GL! love ur uconn pick, gonna tail u on ur ML parlay..lol hopefully it pays!!
thanks man, i hope so too haha. i should let you know though that I'm on the worst run of the entire season right now (5-14). so be careful. and this sounds like the excuse that everyone makes, but I've had an unreal amount of bad luck lately. i was 2-11 in games decided in the final 90 seconds on sunday and monday, and lost 4 bets by a combined 6.5 points last night
most of my losses came from sides though. i've never had a bad run at parlays, and that's why i'm heading back to them. i can wait for tomorrow's card. there will be plenty of love.
was going to wrap two bets around this under-achieving marshall team, but decided not to. back in january people were actually talking about them getting an at-large bid, and they've got fantastic star talent in the back w/ damier pitts and deandre kane as guards and some MONSTER big boys down low w/ tinnon and goff. there's a reason why this team is top ten in the country in rebound rate and it's because of them. even if they dont shoot well, it's not going to matter because they'er going to get a boat load of boards and 2nd shot opportunities as they're the best offensive rebounding team in the conference. it's going to be one-and-done for SMU. but the herd is beyond awful when it comes to free throw shooting, and southern methodist has really seemed to linger around in most of their C-USA games
Quote Originally Posted by MTK43:
GL! love ur uconn pick, gonna tail u on ur ML parlay..lol hopefully it pays!!
thanks man, i hope so too haha. i should let you know though that I'm on the worst run of the entire season right now (5-14). so be careful. and this sounds like the excuse that everyone makes, but I've had an unreal amount of bad luck lately. i was 2-11 in games decided in the final 90 seconds on sunday and monday, and lost 4 bets by a combined 6.5 points last night
most of my losses came from sides though. i've never had a bad run at parlays, and that's why i'm heading back to them. i can wait for tomorrow's card. there will be plenty of love.
was going to wrap two bets around this under-achieving marshall team, but decided not to. back in january people were actually talking about them getting an at-large bid, and they've got fantastic star talent in the back w/ damier pitts and deandre kane as guards and some MONSTER big boys down low w/ tinnon and goff. there's a reason why this team is top ten in the country in rebound rate and it's because of them. even if they dont shoot well, it's not going to matter because they'er going to get a boat load of boards and 2nd shot opportunities as they're the best offensive rebounding team in the conference. it's going to be one-and-done for SMU. but the herd is beyond awful when it comes to free throw shooting, and southern methodist has really seemed to linger around in most of their C-USA games
Do you like UCONN -3? I like em, I think they have a sense of urgency now, and their big guys are playing with more tenacity... IMO...
Any thoughts on the Rice (-2) ECU game? My gut is telling me to steer clear..
your book is at -3? On BetOnline and BookMaker both I see -2. If you're using an online book, I'd wait until tip and keep monitoring. there's no way this line goes over 3, so it might drop back down. I'd take it at -2.5 but personally i wouldn't bother at 3. This won't be a blowout in either direction, and asking them to win by 4 seems like a lot.
Yeah, tough game there w/ Rice/ECU. I'm a big fan of Arsalan Kazemi of Rice. He's so smooth w/ the ball and crisp off the glass, he has such an incredible basketball IQ, and he is very difficult to guard. Very nice kid, too, he does a lot of interviews on tv shows and stuff just cause he's the first iranian basketball player ever. I heard he lost his cool the other night in a horribly officiated home game versus Houston though, he actually chased down the refs after the game and pushed a security guard to get to them to argue a call.
Not that that has any bearing the game today. From what I hear, Rice has a lot of chemistry on their team and a really good relationship w/ their coach. This article pretty much sums up their mentality going into the game tonight. Seems like they have a lot of confidence and swagger.
