THURSDAY NCAA 151

well off a off night 4-6 , noticing here that utah valley is playing tarelton st for the 3rd time this year already ???  didnt know teams did that, but its a big line at 18 but the reason is Utah valley already beat tarelton st at tarelton st by a score of 83-55, utah valley also beat them at tarelton st on Jan 1st 91-85, so it looks like Utah valley should be able to score some points in this as they have scored 91 and 85 already....

Looking at Temple at FAU , now i favor FAU here at home, these guys have lost their last 3 home games by a combined 5 pts, so i think they will want this one for sure, matter of fact their last 4 losses have been by a combined 6 pts  thats some shit luck there, both have struggled to win lately but temple is 5-4 ats away and 4-2 ats as an away dog, but FAU is 8-3 ats at home, and 6-3 ats as a home favorite and 11-6 ats on 2-3 days rest , neither team is in any running for anything, so have to go with the home team here to finally win a home game after the close losses to 3 of the top teams at home USF, Tulsa, and N.Texas  they should handle Temple today, they did beat temple 79-73 at temple earlier  

FAU -4  

St thomas has a revenge game today at home vs ND st, ND st beat them 68-65 earlier, ND st is playing really well , and i like st thomas also because they had their home winning streak snapped by N Dakota when they lost 81-80 at home and they did get revenge by beating N D at ND 83-66 , and they are coming off a loss st thomas is and they are 7-0 str up after a loss and 5-2 ats off a loss, and this shoud go OVER so i am playing that also, i do think st thomas wins this game but i am just going to play the over, there are much better trends supporting that, 

• Over is 11-0 in Bison last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
• Hot: Over is 6-0 in Bison last 6 road games.
• Hot: Over is 6-0 in Bison last 6 games following a ATS win.
• Hot: Over is 5-0 in Bison last 5 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
• Hot: Over is 4-0 in Bison last 4 games following a straight up win.
• Hot: Over is 7-1 in Tommies last 8 home games
• nd st is 3-1-1 over as a dog 9-3-2 Over away  st thomas is 7-3 over at home and 10-4 Over in conf 

OVER 154 -125  

also taking Liberty tonight on the road at Kennesaw st  kennesaw st is still without their leading scorer, and Liberty coming off a home loss i just do not think they will lose 2 in a row, also this should go over the total here , i think Kennesaw st will try to make this a higher scoring game, it might be their only shot but Liberty can play either way, and i think they will get to 80 tonight  

Liberty ml -130    Over 152.5 -120   

going to go OVER 156.5 UNCG@Chattanooga game  last 3 games these 2 are scoring and giving up points. UNCG last 3 are avg 84 ots and giving up 89, and Chattanooga last 3 are avg 88 and 81 and chattanooga has won their last 2 games and have scored over 90 in both ..i do favor chattanooga here at home -3 also, they did lose at UNCG earlier 77-71 and being at home where they have lost their last 2 home games and lost 4 of their last 5 at home, just think they get this one may use in teaser or parlay  

OVER 156.5 

 Rum!!! 

going to go OVER 162.5 winthrop@charleston southern  another game where scoring should come easy, Hardrock has 162.5 -125 so taking it   

OVER 162.5 

•  Over is 8-0 in Eagles last 8 road games.
• Hot: Over is 7-0 in Eagles last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
• Hot: Over is 7-0 in Eagles last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
• Hot: Over is 6-0 in Eagles last 6 games following a ATS win.
• Hot: Over is 7-1 in Buccaneers last 8 games following a ATS loss.
• Hot: Over is 11-2 in Buccaneers last 13 overall.

@RUM151

 Who is the top scorer who is out for Kennesaw State RUM?

