WED NCAA HOOPS 151

couple of teams i am leaning to later  william and Mary +5 at FAU  and SFA -6.5 at abilene   SFA has almost all their core back from last year when they won the league,they are picked 2nd behind mcneese st, now 6.5 is a bit high, but they should be able to get it, will n Mary another high scoring team, wants to score in the upper 80's or 90, and FAU did get blown out by 26 at wright st, they are on the road but i think they can cover here, just a couple of opinions   hell just watched USF jump out to a 12-0 lead now losing by 11  they are turning it over way too much  this is a loss  , i just do not see them getting back in it unless they stop turning it over and hit some 3's  they just made their 2nd 3 of the game which is not like them ...personally i like to see teams have 4+ games to see how they are playing  , tonight is SFA's 1st game against a div 1 team, so thats my only concern there  ...WM are shooting 44% from 3 making 15 a game, to just 4 for FAU so that game is going to depend on how WM shoots, they do not have to shoot their avg of 55% but if they can score 78+ they will cover   they are avg 104 a game  FAU giving up 78 a game  

may play str up  but teasing the 2 for now 

WM+8.5/SFA-2.5  -110  

this is when i could kick myself in the ass  i sit there and talk about the over in the airforce game and how AF is scoring a lot of points  and right there i should take the 10.5 and i did say the over 160.5 and its already an over with 7 mins left in the game   i should have posted the over damnit   i did think loyola would score more pts though  but AF is a very good shooting team this year  fkn at home getting 10.5  

usf can cut it to 4 here   cmon damnit  8 mins left i think  need usf to get to 79 also

well USF screwed that up many chances to tie , but did get the parlay anyway , but hated losing USF when handicapping you hope teams play to an average  7 turnovers was USF's avg they had like 23 or more  crazy  if they had even 12 they cover   shame 

so pissed i didnt post the over 160.5 AF game   both team totals won easily too   

Furman is another team i would favor, Holy Cross is at the bottom of my rankings here like #360, they have lost Big in both games, yes they are at home tonight, but Furman has been playing well, 13 points isnt a lot , they are averaging 13 3's made a game, to 7 for HC and they are taking about 12-13 more ft's a game also  those add up    they get a lean for sure tonight 

Gl

4 team parlay moved lines on a couple   Furman -12.5/ODU -5.5/SFA -4.5/WillMary +6.5  +817  25.00  those are 4 teams i am leaning on  so doing a parlay  moved SFA down 2 pts, ODU down 1 pt, WM up 2 pts  , Furman they are only offering 12.5 

gl

need a game to watch    so going with Marquette +3.5  i have to like the backcourt of Marquette here, and this line is pointing me to Marquette also, going to be tuff playing at Ann Arbor, but i think they can make this very very close, hopefully upset win, it dont take many fouls at the end to cover 3.5 so Marquette will need to be tied or ahead going into last 2 mins   

Marquette +3.5   

strongest play i feel is Boise st   maybe even a 1st half -9.5 if thats your thing    over tt also  

2 team parlay  over 93.5 st johns/Over 87.5 Boise st  +208  i moved them 1 point so payoff is a little smaller