But yeah, ECU is a streaky team when it comes to shooting. I don't know where I read this stat, but I think it said that they've hit 10+ three-pointers 7 times this year. They're #50 in the country at getting points from threes, and Rice is #296 at defending the long ball. I feel like ECU struggled to shoot well against the conference's best, but they shouldnt struggle nearly as much against rice.
i'm almost positive that ECU has the farthest trip to memphis for this game. not that that matters really, b/c all teams (other than memphis) have to make a pretty bad commute for the c-usa tourney. but this game really seems to be split to me. i guess i'd lean on rice, but honestly i have no idea
Quote Originally Posted by jfields2:
Do you like UCONN -3? I like em, I think they have a sense of urgency now, and their big guys are playing with more tenacity... IMO...
Any thoughts on the Rice (-2) ECU game? My gut is telling me to steer clear..
your book is at -3? On BetOnline and BookMaker both I see -2. If you're using an online book, I'd wait until tip and keep monitoring. there's no way this line goes over 3, so it might drop back down. I'd take it at -2.5 but personally i wouldn't bother at 3. This won't be a blowout in either direction, and asking them to win by 4 seems like a lot.
Yeah, tough game there w/ Rice/ECU. I'm a big fan of Arsalan Kazemi of Rice. He's so smooth w/ the ball and crisp off the glass, he has such an incredible basketball IQ, and he is very difficult to guard. Very nice kid, too, he does a lot of interviews on tv shows and stuff just cause he's the first iranian basketball player ever. I heard he lost his cool the other night in a horribly officiated home game versus Houston though, he actually chased down the refs after the game and pushed a security guard to get to them to argue a call.
Not that that has any bearing the game today. From what I hear, Rice has a lot of chemistry on their team and a really good relationship w/ their coach. This article pretty much sums up their mentality going into the game tonight. Seems like they have a lot of confidence and swagger.
But yeah, ECU is a streaky team when it comes to shooting. I don't know where I read this stat, but I think it said that they've hit 10+ three-pointers 7 times this year. They're #50 in the country at getting points from threes, and Rice is #296 at defending the long ball. I feel like ECU struggled to shoot well against the conference's best, but they shouldnt struggle nearly as much against rice.
i'm almost positive that ECU has the farthest trip to memphis for this game. not that that matters really, b/c all teams (other than memphis) have to make a pretty bad commute for the c-usa tourney. but this game really seems to be split to me. i guess i'd lean on rice, but honestly i have no idea
ah..i absolutely believe they will win straight up...but i could never lay the 7 points w/ UAB. they play slow basketball, their offense is non-existent at times, and they miss free throws that might become crucial down the stretch. they're also weird like tulsa in the fact that they seem to always play to their opponents' level and keep games dramatically close. 12 of their 16 conference games were decided by 8 or less points, and SEVEN STRAIGHT GAMES in january were decided by 7 or less points. tulane has been awful like expected, although losing timmons was a huge huge blow, but playing UAB in a conference tournament game is the type of game they could linger around in. i dont know if UAB will win by 5 or 15, but they're so physical and were underachieving all season. tulsa is disgustingly bad and have only won 2 games away from home, but i wouldnt trust UAB at all to cover
Quote Originally Posted by qmann80:
how strong are u about uab sloop?
ah..i absolutely believe they will win straight up...but i could never lay the 7 points w/ UAB. they play slow basketball, their offense is non-existent at times, and they miss free throws that might become crucial down the stretch. they're also weird like tulsa in the fact that they seem to always play to their opponents' level and keep games dramatically close. 12 of their 16 conference games were decided by 8 or less points, and SEVEN STRAIGHT GAMES in january were decided by 7 or less points. tulane has been awful like expected, although losing timmons was a huge huge blow, but playing UAB in a conference tournament game is the type of game they could linger around in. i dont know if UAB will win by 5 or 15, but they're so physical and were underachieving all season. tulsa is disgustingly bad and have only won 2 games away from home, but i wouldnt trust UAB at all to cover
Hey Scoop, what's you feeling with the over/under with Conn/Pitt at 130?
oh man, sorry, but i have no idea. i'd lean under just because these teams are so sloppy and undisciplined offensively and i think uconn's shooting performance yesterday was more a product of depaul's shitty defense and frenetic pace. WVU will have trouble going inside and forced to take a lot of threes, i could see this being the type of game where they use kevin jones to manufacture a ton of points and truck bryant and kilicili kind of leave him stranded to do everything. kilicili and drummond and everyone not named kevin jones can't hit a free throw to save their lives either. but these are two teams that could absolutely ruin a total in either direction...my guess is no better than yours probably, as i am admittedly quite mediocre/bad at capping totals (probably 50% spot on for the year) and rarely play them any more...seems like the 2h or a live bet might be best
good luck!!!!
