@PAZ
I say that as a follower not a detractor PAZ, I chose Floridaman, Rum and Michigan_D as choices to follow. Rum not easy as a new guy to follow his plays, and I don't pay for as much juice, and Sunday was not good at all. I even followed teasers for once, not a fan, and not a good choice day to do it. So I own it. All good. RUM final tally will show it was not good. Not doing Pars/teasers again, that is money Vegas uses to keep lights on and keep building. UCLA in 3 wagers as parlay, teaser, and straight up hurt. So, yeah, I followed.
Well… I would not have given you a plug nickel for Iowa to beat Florida …. I did see spread went from 10.5 to 9.5 hour before game… that caught my eye… my way of doing this is just not the way to go…. So I’m gonna just tail…. I’m clearly NOT… wise enough to pick these…. On nights when rum goes 7-3… I’ll pick a few of his … and it will be those 3…. Over and over again….. like Tennessee. I refused to play Tennessee yesterday… rums first pick for Sunday…. I’ve seen Tennessee play a few times… and they tend to self destruct…. And Virginia had a very good season…. Nothing told me to play Tennessee…. Now I had not seen Virginia play……. So I refused…. And tennessee ….led box to wire…. I’m not sure what I’m saying here…. I suck at this… and others are pretty good at it…. I had Florida moneyline in every single wager yesterday. …. There was no way… after they laid down to vandy to rest up for this… did I see that happening…. I suck at this…. Others are pretty good ….. I’m gonna start listening more… and commenting less…. My logic does not win…. Ok. That’s my 2 cents this am…. Wish all the best… I’m gonna change my way of doing this…. Or gonna just quit…. Been doing this 42 years one way or another…. And my way….just keeps losing……. Appreciate your time n efforts rum…. You typically do well…. And since I can’t do that… well…. Tip my cap sir…
@CabernetTrey
Vegas uses the vig (minus 115) or better on straight bets knowing that most will be about .500 bettors or worse. A bettor could go 2-2 and still lose money because of the vig. Most people bet the same way and most people lose. Most people will tell you parlays are bad yet this NCAA tournament the favorites were 24-8 in the first round. Maybe better? The second-round favorites were 11-5?
Imagine parlaying favorites this tournament either in teasers or ML's. Imagine how much money that you would be up. I'm up over $2000 in just one weekend.
Why you chose to follow UCLA, which was NOT a favorite, had TWO major players questionable, and traveled from California to Philly is beyond me. There were so many other better choices.
Yes very correct. ...taking ucla was a poor choice ....on a day where I already had st John's collapse on me a game where they controlled all but 5 mins... and miami missing a layup at the end to lose.....after having n.caolina fall apart late.....betting basketball is crazy sometimes. You'll handicap games and be dead on for 90% of it....and come out a loser. There was a moment in that game where I. Thought about taking u conn and all of a sudden ucla got to within 4. Maybe 8. Mins left...even Tennessee tried to lose....maybe thats what I was thinking when I bet them. I just watched teams have control of a game then lose or almost lose....and it was obvious that game was not one I was really interested in because. I had no opinion on it before. Hand. But yes it was a poor pick
Right now I am liking ILLINOIS....IOWA ST....MICHIGAN ST....ARKANSAS.....maybe Texas....and maybe IOWA. I really liked how Iowa did not fold up. Even after Florida came back and took the lead. Many teams would have
well i have a 3-5 day str up 1-3 on teasers horrible day and yes it was bad all the way around it was a diff type of day with just how games went then to see games like California lose after being up almost 20 in 2nd half its just the way basketball goes, if you really look into game and try to figure out who should control the game, thats one thing, i never read many who handicap and say my team will be down 15 late but they will make a comeback and cover...lol its just how a lot of these games will go, when you bet and your team is down you have hope they will come back
wake forest loser bad play
st johns loser a tuff loss
miami +9 another tuff one
over77.5 TT unlv bad play
ucla bad play
over 146.5 purdue winner
iowa st winner a very good play
Tennessee ml winner
1-3 on teasers
@CabernetTrey
yes never jump on those plays after a good day of them i am actually +23 on 2 team teasers ...... i am superstitious and when i see someone on here hot i just stay away afraid i could jinx them...lol but i understand what your saying i hope you have been on some of the good runs
