Princeton style. Without Lindsay, I think it’s safe to say that Anthony comes off the bench to assume his role, but if you’ve seen Anthony play, he’s more of a shooter than a ball handler, so he takes on added tasks tonight. I guess if you look at the stats, both Anthony and Brothers have the fewest turnovers on the team in the minutes that they’ve played, but it’s a whole different ballgame when you’re asked to do something other than stand behind the three-point line and fire away (the two have combined for 195 three-point attempts). So the turnover percentages are a little misleading. With Richmond, you have a jump shooting team going up against a tough guard defense coming off a big victory, so the opportunity to be complacent should be present. Not only that, you’re without the most important part of your offense, by far your best defender, and you no longer have the spark and change of pace that Anthony provides by coming off the bench b/c he’s been thrust into the starting role. I should also note that Lindsay’s one of their better rebounding guards, and they get a ton smaller by throwing Anthony into the lineup. And that’s not going to make things easier for a team that struggles to rebound the ball, especially against a Lonergan coached team whose teams have been at or near the top of college basketball in offensive rebounding percentage every year he’s been a head coach (Yes, even at Vermont). I’m going to need some offense from George Washington for this one to come in, so the extra chances sort of put me over the top. That, and Richmond’s road victories are far from impressive, and that was with a PG. George Washington 69, Richmond 63
5* Missouri State +2
3* Ole Miss +2.5
2* George Washington +2.5
Lean: Murray State -7.5
Lean: Kansas State -5.5
Lean: Texas/Kansas State Under 137
Lean: Wyoming/Air Force Under 113
More.
GL
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Richmond at George Washington
Going to take a chance on George Washington here as it’s a pretty ugly spot for Richmond. First, they’re coming off a win over Temple. Second, they’re hitting the road without a PG if Lindsay doesn’t play, and I doubt he goes. Without Lindsay, they don’t really have anyone worthy of handling the ball against the defensive pressure that George Washington employs, sometimes in a full court setting. When they do that, they take Richmond out of everything they want to do in a half court modified Princeton style. Without Lindsay, I think it’s safe to say that Anthony comes off the bench to assume his role, but if you’ve seen Anthony play, he’s more of a shooter than a ball handler, so he takes on added tasks tonight. I guess if you look at the stats, both Anthony and Brothers have the fewest turnovers on the team in the minutes that they’ve played, but it’s a whole different ballgame when you’re asked to do something other than stand behind the three-point line and fire away (the two have combined for 195 three-point attempts). So the turnover percentages are a little misleading. With Richmond, you have a jump shooting team going up against a tough guard defense coming off a big victory, so the opportunity to be complacent should be present. Not only that, you’re without the most important part of your offense, by far your best defender, and you no longer have the spark and change of pace that Anthony provides by coming off the bench b/c he’s been thrust into the starting role. I should also note that Lindsay’s one of their better rebounding guards, and they get a ton smaller by throwing Anthony into the lineup. And that’s not going to make things easier for a team that struggles to rebound the ball, especially against a Lonergan coached team whose teams have been at or near the top of college basketball in offensive rebounding percentage every year he’s been a head coach (Yes, even at Vermont). I’m going to need some offense from George Washington for this one to come in, so the extra chances sort of put me over the top. That, and Richmond’s road victories are far from impressive, and that was with a PG. George Washington 69, Richmond 63
Thoughts on UAb? theyve played well against the top 3 of cusa, now they go to rice. total of 123 I thinks works in uab favors as a superslow paced team.
I think Rice holds more value than a UAB team that could be wore out going on the road for a 2nd straight having faced those top 3 of C-USA that you pointed out. UAB's also got a few look aheads on deck, yet again.
Tough spot for UAB I think.
Really comes down to who controls the pace. Rice is fast. UAB is slow. If UAB lets down just a tiny bit, then this one's going to be faster than what UAB wants to play, and with that, you get a bit more up and down than what's expected. I'm not all that interested, but just a hunch that this one is played more to Rice's style, just can't trust a worn down UAB team to produce offensively. UAB point totals on the road this year: 46, 47, 48, 49, 56, 61, 55.
Rice 66, UAB 59
GL
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Quote Originally Posted by fantasychamp:
Thoughts on UAb? theyve played well against the top 3 of cusa, now they go to rice. total of 123 I thinks works in uab favors as a superslow paced team.
