LaSalle, GT have recent injuries, so not sure if they're a clean play. TAMU barely squeaks by the Redtear criteria but also has an injury. Binghamton, Northwester and Samfort should play - I think lol.
Which site do you guys predominantly use for this? I've been using the 'Trend Movement vs Line' feature on Vegas Insider but haven't necessarily come to the same conclusions as some of the above. For eg, based on what I'm looking at I would have Central Arkansas as worth exploring (line has only moved from -5 to -5.5 for them but with less than 10% of the money on them at every update) but don't see much of the same trend for La Salle. Presuming there's other sites which offer the same feature but have different numbers.
It's amazing how this system works... GT was the strongest of these plays today and I just wish I had the ball to play the ML.....
There are a lot of cappers on here that can beat the books but at the end of the day the Sportsbook knows WAYYYY more than your average Joe. If you dig hard enough the books will ultimately tell you who you need to play.
Well put, moe. That was one of the most important realizations for me personally in this game. I played and (follow) a lot of hoops, I've got some analytics background, but there are people who are much smarter than me in every aspect of this... some of whom contribute to this forum. Many of the best of whom work for the books.
As Plato's Socrates says in the Apology, "I seem, then, in just this little thing to be wiser than this man at any rate, that what I do not know I do not think I know either."
Action has 80% wagers & 82% money on Trojans...
VegasInsiser has 75% wagers on Trojans
Seeing it now, sure was around 55-60% earlier when I looked...
After years and year and years of betting (and losing) you have to start to realize that you can beat the books but ultimately not by much if you're in the top tier of cappers with all the analytics, models (for example, EW here). He is probably one of the only handful of Cappers that can beat the Sportbooks by pure analytics and knowledge and more than not he's squeezing out wins by mere half a point or so.
Then you have the folks that figured the system by reading lines. What I mean is when you see a game and are like "No way so and so is only getting X points". One of the cappers I follow very very close on here is KingScorpio. I don't think any one knows how he actually caps his game but I have an inkling it's A LOT of line reading because if you follow him enough he bets these ridiculous games no one else would lay their money on and he hits at a 60% clip consistently. He's essentially playing the games Vegas is telling you to play. The best example on this was his write-up on the UConn vs. Cincy game last Sunday. He straight up wrote how is Uconn such a short dog when they've lost 8 in a row to Cinci and Cinci having the way better record. Most on here was on Cinci because of EVERYONE sees the trends, records and matchup and low and behold Uconn covers & wins SU.
All this to say...once you realize Vegas is leaps and bounds smarter and more talented then you, you will start to cap better and win.
Established in 1995,
Hot Forum Topics
