Posted:
#1
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Thurs
Posted:
#11
Quote Originally Posted by notaprojust4fun:
Here we go again. My honest real money 4U = $400 wager. Please Tail or Fade at your DISCRETION. Only tail please if you agree w me. Good luck today on your slate ladies and gentlemen! ***Purdue vs Indiana*** 4pm pacific One of the hardest place to play for a road team. Indiana boasts a 11-0 SU undefeated home record and 9-2 ats at home. But when I stepped back and actually capped the game I see that kenpom has Purdue ranked #4 w the #1 offensive efficiency in the country and defense ranked at 69 compared to Indiana ranked #18, 73 offense and 13 defense. My number falls at 7. Purdue's backcourt is built like Arizona's, the same Arizona team just like Purdue that beat Illinois on the road. Add that Purdue's bigs have the advantage over Indiana's bigs and don't forget T. Jackson-Davis took a hard fall at the end of last game and didn't return. Purdue is 3-0 ats and SU L3 and 9-1 SU and 7-2-1 ats in this series. Getting steamy Indiana's side even in this forum. Numbers say gotta roll w the Boilermakers. At 7 that's 2 buckets, I'll take the ML for 7 pt cushion. This line will move to 4 or 4.5 by tip. ***W&M vs Delaware*** 4pm3-14 SU and 3-13 ats. You will need brass balls again to keep reading if you will tail this. We are on the road vs an undefeated home team and we are 0-6 this season on the road. Red flags flashed in my head that the 1h and fg lines don't make sense. For a team that is 8-2 SU and 8-2 ats in this series that's a generous line. Wait I capped it and we even get spanked by 20 fg. The fg line is at 15.5 but the 1h is at 9.5. Give me +9.5 1h and look for a backdoor again on a horrible team that's 8-2 ats in this series. Based on the fg line this will move 1 full point. *Purdue ML w W&M +9.5 1h (4U) at +207 odds I don't like posting early and always want to see the action for today where the money is going but because both these lines will move I'll post now for those who read my threads early. But please tail or fade at your discretion! I have others but this is my Ka-Boom. Still studying the others and will post if taken
Here we go again. My honest real money 4U = $400 wager. Please Tail or Fade at your DISCRETION. Only tail please if you agree w me. Good luck today on your slate ladies and gentlemen! ***Purdue vs Indiana*** 4pm pacific One of the hardest place to play for a road team. Indiana boasts a 11-0 SU undefeated home record and 9-2 ats at home. But when I stepped back and actually capped the game I see that kenpom has Purdue ranked #4 w the #1 offensive efficiency in the country and defense ranked at 69 compared to Indiana ranked #18, 73 offense and 13 defense. My number falls at 7. Purdue's backcourt is built like Arizona's, the same Arizona team just like Purdue that beat Illinois on the road. Add that Purdue's bigs have the advantage over Indiana's bigs and don't forget T. Jackson-Davis took a hard fall at the end of last game and didn't return. Purdue is 3-0 ats and SU L3 and 9-1 SU and 7-2-1 ats in this series. Getting steamy Indiana's side even in this forum. Numbers say gotta roll w the Boilermakers. At 7 that's 2 buckets, I'll take the ML for 7 pt cushion. This line will move to 4 or 4.5 by tip. ***W&M vs Delaware*** 4pm3-14 SU and 3-13 ats. You will need brass balls again to keep reading if you will tail this. We are on the road vs an undefeated home team and we are 0-6 this season on the road. Red flags flashed in my head that the 1h and fg lines don't make sense. For a team that is 8-2 SU and 8-2 ats in this series that's a generous line. Wait I capped it and we even get spanked by 20 fg. The fg line is at 15.5 but the 1h is at 9.5. Give me +9.5 1h and look for a backdoor again on a horrible team that's 8-2 ats in this series. Based on the fg line this will move 1 full point. *Purdue ML w W&M +9.5 1h (4U) at +207 odds I don't like posting early and always want to see the action for today where the money is going but because both these lines will move I'll post now for those who read my threads early. But please tail or fade at your discretion! I have others but this is my Ka-Boom. Still studying the others and will post if taken
Just a little confused by your post regarding Purdue.
Are you saying Purdue is +7? The line opened at 3.5 and currently sits at 3.5.
Regardless, thank you for posting your plays and insight - it is much appreciated.
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