well looking at these i do see some interesting games, yesterday though i am proud of did not see anyone else on N Iowa, or Valparaiso, i did write ups on a lot of games, and one thing about conf games is when the 2 teams have already played it gives you so much to work with when handicapping, and i think many people just think well team A won the 1st game so now team b should get the next one, its why i go back and break down the 1st meeting, its always good to see what happened in that game, why a team won or lost, or did they have guys out that 1st meeting, how long ago was it, how were they playing then if it was 5 weeks ago, its always made it easier to handicap, last year was last year but when you got a game to look into that just was played in the last month or so it really helps
looking at Arkansas at LSU looking at the earlier game arkansas won 85-81 at home maybe why the line opened at just 3.5 , but when you look at the game Arkansas played and shot really well in that game as they were 34/60 57% and were 10/22 from 3 45% but they were only 7/18 ft 39% , and LSU shot ok as they were 28/61 45% but just 3/15 from 3 20% but they shot their ft's really well as they were 22/25 at the line....now if Arkansas had just shot like 70% at the line they would have won this game by maybe 10 or 11 but really only thing that made this game close was the ft shooting by LSU they made 15 more ft's, i mean when you make 4 more shots and 7 more 3's you should win by more , so today i would hope arkansas can shoot their ft's better, if they shoot like they did they should win and cover, LSU did not shoot bad, yes made only 3 3 pointers they will have to make more , but if they get to the line again like they did this could be a closer game
last 3 games Ark is avg 83 pts a game, giving up 77, LSU last 3 are avg 76 pts giving up 83, away ark is 81 and 80 and at home LSU is 86 and 73 this total is 159 i think it has dropped from 163 arkansas will be without dj wagner 24 mins 7 pts and Karter Knox 23 mins 8 pts a game . so 2 people that do play a good amount of minutes they are listed as out today and LSU is going to be without Dedan Thomas 30 mins 15 pts a gae and Jalen Reed 18 mins 9.5 pts 6 reb's so both teams will be without important players i already had a teaser put in with arkansas pk/Miami fl +6.5
also i am going to take Baylor at home vs BYU , byu has been struggling, yes they have played some really good teams, but in those games they have found ways to get way behind and then have to try and fight their way back , personally i think Baylor is a pretty good team, and tonight Skillings is ? 27 mins 10 pts a game 6 reb's so hopefully he plays , and BYU only 2 injuries are from early in the year so they will be at full strength , but i like how Baylor played at Iowa st, i mean they lost by 3 they only had 9 to's and forced 14, they shot 26/57 46% and made 11 3's as they were 11/31 and were 6/9 ft's so they only took 9 ft's in the game, Iowa st was 27/54 50% and were just 6/21 from 3 and were 12/19 ft's so iowa st took 10 more ft's making 6 more and won by 3 so baylor played really well and now at home vs a struggling BYU team ill take a shot and also i am going to buy up to 4.5 here, this could be one of those game if BYU were to win where that point could help ...BYU is 1-4 ats away 1-2 ats as an away favorite, and 1-4 ats after a loss baylor does not have great trends either baylor has bad trends like 0-4 ats last 4 home games but the over has some good trends here as BYU is 7-0 over in their last 7 following a str up loss, Baylor is 5-0 over last 5 following a str up loss, and BYU is 4-0 over last 4 road games , and 4-0 over last 4 road games vs a team with a winning home record, so i think the over could be a play also
BYU +4.5 -130
Lean Over 157.5
@GTKiller
yes sir sorry
also i am going to take Baylor at home vs BYU , byu has been struggling, yes they have played some really good teams, but in those games they have found ways to get way behind and then have to try and fight their way back , personally i think Baylor is a pretty good team, and tonight Skillings is ? 27 mins 10 pts a game 6 reb's so hopefully he plays , and BYU only 2 injuries are from early in the year so they will be at full strength , but i like how Baylor played at Iowa st, i mean they lost by 3 they only had 9 to's and forced 14, they shot 26/57 46% and made 11 3's as they were 11/31 and were 6/9 ft's so they only took 9 ft's in the game, Iowa st was 27/54 50% and were just 6/21 from 3 and were 12/19 ft's so iowa st took 10 more ft's making 6 more and won by 3 so baylor played really well and now at home vs a struggling BYU team ill take a shot and also i am going to buy up to 4.5 here, this could be one of those game if BYU were to win where that point could help ...BYU is 1-4 ats away 1-2 ats as an away favorite, and 1-4 ats after a loss baylor does not have great trends either baylor has bad trends like 0-4 ats last 4 home games but the over has some good trends here as BYU is 7-0 over in their last 7 following a str up loss, Baylor is 5-0 over last 5 following a str up loss, and BYU is 4-0 over last 4 road games , and 4-0 over last 4 road games vs a team with a winning home record, so i think the over could be a play also
Baylor +4.5 -130 POSTED WRONG ON ORIGINAL POST SORRY!!!!!
