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    All Forums | College Basketball

    Ncaab ATS Streak Breakers for 2013/2014

    «First Previous 343536 ... 125126127 Next Last»
    stevo1
    jab21
    BrickShot
    lousyjets
    Ausdaboss
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 211535
    Posts: 3174
    «First Previous 343536 ... 125126127 Next Last»
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2014 - 2:08 PM ET #826

    this is for broker9 and his opinion

    pg 640

    5-0 streaks to continue against any point spread placed by odds makers past 2 years

    2011/ 2012 59% to go to 6-0 seasons end (27-19)
    2012/2013  62 % to go to 6-0 seasons end (34-21)

    2013/2014  80 % to go to 6-0 to date (13-3)
    current record as of 12/29/13 
    Harvard could be our next large play on 1/1/14 (14-3)

    HAWAII is NEXT (14-4)

    today we have NIAGARA at 5-0 win streak
    Reply
    this is for broker9 and his opinion

    pg 640

    5-0 streaks to continue against any point spread placed by odds makers past 2 years

    2011/ 2012 59% to go to 6-0 seasons end (27-19)
    2012/2013  62 % to go to 6-0 seasons end (34-21)

    2013/2014  80 % to go to 6-0 to date (13-3)
    current record as of 12/29/13 
    Harvard could be our next large play on 1/1/14 (14-3)

    HAWAII is NEXT (14-4)

    today we have NIAGARA at 5-0 win streak
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2014 - 2:16 PM ET #827

    0-6 streak Pitt covers and 0-6 record to cover goes to 4-6 to cover

    Next 0-6 team looking for a cover is Boston College

    then 0-6 Colorado St  looking for a cover

    Reply
    0-6 streak Pitt covers and 0-6 record to cover goes to 4-6 to cover

    Next 0-6 team looking for a cover is Boston College

    then 0-6 Colorado St  looking for a cover

     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2014 - 2:27 PM ET #828

    4-0 streak team Cinn covers PS and is our first team today to go to our Best level to cover @ 5-0
    other 4-0 streak teams playing today
    Arizona
    Xavier
    Kansas St
    Canisius

    one problem 4-0 streak teams are just 25-21 to continue to 5-0 for 2014

    Reply
    4-0 streak team Cinn covers PS and is our first team today to go to our Best level to cover @ 5-0
    other 4-0 streak teams playing today
    Arizona
    Xavier
    Kansas St
    Canisius

    one problem 4-0 streak teams are just 25-21 to continue to 5-0 for 2014

     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2014 - 2:36 PM ET #829

    Degen4Ever
    If you are a pretty good card counter I would love to meet you if ever get to VEGAS and play with you.If do come, let me know as i can get Casino to comp you your room
    maybe over March maddness
    Reply
    Degen4Ever
    If you are a pretty good card counter I would love to meet you if ever get to VEGAS and play with you.If do come, let me know as i can get Casino to comp you your room
    maybe over March maddness
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2014 - 2:45 PM ET #830

    Pitt 74
    NC ST 62
    Pitt covers by 12 -3 = -9 short by odds makers
    ___________________________________
    Neb 53
    OSU 84
    OSU covers by 31 -17 = 14 short to Neb by odds makers
    _______________________________________
    Cinn 69
    Memp 53
    Cinn covers by 16  cinn gets +6.5 = 22.5
    _________________________________________
    odds makers record on these 3 early games is 0-3
    Reply
    Pitt 74
    NC ST 62
    Pitt covers by 12 -3 = -9 short by odds makers
    ___________________________________
    Neb 53
    OSU 84
    OSU covers by 31 -17 = 14 short to Neb by odds makers
    _______________________________________
    Cinn 69
    Memp 53
    Cinn covers by 16  cinn gets +6.5 = 22.5
    _________________________________________
    odds makers record on these 3 early games is 0-3
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2014 - 2:54 PM ET #831

    Niagara getting their azz kicked, down 17  getting 12.5

    where is the Balance expected out of these odds makers
    Reply
    Niagara getting their azz kicked, down 17  getting 12.5

    where is the Balance expected out of these odds makers
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2014 - 3:14 PM ET #832

    Niagara down -26 getting 12  thanks Odds makers for great line
    Reply
    Niagara down -26 getting 12  thanks Odds makers for great line
     
    jab21
    jab21
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2014 - 3:20 PM ET #833