TUESDAY ....coming off a poor sunday
Over 149.5 Tulsa game i think this goes over, these 2 just played and are in same conf , wichita knocked them out of tourney 81-68 , just looking for points here
also taking Illinois +3.5 -110 i do not think this goes up but it could since Houston again is almost at home, but Illinois has the size and the shooters i think to win this game,
also taking Iowa st -3.5 -125 i did not like how Tennessee almost lost, Iowa st i think is the better team, better offensively for sure and i would trust them more than tennessee and i think this line may go up i seen 4.5-110 i think later money goes on Iowa st just like sunday
i want to take Michigan st right now, but will wait also favor arkansas and, Texas has went up already from +6.5 to 7.5 ....iowa and Nebraska should be a good one, all of these games could possibly be very good, i found my self liking st johns but after their collapse yesterday vs Kansas, i am really leaning Duke here in this spot and thats not like me, 7 pts is not a lot and with ft's late we we all understand
3 plays in
over 149.5 tulsa
Illinois +3.5
Iowa st -3.5
Yes lost 2 parlays also. Had a decent shot needing the over 159.5 in the bama game as they got their 90. But never thought TEXAS TECH would score just 65. Needed 5 points. . Main thing is str ups. I am one of the few that post everything he plays. I am sure many play a parlay here and there but don't post.. I just have this bad habit of posting was not trying to fool anyone...lol.
Hope we have some good games...ill have everything bet before Thursday. I see a couple of games where lines could move either way.
Gl
I like your thinking in the sweet 16 except Illinois. Houston is basically playing a home game and Illinois can be soft. What will the Europeans do when Houston gets in their grill? Plus, Brad Underwood always underachieves in the tournament. Sampson has never won it all and with Florida out of the way I'm sure he sees another chance of getting that missing title that he has been chasing.
I think St. John's keeps it close and has the chance for the upset. Same with Arkansas.
Best of luck! I will be following you.
I liked the over in the Tulsa game and bet it right away one reason was. Because when these 2 played in their tourney Tulsa had a very bad shooting night and only scored 68 pts and I expect them to do better today these 2 know each other. But as far as a side thats a tuff call. ...Wichita st. Has been playing well and Tulsa well this was their last loss...I could go either way on the side....I do like st Joe's they had a nice comeback but I think this is their 3rd road game now. ?? The Pit is a hard place to play.
@River_fish
good points , but im keeping an eye on the line , i think there will be a lot of people on both sides. and somebody has to take Illinois ...lol i thought they played well last game, might be a bit unfair that Houston gets to play at home in every game, but good teams can over come that, they have been beaten this year, i
That worked out perfectly. All ill say. ...even got lucky when it was 66-64 did a parlay with Wichita +4.5 under 84.5 tt Tulsa. ..but that don't matter. Nice comeback for Wichita backers and if you took Tulsa when they were -3..5 because they were 3.5 for awhile everyone wins....and when Wichita was + 20.5 or 18.5 early u almost had to put something on that. No brainer :)
the under in this one looks good, but i do not think it wans by a lot could be a sweater and at Hardrock right now you can get under 134.5 +100 under 135.5 -110 under 136.5 -120 and 137.5 -130 i am seeing a 67-65 game ....
under 136.5 -120
going to go Over 137.5 in the tennessee/Iowa st game, i think both teams get to 69+ i think this goes over by about 4+ is all very close
75-68
over 137.5 -120
Iowa st -3.5
Illinois +3.5
Under 136.5 Mich st
Over 137.5 Tennessee
well dayton dropped back down to -6.5 and auburn dropped to 8.5 but for -120 on both can get a point better, need dayton already for something else i bet , the total in the auburn game has dropped a point from opening, but i still favor the over here, but going to go with Nevada +9.5 auburn has not covered yet in this NIT tourney, and Nevada is 2-0 , hoping they stay in this and they should ..being gone all day i missed the better number ion the total with Dayton, should have just bet this last night, but will buy down to original total of 138.5 -130 , i do think this gets into the mid 140's tuff call on the spread, but id lean dayton
Nevada +9.5 they have covered both games in this tourney, these guys have beaten Utah st and New mexico this year, and beat grand canyon twice, they should make this a decent game
over 138.5 dayton
Nevada +9.5
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