Lean Over 157.5
also
i am going to go with Florida state at home tonight vs Virginia looking at this, Fla st has played well as of late as they have won 3 in a row and 4 of the last 5 , now we know Virginia is a pretty good team, but i like that fla st is winning and that they are scoring while doing so.... i think they want this game to be in the high 70's -mid 80's Virginia's last 3 games they are avg 70 pts and holding teams to 57, and fla st last 3 are avg 78 pts and giving up 73 away Virginia is avg 81 and 75, and at home Fla st is avg 86 and 75 so if they play well this should get to 160 i think and this total is like 152....fla is 9-4 at home and virginia is 6-1 str up away this year but they are just 4-3 ats away and 1-3 ats as an away favorite, virginia is 10-8-1 ats after a win and fla st is 8-2 ats after a win, last time these 2 played last year Virginia won in the tourney march 4th 60-57 and virginia on the road has had closer games lately they won by 7 at BC abd win by 3 at N.Dame, won by 4 at SMU, and by 9 at louisville and i just think 8.5 is worth taking a shot here fla st being 11-12 is going to have to do some real damage in their tourney and again i think this could go OVER the 152 here unless one of the teams wins big i think this is a 83-79 type of game about 160 i think
Fla st +8.5 -120 Hardrock
Lean over 152
PLAYS IN
Baylor +4.5 -130
Over 156.5 N,car/Miami fl
Florida st +8.5 -120
Under 135.5 Fordham looked and agree with my MAN fla man lol
Teaser Arkansas -pk/Miami fl +6.5
opinions and may play over 152 fla st, and over Baylor
and will put some teasers and parlays in usually my parlay plays do well last night was really good won 4 teamer won 2 of the 3 in the 3 teamer hit a 2 teamer live tonight if i am by my computer i will post all live plays but i know the lines change fast thats why i hate posting them but ill even do parlays on live action
last night went 3-3 but 2-3 on record as i posted last night when i seen petersen was out was going to cancel the play but couldnt, i mean i was not even offered a buyout at anytime during the early 1st half which was odd but glad they didnt because i got paid wish i had bet some others str up but its fine
2-3 ytd 368-300 not very good to be honest think i should be 100 to the good , and this year hardrock and some others adding a half pt to every game so cannot get pushes anymore unless NFL or NBA i think coll fb and hoops are all half pts and that has cost me but to be honest has also won me some i still do not understand why they do it i went to the sportsbook beginning of the year and asked the manager what was up and he told me thaat the lines they post are the ones being offered to them to put out, i asked you meaan you do not have a manager here who adjust the lines as action is taken??? i think they do but it like comes from the head office where ever that it when i was involved with it years ago each book moved their own lines as action came in, now adays i think books try to stay ahead of line moves by moving them when they notice other books taking in action , still did not explain why everything has a half pt damnit i want to talk to who is in CHARGE??? lol
Rhode Island at G W now R.I. leading scorer is ? tonight Hinton 32 mins 14 pts 3 reb's and Sow is out 20 mins 6 pts 5 reb's
GW has their leading scorer ? tonight also R Castro 26 mins 16 pts a game 9 reb's if he does not play thats huge also B Benjamin is ? 23 mins 7 pts 3 reb's
so make sure you know who is playing major players >? in this game
G Mason at richmond G Mason just -3 and richmond has been struggling to win, but G Mason is 18-2 str up as a favorite and they are 3-1 str up as an away favorite but just 1-3 ats now they won by 9 at fordham so maybe they covered there, but they won by 5 at lasalle so maybe they were giving more they won by 4 at st bonnie so maybe they were giving more and won by 8 at loyola those are the 3 i think where they won but did not cover so they were favorites of over 3 pts is what i am trying to get at cause i think 3 is not bad they should win and cover this also this total is 140 and the last 3 times these 2 played they all were low scoring games 64-60 64-58 64-46 so G Mason likess to score 64...lol when these 2 play so this could be a good under spot here both teams last 3 they are scoring 67 and 66 pts only worry is richmond has been giving up 79 but g mason does play a slower tempo i think could be a 69-61 type of game
thinking out loud
PLAYS
Baylor +4.5 -130
Over 156.5 N,car/Miami fl
Florida st +8.5 -120
G.Mason -3
Under 135.5 Fordham looked and agree with my MAN fla man lol
2 team parlay moved lines Vandy+5.5/Miami fl +3.5 +158
4 team parlay Villanova-5.5/GW -2.5/Okla st +5.5/Nebraska +2.5 +447 50% boost
3 team parlay over 156 vandy/over 150.5 fla st/over 153.5 baylor +266
Teaser Arkansas -pk/Miami fl +6.5
Teaser Nebraska +3.5/Okla st +7.5
opinions and may play over 152 fla st, and over Baylor , Okla st +3, well earlier in my write up i said i liked the over 152 in the fla st game well that is 155.5 now wow
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