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The Falcon's Model

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Posted: #326
Falcon/Lawton1

I wanted to say thank you for being so generous as to post your plays on here for those of us not quite as capable of generating a system as successful as yours.

And more important personally I am happy to see that you also celebrate the real reason for Christmas. The birth of our Saviour.
 
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Posted: #327
Falcon's Model
20-7 (+$6175)
74.07% Winners

CBB 12-4
NHL 6-3
NFL 2-0

Tuesday Dec 26

Denver Over 204
$550 to win $500


Alright guys, this is probably a one time NBA play, if u want to follow The Falcon today.  

It will be back to CBB totals tomorrow.  I may get the Top total for Wednesday up late tonight, if lines are out. 

Falcon
 
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Posted: #328
Got it Thanks
 
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Posted: #329
No problem guys.. Dutch you are correct.

Looks like I will have a Top CBB total and Top NHL total for Wednesday.. I'll be releasing them tonight, if all lines are posted. Check back if interested.


Falcon
 
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Posted: #330
 
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Posted: #331
Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

Falcon's Model
20-7 (+$6175)
74.07% Winners

CBB 12-4
NHL 6-3
NFL 2-0

Tuesday Dec 26

Denver Over 204
$550 to win $500


Alright guys, this is probably a one time NBA play, if u want to follow The Falcon today.  

It will be back to CBB totals tomorrow.  I may get the Top total for Wednesday up late tonight, if lines are out. 

Falcon

Did not like seeing the following on this game, but you are on fire!!!  BOL tonight!!!


Under is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Denver
 
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Posted: #332
In2it, I agree, I basically do not like the NBA but a few years ago, I had something good for NBA totals but then things changed and scoring escalated and my program got left behind... Today there were no cbb games, so I took a couple hours and updated the NBA program.. I have no plans of continuing on with this... With that said, I obviously don't use trends, as I consider that a handicapping tool.. I played this game Over 204, I have the total at 209... Hopefully we will cash it  


Falcon
 
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Posted: #333
 
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Posted: #334
Lets get some boxing day cash
 
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Posted: #335

Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

In2it, I agree, I basically do not like the NBA but a few years ago, I had something good for NBA totals but then things changed and scoring escalated and my program got left behind... Today there were no cbb games, so I took a couple hours and updated the NBA program.. I have no plans of continuing on with this... With that said, I obviously don't use trends, as I consider that a handicapping tool.. I played this game Over 204, I have the total at 209... Hopefully we will cash it  Falcon

I'm going to watch this game and give back some detail. I believe in your model, but if you hit this you breaking ALOT of history lol. But hey, they bound to hit that mark at least once. Maybe this your night. Last time they even touched 204 was 2014. 3 years ago and that was 204 on the dot. Last time they went over that was early 2014. I think only way you can hit that is a blowout or overtime.

 
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Posted: #336
From a handicappers perspective, I would 100% agree. But from my models projection, I have 209pts. 

Either way, I'm not playing the NBA much more.  It will be interesting tonight, to see if I model can defeat the trend player or capper. 

Falcon
 
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Posted: #337
Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

In2it, I agree, I basically do not like the NBA but a few years ago, I had something good for NBA totals but then things changed and scoring escalated and my program got left behind... Today there were no cbb games, so I took a couple hours and updated the NBA program.. I have no plans of continuing on with this... With that said, I obviously don't use trends, as I consider that a handicapping tool.. I played this game Over 204, I have the total at 209... Hopefully we will cash it  


Falcon

Lawton....I have shaken my head at a few of your plays (Jacksonville/Houston total was one of them) because they went against some real strong history and trends, but I tailed anyway because you and your Model have been so strong and they all CASHED.  I am sure this will too.  I remember on guy asking you how it would possibly go over, when Houston can't score.  I think Jacksonville by themselves scored enough to take the game over

Really appreciate you posting all these great plays!!! I have been too busy the past week to do anything on my own.  BOL!!!
 
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Posted: #338

BOL to you tonight, Lawton... I'm gonna roll with ya today.... I've had multiple occasions, like in2it where I've thought WTH is wrong with this model, and the play ends up cashing. So I'm gonna quit questioning and just roll with it. Thank you for your continued plays and successes. Forget the last 10 meetings! The falcon said so! Let's win some money!

 
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Posted: #339
Let's just not worry about it.  This is an NBA play, it could be my last one for a long time.  Tomorrow it will be back to CBB totals.  I'll probably release Wednesday's card later tonight.  

Falcon
 
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Posted: #340

Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

Let's just not worry about it.  This is an NBA play, it could be my last one for a long time.  Tomorrow it will be back to CBB totals.  I'll probably release Wednesday's card later tonight.  Falcon
Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

Let's just not worry about it.  This is an NBA play, it could be my last one for a long time.  Tomorrow it will be back to CBB totals.  I'll probably release Wednesday's card later tonight.  Falcon

Love your style Falcon, btw. Hate when people get afraid of line movements and stuff that doesn'nt matter. You stick to your numbers and go for the money. I would advise to bet low on this one though friend. Wouldn't want you to lose 550.

 
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Posted: #341
Naw, I'll trust my work.. I'm playing with house money, so let her roll.. 


Falcon
 
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Posted: #342
While In2it's stat trend of the past games is what it is, we should remember that this is no longer the same Jazz team. With rookie Donovan Mitchell pushing the pace and pure shooter Rodney Hood back in the lineup, the Jazz can put up points on the board. Also center and defensive stopper Rudy Gobert is out. The Nuggets are known as a run and gun high scoring offense with their high powered backcourt, especially at home. The high altitude shouldn't be an issue for the Jazz either.

Keep up the great work Falcon. 
 
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Posted: #343
my god this Utah team is absolutely pathetic on the offensive end. Lets hope for a nice LARGE scoring second half 
 
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Posted: #344
this is done, back to college.
 
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Posted: #345
Fingers crossed.  Seen this movie before. First half looks like we're doomed, then they score like mad down the stretch.


 
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Posted: #346
106 in the second half. Lots of points in the final 3 mins. 

Thanks to mudiays worthless three I got the second half over  only played it thanks to the falcon. Missed the game, hit the second half for a 1-1 day minus the juice. 

Look forward to tomorrow
 
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Posted: #347
Falcon's Model
20-8 (+$5625)
71.43% Winners

CBB 12-4
NHL 6-3
NFL 2-0
NBA 0-1

Wednesday Dec 27

Syracuse Over 135
$550 to win $500

Bonus NHL play
Islanders Over 5.5 (-120)
$600 to win $500



Falcon
 
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Posted: #348
Pushed that 2H at 106 myself.   

Anyways, I'm looking forward to tomorrow.  Have a great night everybody.
 
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Posted: #349

Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

Falcon's Model20-8 (+$5625)71.43% WinnersCBB 12-4NHL 6-3NFL 2-0NBA 0-1Wednesday Dec 27Syracuse Over 135$550 to win $500Bonus NHL playIslanders Over 5.5 (-120)$600 to win $500Falcon

NICCCE. i had that one as well along with the cover.

 
 
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Posted: #350

Thanks Lawton!

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