THURSDAY NCAA 151

well coming off a huge night , started off on early games 1-2  then won 8 in a row in the evening games and hit both teasers, and hit only parlay played  

winning a bit over 12 units  had a 7-0 sunday  won about 6 units  1-3 monday ..lost 4 units  5-4 tuesday and didnt count ucla  won a teaser tue, and a 4 team parlay  + about 4 units

sunday 7-0  ytd 485-376    monday 1-3  ytd 486-379   tues 5-4  yts 491-384   wed 9-2  ytd  500-386   22-9 last 4 days and we made some good money  sorry bendover 

hopefully we can stay ahead 

Tulsa at ECU  i do like Tulsa today, but 9.5 is a lot, ECU has beaten Tulsa like the last 6 times they have played, but i do not see that happening today, this is the only time these 2 will play in regular season, and i am sure Tulsa wants payback, they have a really good team that scores a lot of points, npw Tulsa is in 3rd place in the conf, wichita is in 2nd USF pretty much has 1st but Tulsa has 2 games left and wichita st just one and wichita st has to play a hot FAU team  wichita st is 12-5  and Tulsa is 11-5 these 2 split the 2 games this year so not sure who has tie breakers , Tulsa has ECU away today then Temple , wichita plays saturday at home vs FAU  so both these teams want to win, seeding will matter and theres a big diff between 2nd and 3rd not sure how this conf works , but it looks like top 2 get byes all the way to the semi's  so huge to be 2nd or 3rd its an extra game   

i am going to go Over 154 in this game   Tulsa is avg 84 pts a game, last 3 games avg 89, and on the road 81, now ECU can score, they avg around 75-76 pts a game at home  i think tulsa gets closer to 90 today  , looking at a 87-76 type of game   maybe trying tulsa TT wich is 82.5  or ECU theirs is 71.5    but trying the over here for now 

OVER 154 Tulsa  

Good luck Rum 

BOL rum..I'm tailing you 

Howard at Norfolk  Howard is a very hot team right now, but they are just 1 game ahead in 1st with morgan st 1 game behind, and these 2 teams split this year, Morgan st plays coppin st at home and Howard is on the road at Norfolk line is Howard -5 howard beat Norfolk earlier at home 88-60 they have won 8 of their last nine only loss was to Yale an out of conf game, and Howard has been covering also and scoring well, have to say i do favor Howard here, but they are only 6-6 str up away and 4-3 str up away as a favorite, they are 8-4 ats away and just 4-3 ats as an away favorite so it makes me hesitate even though they won by 28 pts earlier, but they are 10-3 ats in conf....so i think i am going to go with the OVER here, the total is 148 and i see no reason why Howard should not be able to get over 80 pts here, last 3 games Howard is avg 91 pts a game giving up just 65, and away they avg 70 and 64 Norfolk st last 3 are avg 83 and 77, and at home they avg 78 and 71  so going this route,  they scored 148 1st meeting 88-60 but i am seeing a closer game here maybe 82-75 type of game  so OVER 147.5 -120  

Over 147.5 Howard/Norfolk st  

Best of luck RUM! 

Like the Tulsa/ECU over.....and I agree, 9.5 is too many.....has me leaning ECU....

GL brother 

RUM ... 

E. Carolina a game behind Memphis and Temple for the last 2 berths to conf tournament, with only 2 games left. They know they gotta win tonight vs Tulsa to have any hope whatsoever, so they should at least keep it close. 'Should' being the operative word. 

You are the MAN. BOL today. 

 Nice Wednesday 

Get em Rum!

Like the Tulsa/EC over angle!

looking at the Drake vs S Illinois game  ok both teams won on the others home floor  both were rather close, S.I. won 66-61 on the road and drake won 76-73 on the road now in the Southern Ill win both teams shot about the same,  but s.ill took 6 more shots 66 to 60  Drake made 24 shots SI 23  SI made 10 3's to 7 for Drake  SI was 10/17 at the line just 59% and Drake was 6/13 46%  so both teams shot poorly from the line , drake was up 5 at half and held that lead till about 13 mins left in game but it stayed close like 4-5 pts rest of game  and in 2nd game southern illinois should have won that too, in that game they took 75 shots to 62 for drake  so they took 13 more shots because of 6 fewer to's and about 6 more offensive boards  they just did not shoot well that game at home only 36%  made just 3/26 from 3 and made 10 in the 1st game  ft's were the same no advantage really  so poor shooting , when you take 13 more shots you should win if you shoot your avg, but both games S.I. had extra shots....saluki's right now i think are playing better ball, they are 80 miles from home in this game, drake 270 ... drake has lost 9 straight , its on a neutral court so the line is about right, S Ill has won last 4 and 6 of 7 ...Drake last 3 games have a -10 score margin averaging just 61 pts a game on offense, giving up 71 and S Ill last 3 avg 68 pts a game and giving up just 60  just seems like Drake is struggling on offense a little 

• Hot: Salukis are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Hot: Salukis are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• Cold: Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Cold: Bulldogs are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games.
• Cold: Bulldogs are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.

