I see a figure closer to that also (56%). DANE's figures reflect ML wagering AND spread (sides) so it is skewed. And I agree with most, -8 ML FAV is away for books to cleanup (esp. since you have to put a larger bankroll to make decent $$$$)
-300 is a disaster waiting to happen.
If Duke were -11 or so, I would say Butler has diminished chances to grab victory from defeat. -8 is VERY possible. Most upsets seem to happen within the -5 to -8 range.
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Quote Originally Posted by eriffic:
where do you see 85%
i see 56% on butler and 44% on duke.
I see a figure closer to that also (56%). DANE's figures reflect ML wagering AND spread (sides) so it is skewed. And I agree with most, -8 ML FAV is away for books to cleanup (esp. since you have to put a larger bankroll to make decent $$$$)
-300 is a disaster waiting to happen.
If Duke were -11 or so, I would say Butler has diminished chances to grab victory from defeat. -8 is VERY possible. Most upsets seem to happen within the -5 to -8 range.