    Can someone translate and summarize the pick(s) for today? I read the beginning of this thread and am not following.
    Reply
    Can someone translate and summarize the pick(s) for today? I read the beginning of this thread and am not following.
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2014 - 3:24 PM ET #834

    Odds makers coming down on 5-0 win streaks in last 2 days looking to balance out this streak level and if Niagara loses the 5-0 streak record will be 14-5 and 2 no covers in last 2 days and although Cover record will still be 74% but far from past 80 % in last 3 plays

    The last 3 years still supports 5-0 streak teams to continue to 6-0 so we will need to wait and see what past history has to say about its final result for 2014 and we still have a lot more plays that will occur prior to seasons end and we are here for the DURATION
    Reply
    Odds makers coming down on 5-0 win streaks in last 2 days looking to balance out this streak level and if Niagara loses the 5-0 streak record will be 14-5 and 2 no covers in last 2 days and although Cover record will still be 74% but far from past 80 % in last 3 plays

    The last 3 years still supports 5-0 streak teams to continue to 6-0 so we will need to wait and see what past history has to say about its final result for 2014 and we still have a lot more plays that will occur prior to seasons end and we are here for the DURATION
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2014 - 3:28 PM ET #835

    Jab 21 the supposedly best play has already started and not doing well so better you watch ,,,There are no large win streaks with good %'s to cover according to streak records
    Reply
    Jab 21 the supposedly best play has already started and not doing well so better you watch ,,,There are no large win streaks with good %'s to cover according to streak records
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2014 - 3:40 PM ET #836

    Cal St Ful 57
    Tulsa 73 
    Tulsa covers by 16 giving -9.5 = +6.5 short for Cal St Ful
    ______________________________
    WKU 60
    Troy 51
    WKU covers by 9 giving 6 = +3
    Closest play of the day for odds makers
    _________________________________
    St Johns 60
    G Town 77
    G town covers by 17 giving -7 
    Point Spread shortage to St Johns -10
    _______________________________________

    Reply
    Cal St Ful 57
    Tulsa 73 
    Tulsa covers by 16 giving -9.5 = +6.5 short for Cal St Ful
    ______________________________
    WKU 60
    Troy 51
    WKU covers by 9 giving 6 = +3
    Closest play of the day for odds makers
    _________________________________
    St Johns 60
    G Town 77
    G town covers by 17 giving -7 
    Point Spread shortage to St Johns -10
    _______________________________________

     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2014 - 3:46 PM ET #837

    5 Favorites cover out of 6 games thanks odds makers
    (519-538)

    Reply
    5 Favorites cover out of 6 games thanks odds makers
    (519-538)

     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2014 - 4:00 PM ET #838

    Niagara  Pathetic lose by 26 and get 12.5   thanks odds makers for a great Balance 
    Reply
    Niagara  Pathetic lose by 26 and get 12.5   thanks odds makers for a great Balance 
     
    BrickShot
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2014 - 8:46 PM ET #839

    is UNLV a play to cover or not cover tonight?
    Reply
    is UNLV a play to cover or not cover tonight?
     
    lousyjets
    lousyjets
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2014 - 9:37 PM ET #840

    Quote Originally Posted by BrickShot:

    is UNLV a play to cover or not cover tonight?

    Read post #823. UNLV NOT COVERING
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by BrickShot:

    is UNLV a play to cover or not cover tonight?

    Read post #823. UNLV NOT COVERING
     
    Ausdaboss
    Ausdaboss
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    Posted: Jan. 4, 2014 - 9:39 PM ET #841

    Not cover
    Reply
    Not cover
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 9:22 AM ET #842

    9-0 UNLV 10 units they did have longest W streak
    Harvard movers to 8-0 w streak (next to stop)
    Creighton at 7-0 win streak ( next to stop)
    we have 5 teams at 5-0 win streak,all play on 7th except Xavier
    Looking for all to follow streak record and go to 6-0 (14-5)
    Kansas St
    Canisius
    Cinn
    Xavier 1/9/14
    Mich St 
    loss streaks to follow
    Reply
    9-0 UNLV 10 units they did have longest W streak
    Harvard movers to 8-0 w streak (next to stop)
    Creighton at 7-0 win streak ( next to stop)
    we have 5 teams at 5-0 win streak,all play on 7th except Xavier
    Looking for all to follow streak record and go to 6-0 (14-5)
    Kansas St
    Canisius
    Cinn
    Xavier 1/9/14
    Mich St 
    loss streaks to follow
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 9:53 AM ET #843

