Dont know about Hawaii-Auburn side but seems like 138 is a generous # for two less than impressive offensive squads and big travel for auburn, it's gone up four pts since open. Maybe I just don't know enough about Hawaii... Auburn played so many games last year in the 50s and 60s. This year all their 60+ pt outings have been against trash. Thoughts?
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Dont know about Hawaii-Auburn side but seems like 138 is a generous # for two less than impressive offensive squads and big travel for auburn, it's gone up four pts since open. Maybe I just don't know enough about Hawaii... Auburn played so many games last year in the 50s and 60s. This year all their 60+ pt outings have been against trash. Thoughts?
Dont know about Hawaii-Auburn side but seems like 138 is a generous # for two less than impressive offensive squads and big travel for auburn, it's gone up four pts since open. Maybe I just don't know enough about Hawaii... Auburn played so many games last year in the 50s and 60s. This year all their 60+ pt outings have been against trash. Thoughts?
Would lean that way, though Hawaii has been playing much more up-tempo this year.
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Quote Originally Posted by jayhawk05:
Dont know about Hawaii-Auburn side but seems like 138 is a generous # for two less than impressive offensive squads and big travel for auburn, it's gone up four pts since open. Maybe I just don't know enough about Hawaii... Auburn played so many games last year in the 50s and 60s. This year all their 60+ pt outings have been against trash. Thoughts?
Would lean that way, though Hawaii has been playing much more up-tempo this year.
Good to hear, Sharp. Any particular reason? I may tack on another unit at the slightly better number than the one I currently have.
My numbers have it at 13.5 if everything is equal. However Gonzaga is coming off shorter rest, a potential let down game after a nationally televised game against Butler, as you said unfamiliarity with Air Force's offense. Air Force held VMI to 65 points, the other offensive outputs they've had include: 103, 101, 84, 74, 78, 81, 70, 122, 109, and 89. The less points in the game, obviously the more likely we cover.
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Quote Originally Posted by JFen31:
Good to hear, Sharp. Any particular reason? I may tack on another unit at the slightly better number than the one I currently have.
My numbers have it at 13.5 if everything is equal. However Gonzaga is coming off shorter rest, a potential let down game after a nationally televised game against Butler, as you said unfamiliarity with Air Force's offense. Air Force held VMI to 65 points, the other offensive outputs they've had include: 103, 101, 84, 74, 78, 81, 70, 122, 109, and 89. The less points in the game, obviously the more likely we cover.
My numbers have it at 13.5 if everything is equal. However Gonzaga is coming off shorter rest, a potential let down game after a nationally televised game against Butler, as you said unfamiliarity with Air Force's offense. Air Force held VMI to 65 points, the other offensive outputs they've had include: 103, 101, 84, 74, 78, 81, 70, 122, 109, and 89. The less points in the game, obviously the more likely we cover.
Yup, that VMI game was so indicative of the way Air Force can completely control tempo. Hopefully we're right. Good luck on the rest of your stuff as well.
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Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:
My numbers have it at 13.5 if everything is equal. However Gonzaga is coming off shorter rest, a potential let down game after a nationally televised game against Butler, as you said unfamiliarity with Air Force's offense. Air Force held VMI to 65 points, the other offensive outputs they've had include: 103, 101, 84, 74, 78, 81, 70, 122, 109, and 89. The less points in the game, obviously the more likely we cover.
Yup, that VMI game was so indicative of the way Air Force can completely control tempo. Hopefully we're right. Good luck on the rest of your stuff as well.
I was leaning to Loyala and saw you were on it and made a play at +24. Another kick in the ass like the Bucknell game the other night for me. I have done nothing but get bad beats for 3 weeks.
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I was leaning to Loyala and saw you were on it and made a play at +24. Another kick in the ass like the Bucknell game the other night for me. I have done nothing but get bad beats for 3 weeks.
I was leaning to Loyala and saw you were on it and made a play at +24. Another kick in the ass like the Bucknell game the other night for me. I have done nothing but get bad beats for 3 weeks.
I feel ya, Yacker. In both games, even after the ball-breaking three-pointers, our teams still had chances to get scores at the other end. Didn't happen either time. I had a bad feeling at halftime that Loyola's foul trouble was going to result in them getting blown out. Pure luck that I took it when the hook was available, unlike Bucknell, when we both got the worst possible line.
Hopefully the bad beat streak ends. Immediately.
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Quote Originally Posted by YACKER:
I was leaning to Loyala and saw you were on it and made a play at +24. Another kick in the ass like the Bucknell game the other night for me. I have done nothing but get bad beats for 3 weeks.
I feel ya, Yacker. In both games, even after the ball-breaking three-pointers, our teams still had chances to get scores at the other end. Didn't happen either time. I had a bad feeling at halftime that Loyola's foul trouble was going to result in them getting blown out. Pure luck that I took it when the hook was available, unlike Bucknell, when we both got the worst possible line.