FGCU at UNF this is another where the over looks good , lots of good trends here, and even though UNF has bad trends as far as covering so does FGCU, they are 0-4 ats after an ats win, 1-6 ats last 7 road games, 1-4 ats last 5 after a str up win, so something to think about for sure 

also tonight Taking Morehead st at Little roack getting 4.5 pts  i think that is too many here as Morehead st could even win this game, they are playing well winning their last 6 and 10 of their last 12, they did beat LR at home way back on Dec 16th 78-66 and they are playing much better now then they were then  BIG play  LR just 3-6 ats at home and Morehead st is 13-6 ats in conf  

Morehead st +4.5 

also going to go with the Michigan st Spartans +8.5 -126  michigan st since 2022 has played Purdue 7 times and were a dog in 6 of them and always a decent dog +7.5  +10  +8  +4  +6.5  +5 and Mich st has covered all but 1 time so ill take a shot here  

Mich st +8.5  

@Docfergie   and he did not play in the last game of theirs either   

 Simeon Cottle   out due to suspension

30 mins  20 pts a game

@RUM151

  Bacardi151

PLAYS 

FAU -4

Liberty ML

Morehead st +4.5 

Michigan st +8.5 

Over 154 st thomas 

Over 156.5  Chattanooga 

OVER 162.5  Winthrop 

Over 152.5 Liberty 

3 team ML parlay  WKY/St thomas/Denver  +295    really like WKY and Denver also   

@RUM151

 I researched Covers statistics and haven't seen him play in at least the last 10 games

RUM ... There are only 8 teams in the WAC so they play each other 3 times for an 18 game schedule ... 

@Docfergie

 Thanks RUM. I do see that he's played 17 games this year according to the CUSA website. Again thanks for all your great research

He was suspended January 15th having been caught up in that point shaving scheme. One of 26 players - or thereabouts if I remember correctly.

Thanks for the plays Rum.  Utah Valley TT is 78.5. I think they get to 80 plus

Thanks for your incite!  

Rhode Island +4.5 Live  counting this one because it had just started  

Utah Valley over 78.5 TT   

FAU -4

Liberty ML

Morehead st +4.5 

Michigan st +8.5 

Over 154 st thomas 

Over 156.5  Chattanooga 

OVER 162.5  Winthrop 

Over 152.5 Liberty 

3 team ML parlay  WKY/St thomas/Denver  +295    really like WKY and Denver also   

Best of luck on tonight's plays Rum.  

Maine at Albany  this maine team has been covering as they are 5-1 ats their last 6 games, and are 4-1 ats last 5 vs a team with a str up losing record...

albany is 1-7 ats last 8 home games following 3 or more road games.....and 3-8 ats last 11 games vs a team with a winning % below .400

and lots of trends supporting the UNDER here 

• Under is 8-1 in Black Bears last 9 games following a ATS win.
• Hot: Under is 6-1 in Black Bears last 7 games following a straight up win.
• Hot: Under is 6-1 in Black Bears last 7 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
• Hot: Under is 4-1-1 in Black Bears last 6 road games.
• Hot: Over is 4-1 in Great Danes last 5 games following a straight up loss.
• Under is 19-6-1 in Black Bears last 26 overall.
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plays

Rhode Island +4.5 Live  counting this one because it had just started  

 Maine +6.5 -130

Utah Valley over 78.5 TT   

FAU -4

Liberty ML

Morehead st +4.5 

Michigan st +8.5 

Over 154 st thomas 

Over 156.5  Chattanooga 

OVER 162.5  Winthrop 

Over 152.5 Liberty 

3 team ML parlay  WKY/St thomas/Denver  +295    really like WKY and Denver also   

also i really like Tennessee st +4 at SE Missouri st  but i am putting it in a parlay with 3 ml teams and i am buying up to 6.5 , i hope the 3 ML teams cover because i think it wins  maybe should just bet them str up but trying it this way 

Lindenwood ml -325/Radford ML -300/chattanooga ml -180/Tenn st +6.5  +318    also do like chattanooga a lot too at -3    

teaser  Lindenwood -2.5/Memphis +3.5  

thats it all down  11 str up plays  2 parlays  1 teaser  

gl