I think Rice holds more value than a UAB team that could be wore out going on the road for a 2nd straight having faced those top 3 of C-USA that you pointed out. UAB's also got a few look aheads on deck, yet again.
Tough spot for UAB I think.
Really comes down to who controls the pace. Rice is fast. UAB is slow. If UAB lets down just a tiny bit, then this one's going to be faster than what UAB wants to play, and with that, you get a bit more up and down than what's expected. I'm not all that interested, but just a hunch that this one is played more to Rice's style, just can't trust a worn down UAB team to produce offensively. UAB point totals on the road this year: 46, 47, 48, 49, 56, 61, 55.
Hey Neil how about UT vs Georgia? Any thoughts? Thanks. Looks like a toss up.
Coinflip, but I give the nod to Georgia b/c Tennessee welcomes Uconn on Saturday (they beat Florida at home, had a chance to beat UK, now hit road and then return). Georgia just played a brutal start to the conference season without much success. Tough call.
Georgia 66, Tennessee 64
GL
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Quote Originally Posted by sportsanalyst:
Hey Neil how about UT vs Georgia? Any thoughts? Thanks. Looks like a toss up.
Coinflip, but I give the nod to Georgia b/c Tennessee welcomes Uconn on Saturday (they beat Florida at home, had a chance to beat UK, now hit road and then return). Georgia just played a brutal start to the conference season without much success. Tough call.
" It was just that that murray state line was low and keeps dropping.
Don't no why it keeps dropping maybe for some to bite on it. "
Morhead state has lost at home twice.. The first game against illinois state by 5 and the second against South Dakota by 1. Im assuming that the line is moving based on their ability to keep games close at home. But who knows.. the damn precogs from minority report are the ones responsible for predicting these lines.
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" It was just that that murray state line was low and keeps dropping.
Don't no why it keeps dropping maybe for some to bite on it. "
Morhead state has lost at home twice.. The first game against illinois state by 5 and the second against South Dakota by 1. Im assuming that the line is moving based on their ability to keep games close at home. But who knows.. the damn precogs from minority report are the ones responsible for predicting these lines.
Thanks Neil. Surprised no one asked u about UCF vs Memphis tonight.
I'm not really sure what I am going to play today. If anything. been deep in the hole and just trying to learn now from my losses.
No Carmouche supposedly tonight and Adonis Thomas out for the year. They still have Will Barton though. UCF at home. The old me would take the road team but as someone told me earlier, insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting same results so I might just change it up and go with the home team tonight. Thanks
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Thanks Neil. Surprised no one asked u about UCF vs Memphis tonight.
I'm not really sure what I am going to play today. If anything. been deep in the hole and just trying to learn now from my losses.
No Carmouche supposedly tonight and Adonis Thomas out for the year. They still have Will Barton though. UCF at home. The old me would take the road team but as someone told me earlier, insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting same results so I might just change it up and go with the home team tonight. Thanks
" It was just that that murray state line was low and keeps dropping.
Don't no why it keeps dropping maybe for some to bite on it. "
Morhead state has lost at home twice.. The first game against illinois state by 5 and the second against South Dakota by 1. Im assuming that the line is moving based on their ability to keep games close at home. But who knows.. the damn precogs from minority report are the ones responsible for predicting these lines.
It just so happens that the two teams you listed (ISU and SD) are decent three-point shooting teams. The three games they've won at home have come against teams shooting 30%, 28% and 33% from beyond the arc. It's really this simple with Morehead. If you can score on their zone, you're going to win.
Now covering the 7 or 8 is another story, but assuming Murray State shows up, then this one shouldn't be close.
GL
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Quote Originally Posted by beastN:
" It was just that that murray state line was low and keeps dropping.
Don't no why it keeps dropping maybe for some to bite on it. "
Morhead state has lost at home twice.. The first game against illinois state by 5 and the second against South Dakota by 1. Im assuming that the line is moving based on their ability to keep games close at home. But who knows.. the damn precogs from minority report are the ones responsible for predicting these lines.
It just so happens that the two teams you listed (ISU and SD) are decent three-point shooting teams. The three games they've won at home have come against teams shooting 30%, 28% and 33% from beyond the arc. It's really this simple with Morehead. If you can score on their zone, you're going to win.
Now covering the 7 or 8 is another story, but assuming Murray State shows up, then this one shouldn't be close.