Bradley +17.5 @ Michigan (1.5 units) The Wolverines have gone from under-the-radar at the start of the year to somewhat overvalued based on success against top-notch competition. But the reality is, this team is not built to blow teams out of the building. UM has two wins by 17 or more points this season, and both of those came against absolutely abhorrent teams (Towson and Alabama A & M). They haven't been remotely tested in two weeks and this is the final game of what has been a highly-productive non-conference schedule. The students are home for break, but more importantly there is a major connection here between the programs. John Beilein's son, Patrick, is an assistant coach for Bradley. The head coach for the Braves, Geno Ford, is a close personal friend of Beilein, who said in the article posted below that he does not enjoy coaching against friends but needed a quality game to close out the non-conference slate. Bradley is hardly a world-beater, but Ford's team is well-coached, gritty, and battle-tested, and I suspect they're going to give Michigan a very good game in Ann Arbor. One concern is the travel for Bradley, which is playing its 4th game in 7 days and lost a heartbreaker Tuesday night against Western Carolina. Still, the motivation probably won't be there for Michigan, and Beilein is not going to run up the score against his own kid and a close personal friend.
Florida Atlantic +14 @ Harvard (1 unit) Few things to note here: Mike Jarvis was an assistant at Harvard a long time ago and this is his first return trip to Cambridge. Probably not significant, but I thought it was interesting. More important note is that Greg Gantt, FAU's leading scorer, will not be playing. He missed the Miami game as well and was admirably replaced by freshman Omari Greer, who poured in 27 points. Anyway, I think FAU will be alright without Gantt. This spread is where it is based on Harvard's Top 25 ranking. The Crimson are one of the "It" teams right now in CBB and attracting a good deal of national attention. These are the types of teams against whom I enjoy betting. I equally enjoy betting on teams whose records appear poor due to the high level of competition played. This applies directly to FAU, which has played the nation's 15th toughest schedule per KenPom and has only been blown out once, a 23-point loss to Kansas at the Phog. Well, Lavietes Pavillion is not the Phog, and Harvard is not a team built to blow anyone out. Other than a 24-point drubbing of Boston U and a shellacking of horrendous Utah, Harvard has yet to beat anyone by more than 10 points. This should be a low-scoring, grind-it-out game with two excellent defenses. It's also worth noting that Harvard hasn't played in 12 days and might be somewhat rusty at the outset. FAU has been off for 5 days since the 2OT thriller with Miami. Jarvis' coaching should keep FAU in the game until the end, though I'd be very surprised if they actually pulled out a win.
Lol....damn, I shoulda just read your post before trying to be a hero and creating a thread to save the day for everyone considering Michigan.
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Quote Originally Posted by JFen31:
Bradley +17.5 @ Michigan (1.5 units) The Wolverines have gone from under-the-radar at the start of the year to somewhat overvalued based on success against top-notch competition. But the reality is, this team is not built to blow teams out of the building. UM has two wins by 17 or more points this season, and both of those came against absolutely abhorrent teams (Towson and Alabama A & M). They haven't been remotely tested in two weeks and this is the final game of what has been a highly-productive non-conference schedule. The students are home for break, but more importantly there is a major connection here between the programs. John Beilein's son, Patrick, is an assistant coach for Bradley. The head coach for the Braves, Geno Ford, is a close personal friend of Beilein, who said in the article posted below that he does not enjoy coaching against friends but needed a quality game to close out the non-conference slate. Bradley is hardly a world-beater, but Ford's team is well-coached, gritty, and battle-tested, and I suspect they're going to give Michigan a very good game in Ann Arbor. One concern is the travel for Bradley, which is playing its 4th game in 7 days and lost a heartbreaker Tuesday night against Western Carolina. Still, the motivation probably won't be there for Michigan, and Beilein is not going to run up the score against his own kid and a close personal friend.
Florida Atlantic +14 @ Harvard (1 unit) Few things to note here: Mike Jarvis was an assistant at Harvard a long time ago and this is his first return trip to Cambridge. Probably not significant, but I thought it was interesting. More important note is that Greg Gantt, FAU's leading scorer, will not be playing. He missed the Miami game as well and was admirably replaced by freshman Omari Greer, who poured in 27 points. Anyway, I think FAU will be alright without Gantt. This spread is where it is based on Harvard's Top 25 ranking. The Crimson are one of the "It" teams right now in CBB and attracting a good deal of national attention. These are the types of teams against whom I enjoy betting. I equally enjoy betting on teams whose records appear poor due to the high level of competition played. This applies directly to FAU, which has played the nation's 15th toughest schedule per KenPom and has only been blown out once, a 23-point loss to Kansas at the Phog. Well, Lavietes Pavillion is not the Phog, and Harvard is not a team built to blow anyone out. Other than a 24-point drubbing of Boston U and a shellacking of horrendous Utah, Harvard has yet to beat anyone by more than 10 points. This should be a low-scoring, grind-it-out game with two excellent defenses. It's also worth noting that Harvard hasn't played in 12 days and might be somewhat rusty at the outset. FAU has been off for 5 days since the 2OT thriller with Miami. Jarvis' coaching should keep FAU in the game until the end, though I'd be very surprised if they actually pulled out a win.
Lol....damn, I shoulda just read your post before trying to be a hero and creating a thread to save the day for everyone considering Michigan.
i bet loyola @ 24.5, but my local blows cock and goes with the final spread on scores and odds, so 2 mins b4 game time, it was still 24, but dropped to 23.5 at tip. way too many losses on last min moves that i can't control
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i bet loyola @ 24.5, but my local blows cock and goes with the final spread on scores and odds, so 2 mins b4 game time, it was still 24, but dropped to 23.5 at tip. way too many losses on last min moves that i can't control
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