• Under is 8-1 in Salukis last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
• Hot: Under is 7-1 in Salukis last 8 overall.
• Hot: Over is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games following a ATS loss.
• Hot: Over is 4-1 in Salukis last 5 Thursday games.
• Hot: Over is 4-1 in Salukis last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
• Hot: Under is 4-1 in Salukis last 5 games following a straight up win.
• no play yet   just throwing info and thoughts out there    
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also in that Norfolk st game  they need toi win also  they are tied with NC Central for 3rd but NC Central has won both games so only way they get 3rd is to win and have NCC lose  and i do not think NCC will lose so Norfolk will be looking at 4th place win or lose  so not sure how hard they will try  

Taking S.Illinois   but buying a pt  -3.5  -130 

looking at the Drake vs S Illinois game  ok both teams won on the others home floor  both were rather close, S.I. won 66-61 on the road and drake won 76-73 on the road now in the Southern Ill win both teams shot about the same,  but s.ill took 6 more shots 66 to 60  Drake made 24 shots SI 23  SI made 10 3's to 7 for Drake  SI was 10/17 at the line just 59% and Drake was 6/13 46%  so both teams shot poorly from the line , drake was up 5 at half and held that lead till about 13 mins left in game but it stayed close like 4-5 pts rest of game  and in 2nd game southern illinois should have won that too, in that game they took 75 shots to 62 for drake  so they took 13 more shots because of 6 fewer to's and about 6 more offensive boards  they just did not shoot well that game at home only 36%  made just 3/26 from 3 and made 10 in the 1st game  ft's were the same no advantage really  so poor shooting , when you take 13 more shots you should win if you shoot your avg, but both games S.I. had extra shots....saluki's right now i think are playing better ball, they are 80 miles from home in this game, drake 270 ... drake has lost 9 straight , its on a neutral court so the line is about right, S Ill has won last 4 and 6 of 7 ...Drake last 3 games have a -10 score margin averaging just 61 pts a game on offense, giving up 71 and S Ill last 3 avg 68 pts a game and giving up just 60  just seems like Drake is struggling on offense a little 

• Hot: Salukis are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
• Hot: Salukis are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
• Bulldogs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home.
• Cold: Bulldogs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Cold: Bulldogs are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games.
• Cold: Bulldogs are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
• Under is 8-1 in Salukis last 9 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
• Hot: Under is 7-1 in Salukis last 8 overall.
• Hot: Over is 5-1 in Bulldogs last 6 games following a ATS loss.
• Hot: Over is 4-1 in Salukis last 5 Thursday games.
• Hot: Over is 4-1 in Salukis last 5 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
• Hot: Under is 4-1 in Salukis last 5 games following a straight up win.
• no play yet   just throwing info and thoughts out there   
• going to go ahead and take S.Illinois but am buying down to 3.5 at -130    
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i do somewhat favor Liberty tonight at home -8.5-9  Liberty has the #1 seed locked up but i still think they will want to win big here, they did beat La tech 72-56 at La tech earlier even though Tech took 6 more shots in that game, Liberty was up by 7 at half and out scored them by 11 in 2nd half  , Liberty is coming off a 81-78 win at Jacksonville st , but they did lose 2 games in a row before that win, and one of those losses was at home where it was their 1st home loss this year , i think they will want to make up for that, and they did handle these guys well on the road i think 9 is a fair line  i see a 14+ pt win here, i am going to take a chance here and take Liberty -8.5 -125 at Hardrock  

•  Flames are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS win.
• Hot: Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
• Flames are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up win.
• Cold: Bulldogs are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Bulldogs are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games.
• Bulldogs are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

[image from unapproved source]   Liberty -8.5 

@RUM151

 Exactly don’t understand the line move at all

this American/Boston u game should be one of the better games tonight , but i give an edge to Boston U right now  they are shooting the ball really well much better than American ..last 3 shooting the 2 at 65.6% to 48.8%  eff shooting 60% to 50% overall shooting 52% to 41%.....and they shoot much better at home than American does away  , each team won at the others home court  both very close games, american won 64-62  Boston won 68-65  so this should be another 2-4 pt game id guess     still have not made up my mind here  

but am doing a 3 team parlay where i bought points on games i like  

Iona ML/Over 149.5 WKY/S Miss +4.5  +304      

also favor WKY they are playing really well and scoring a lot, they are averaging 94 a game last 3 games, they are -2.5  -130 ml  and their TT is 78.5 and just the way they been scoring the over TT looks decent  but there are many good over trends for the wky game also 

•  Over is 5-0 in Bears last 5 home games.
• Hot: Over is 5-0 in Bears last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Hot: Over is 4-0 in Bears last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Hot: Over is 4-0 in Hilltoppers last 4 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
• Hot: Over is 6-1 in Bears last 7 games following a ATS win.
• Hot: Over is 10-2 in Bears last 12 overall.

• Hilltoppers are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
• Hot: Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
• Hot: Hilltoppers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
• Hot: Hilltoppers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
• Hot: Bears are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 Thursday games.
• Cold: Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

the parlay is a play  gl 

PLAYS 

OVER 154 Tulsa/ECU game

Over  147.5 Howard  

S Ill -3.5 -130 

Liberty -8.5 -125 

Parlay  Iona ML/Over 149.5 WKY/S Miss +4.5  +304      

well s.ill is stinking it up  i took under 64.5 about a minute in at -127  but its 8-0 with 15 left 

i like Boston U  but am parlaying them with 2 other teams i like ml  USF and Fairfield   so i think those 2 will win their games and then ill get +243 on my boston U bet if they win hopefully   

Parlay USF ML/Fairfield ml/Boston U ml  +243  

USF over 83.5 TT  

Good analyses, Rum151 let's rake in the bookie's money!

My fellow Ohioan, Rum151…looking for a third team to go along with south Florida and Fairfield. Leaning Kennesaw -2.5 over UTEP. Any thoughts? I know you like to bet kennesaw. How bout tonight????

thamks and appreciate any help