BeastN.......... I agree. But look at who illonois lost to on the road, drake and southern illonois, just this last month. Don't think that illonois state is a good road team. Also, south Dakotas record is 6 and something so these cats aren't really that good.
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BeastN.......... I agree. But look at who illonois lost to on the road, drake and southern illonois, just this last month. Don't think that illonois state is a good road team. Also, south Dakotas record is 6 and something so these cats aren't really that good.
" It was just that that murray state line was low and keeps dropping.
Don't no why it keeps dropping maybe for some to bite on it. "
Morhead state has lost at home twice.. The first game against illinois state by 5 and the second against South Dakota by 1. Im assuming that the line is moving based on their ability to keep games close at home. But who knows.. the damn precogs from minority report are the ones responsible for predicting these lines.
Good point... But more importantly, your avatar is a favorite of mine. Who is that?
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Quote Originally Posted by beastN:
" It was just that that murray state line was low and keeps dropping.
Don't no why it keeps dropping maybe for some to bite on it. "
Morhead state has lost at home twice.. The first game against illinois state by 5 and the second against South Dakota by 1. Im assuming that the line is moving based on their ability to keep games close at home. But who knows.. the damn precogs from minority report are the ones responsible for predicting these lines.
Good point... But more importantly, your avatar is a favorite of mine. Who is that?
Hate when I am against NRopp! You have me rethinking my Creighton play but I just think they are the better team and will make adjustments from the game a few weeks ago, in which I bet Missouri State. I watched the whole game and there's no doubt in my mind the Bluejays are better and deeper. That doesn't mean they will win, but that's why I am on them.
GL. Keep up the great work. Glad I can use my 17.000th post in your thread. Appreciate all your work and effort.
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Hate when I am against NRopp! You have me rethinking my Creighton play but I just think they are the better team and will make adjustments from the game a few weeks ago, in which I bet Missouri State. I watched the whole game and there's no doubt in my mind the Bluejays are better and deeper. That doesn't mean they will win, but that's why I am on them.
GL. Keep up the great work. Glad I can use my 17.000th post in your thread. Appreciate all your work and effort.
Thanks Neil. Surprised no one asked u about UCF vs Memphis tonight.
I'm not really sure what I am going to play today. If anything. been deep in the hole and just trying to learn now from my losses.
No Carmouche supposedly tonight and Adonis Thomas out for the year. They still have Will Barton though. UCF at home. The old me would take the road team but as someone told me earlier, insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting same results so I might just change it up and go with the home team tonight. Thanks
Had Memphis circled at the beginning of the year with UCF coming off physical Marshall and going into a fast pace they struggle with. Memphis injuries forced me to cross off. This UCF team just isn't built to play in any other setting than a half court style. Whoever controls pace wins.
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Quote Originally Posted by sportsanalyst:
Thanks Neil. Surprised no one asked u about UCF vs Memphis tonight.
I'm not really sure what I am going to play today. If anything. been deep in the hole and just trying to learn now from my losses.
No Carmouche supposedly tonight and Adonis Thomas out for the year. They still have Will Barton though. UCF at home. The old me would take the road team but as someone told me earlier, insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting same results so I might just change it up and go with the home team tonight. Thanks
Had Memphis circled at the beginning of the year with UCF coming off physical Marshall and going into a fast pace they struggle with. Memphis injuries forced me to cross off. This UCF team just isn't built to play in any other setting than a half court style. Whoever controls pace wins.
Hate when I am against NRopp! You have me rethinking my Creighton play but I just think they are the better team and will make adjustments from the game a few weeks ago, in which I bet Missouri State. I watched the whole game and there's no doubt in my mind the Bluejays are better and deeper. That doesn't mean they will win, but that's why I am on them.
GL. Keep up the great work. Glad I can use my 17.000th post in your thread. Appreciate all your work and effort.
17,000 posts.
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Quote Originally Posted by GameHunter:
Hate when I am against NRopp! You have me rethinking my Creighton play but I just think they are the better team and will make adjustments from the game a few weeks ago, in which I bet Missouri State. I watched the whole game and there's no doubt in my mind the Bluejays are better and deeper. That doesn't mean they will win, but that's why I am on them.
GL. Keep up the great work. Glad I can use my 17.000th post in your thread. Appreciate all your work and effort.
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