    Losing streak teams to cover
    4-2     0-7 Bradly covers  record to cover is now 4-2
    0-1     0-9 East ILLno cover and goes to 0-10 ( Expect) L-1 close
    0-1     0-8 N Dakota plays on 1/9
    4-2     0-7 Bost Coll plays on 1/11
    5-7     0-6 we have none Pending
    10-12 0-5 We have 3, first to play is Appalach St on 1/6
    29-25 0-4 We have 6 first to play are Akron,Penn ST on 1/8
    57-60    0-3 Monitor only
    Reply
    Losing streak teams to cover
    4-2     0-7 Bradly covers  record to cover is now 4-2
    0-1     0-9 East ILLno cover and goes to 0-10 ( Expect) L-1 close
    0-1     0-8 N Dakota plays on 1/9
    4-2     0-7 Bost Coll plays on 1/11
    5-7     0-6 we have none Pending
    10-12 0-5 We have 3, first to play is Appalach St on 1/6
    29-25 0-4 We have 6 first to play are Akron,Penn ST on 1/8
    57-60    0-3 Monitor only
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 10:00 AM ET #844

    Not much today after yesterday in STREAK Teams

    Wisc at 4-0 win streak ( streak rec to not cover is 26-24)
    would like to see them cover and go to our favorite level 5-0

    4-0's did pretty good yesterday with 5 going to 5-0
    Kansas St
    Canisius
    Cinn
    Xavier 1/9/14
    Mich St 
    Reply
    Not much today after yesterday in STREAK Teams

    Wisc at 4-0 win streak ( streak rec to not cover is 26-24)
    would like to see them cover and go to our favorite level 5-0

    4-0's did pretty good yesterday with 5 going to 5-0
    Kansas St
    Canisius
    Cinn
    Xavier 1/9/14
    Mich St 
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 10:22 AM ET #845

    FYI  In reviewing level win 3 streak teams lately i have found odds makers have not been good to them and after reviewing yesterdays 3-0 win streak teams i find only one team covered and other 5 all did not cover and current record for 3-0 teams to not cover is 77-53 =59% May need to keep an eye on this
    Reply
    FYI  In reviewing level win 3 streak teams lately i have found odds makers have not been good to them and after reviewing yesterdays 3-0 win streak teams i find only one team covered and other 5 all did not cover and current record for 3-0 teams to not cover is 77-53 =59% May need to keep an eye on this
     
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 11:30 AM ET #846

    Well Guys as we can see there's not much today so going with a 2 teamer
    4-0 Wisc
    4-0 Usc both to cover
    2 Team parlay for 5 units see if i can't get a few bucks  back from yesterday

    Reply
    Well Guys as we can see there's not much today so going with a 2 teamer
    4-0 Wisc
    4-0 Usc both to cover
    2 Team parlay for 5 units see if i can't get a few bucks  back from yesterday

     
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 2:16 PM ET #847

    went back over yesterdays plays and sure wish had played that unlv  expected loss with Air Force on ML at + 900 instead of with point spread  may nee to research past plays to see if there is any distinct advantages playing these large dogs

    will advise if see any good % plays showing promise
    Reply
    went back over yesterdays plays and sure wish had played that unlv  expected loss with Air Force on ML at + 900 instead of with point spread  may nee to research past plays to see if there is any distinct advantages playing these large dogs

    will advise if see any good % plays showing promise
     
    stevo1
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    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 2:55 PM ET #848

    Been researching these levels for additional poss plays

    What i have found that's interesting is of the 0-5 Streak teams that have covered (10) and of the 10 three have been Favorites and 7 have been Dogs which you normally would expect and of the 3 favorites all have covered ( 3-0) Possibly down line we may look to 0-5 teams that are listed as favorites to play them to cover their spreads at 3-0 cover 100%
    the 3 teams that were 0-5 and listed as Favorites were
    Kansas who Covered on 12/14
    St Louis who covered on 12/18
    Boise who covered on 12/23
    balance (7) were all Dogs and of those 7 Two won on ML Mason 12/25 and Furman 12/30 the other 5 needed their PS

    Next 0-5 Team to play is Appalach St on 1/6,will need to wait to see if they are a Favorite or Dog
    Reply
    Been researching these levels for additional poss plays