Quote Originally Posted by Bren894:
Hey Scoop, what's you feeling with the over/under with Conn/Pitt at 130?
oh man, sorry, but i have no idea. i'd lean under just because these teams are so sloppy and undisciplined offensively and i think uconn's shooting performance yesterday was more a product of depaul's shitty defense and frenetic pace. WVU will have trouble going inside and forced to take a lot of threes, i could see this being the type of game where they use kevin jones to manufacture a ton of points and truck bryant and kilicili kind of leave him stranded to do everything. kilicili and drummond and everyone not named kevin jones can't hit a free throw to save their lives either. but these are two teams that could absolutely ruin a total in either direction...my guess is no better than yours probably, as i am admittedly quite mediocre/bad at capping totals (probably 50% spot on for the year) and rarely play them any more...seems like the 2h or a live bet might be best
sloop ill save the chit chat, lets get this card, lol.
mark i'm surprised you're still around here after the past few days
im 17-20-1 in march but i havent had a losing month ever and there's no fucking way i'm going to let vegas beat me in march. this is war.
i'll be doing something with this louisville game later. i have zero faith in the the pirates and lines are popping up now that are teasable/parlayable....
Quote Originally Posted by monkeymark5:
sloop ill save the chit chat, lets get this card, lol.
mark i'm surprised you're still around here after the past few days
im 17-20-1 in march but i havent had a losing month ever and there's no fucking way i'm going to let vegas beat me in march. this is war.
i'll be doing something with this louisville game later. i have zero faith in the the pirates and lines are popping up now that are teasable/parlayable....
funny that UAB is laying the same amount of points on a neutral court as they did at home. line took a while to drop to 6 but i dont think it'll go back up
funny that UAB is laying the same amount of points on a neutral court as they did at home. line took a while to drop to 6 but i dont think it'll go back up
Gotta future at +1000 or something to that note for Uconn to win big east tourney... Riding them to the end... Caught them last night as a pick em -110 parlayed with over 130.5.... Total is 50/50 like sloop explained but Uconn is a good play I feel...
Gotta future at +1000 or something to that note for Uconn to win big east tourney... Riding them to the end... Caught them last night as a pick em -110 parlayed with over 130.5.... Total is 50/50 like sloop explained but Uconn is a good play I feel...
i just know you are due for a big ride and im not gonna miss it. good comes with the slumps, so today could be a big day.
i feel really good about the next 3 days. i have a couple locked in already and i'll be cracking the whip on a few huge ML parlays. lines have been up for 2 days now though, so they've pretty much settled other than the later rounds of conference tournaments, so it's more worthwhile to wait 24 hours to see if i can get some even safer parlays lines
Quote Originally Posted by monkeymark5:
i just know you are due for a big ride and im not gonna miss it. good comes with the slumps, so today could be a big day.
i feel really good about the next 3 days. i have a couple locked in already and i'll be cracking the whip on a few huge ML parlays. lines have been up for 2 days now though, so they've pretty much settled other than the later rounds of conference tournaments, so it's more worthwhile to wait 24 hours to see if i can get some even safer parlays lines
Thanks for the input Sloop, looking rough at the moment with a pick of Uconn -2 and the Over. Was thinking there would be a lot of running here and got the exact opposite. Oh well hoping for OT!
Thanks for the input Sloop, looking rough at the moment with a pick of Uconn -2 and the Over. Was thinking there would be a lot of running here and got the exact opposite. Oh well hoping for OT!
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