    What i have found that's interesting is of the 0-5 Streak teams that have covered (10) and of the 10 three have been Favorites and 7 have been Dogs which you normally would expect and of the 3 favorites all have covered ( 3-0) Possibly down line we may look to 0-5 teams that are listed as favorites to play them to cover their spreads at 3-0 cover 100%
    the 3 teams that were 0-5 and listed as Favorites were
    Kansas who Covered on 12/14
    St Louis who covered on 12/18
    Boise who covered on 12/23
    balance (7) were all Dogs and of those 7 Two won on ML Mason 12/25 and Furman 12/30 the other 5 needed their PS

    Next 0-5 Team to play is Appalach St on 1/6,will need to wait to see if they are a Favorite or Dog
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 3:26 PM ET #849

    LOSS STREAKS to COVER thru 1/4/14
    0-10 (0-0) East ILL 1/9
    0-9 (0-1) 0 pend
    0-8 (0-1) N Dakota 1/9
    Past years odds makers applied proper points 
    for this level to cover,as you can see not happening
    to date 

    0-7 (4-2) Bost Coll  1/11/14 

    0-6 (5-7) Colorado St and Pitt both could not cover(prev 3-7)

    0-5 (10-12) Odds makers have done a great job controlling this level from a few weeks ago,when was out out control 3 teams pend Appalach St 1/6,, UTSA 1/9,,,Tx St 1/11

    0-4 (29-25) 7 tms,Penn ST and Akron first 1/8,,Marq,NW 1/9 bal later in week

    0-3 (57-61)  6 teams pending min,,Tenn tech plays today 1/2
    there could be more check covers as i don't follow this closely

    This covers all the loss streaks at close of 1/4
    Reply
    LOSS STREAKS to COVER thru 1/4/14
    0-10 (0-0) East ILL 1/9
    0-9 (0-1) 0 pend
    0-8 (0-1) N Dakota 1/9
    Past years odds makers applied proper points 
    for this level to cover,as you can see not happening
    to date 

    0-7 (4-2) Bost Coll  1/11/14 

    0-6 (5-7) Colorado St and Pitt both could not cover(prev 3-7)

    0-5 (10-12) Odds makers have done a great job controlling this level from a few weeks ago,when was out out control 3 teams pend Appalach St 1/6,, UTSA 1/9,,,Tx St 1/11

    0-4 (29-25) 7 tms,Penn ST and Akron first 1/8,,Marq,NW 1/9 bal later in week

    0-3 (57-61)  6 teams pending min,,Tenn tech plays today 1/2
    there could be more check covers as i don't follow this closely

    This covers all the loss streaks at close of 1/4
     
     
    stevo1
    stevo1
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2011
    Posts: 6398
    Posted: Jan. 5, 2014 - 3:41 PM ET #850

    Win Streak Records at close of 1/4/14

    9-0 Record 1-0 Unlv can't cover

    8-0 Record to Stop 2-1 Pend Harvard 1/8

    7-0 Record to stop 2-4 Pend Creighton 1/7
     
    6-0 Streak Record to Stop 7-7  zero Pend

    5-0 Streak Record to Stop 5-14 Odds makers having prob stopping 5-0 Streaks we have 5 pending & looking for them to continue to 6-0 due to record at 14-5,Pend 5,,four 1/7 Kans St,,Canisius,,Cinn
    Mich St,,1/9 Xavier

    4-0 (26-24)Streak Record to Stop 26-24 
    3 Pend Wisc and USC today 1/5 Green Bay 1/7

    there you have win Streak records to date 

    Reply
    Win Streak Records at close of 1/4/14

    9-0 Record 1-0 Unlv can't cover

    8-0 Record to Stop 2-1 Pend Harvard 1/8

    7-0 Record to stop 2-4 Pend Creighton 1/7
     
    6-0 Streak Record to Stop 7-7  zero Pend

    5-0 Streak Record to Stop 5-14 Odds makers having prob stopping 5-0 Streaks we have 5 pending & looking for them to continue to 6-0 due to record at 14-5,Pend 5,,four 1/7 Kans St,,Canisius,,Cinn
    Mich St,,1/9 Xavier

    4-0 (26-24)Streak Record to Stop 26-24 
    3 Pend Wisc and USC today 1/5 Green Bay 1/7

    there you have win Streak records to date 

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