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Ncaab ATS Streak Breakers for 2013/2014

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Captain
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Posted: #2651
these were the streak records as of post on 2/8/14 page 2543

Streak records differential
3-0 to stop (1-23-14) 140-86 cur record 153-118 = 13-32
4-0 to stop ( 1-25-14) 45-37  cur record 58-50 = 13-13
5-0 to stop ( 1-22-14) 11-24  cur record 18-27  = 7-3
6-0 to stop (1-23-14)  14-10  cur record 15-10  = 1-0
7-0 to stop (1-8-14)    3-5      cur record 4-6        = 1-1
8-0 to stop (1-12-14)   3-2     cur record 3-3        = 0-1
9-0 to stop  (1-25-14)  2-0     cur record 3-0        = 0-1
_________________________________________________
0-3 to cover (1-25-14) 89-98 cur record 110-131 = 21-33
0-4 to cover (1-25-14) 52-47  cur record  64-64 =  12-14
0-5 to cover (1-25-14) 20-27   cur record 26-29 =    6-2
0-6 to cover (1-23-14) 10-14  cur record 11-16  =    1-2
0-7 to cover (1-25-14)  10-4    cur record 12-4    =    2-0
0-8 to cover (               0-2     cur record  0-2           =   0-2
0-11 to cover(1-18-14)   2-0     cur record 2-0      =    2-0
 
Captain
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Posted: #2652
so the oppsition team will be 
troy.west ill,and portland, play these three right.
 
Captain
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Posted: #2653
Streak records differential update lets see how all these teams do

3-0 to stop (1-23-14) 140-86 cur record (2/8/14)153-118 = 13-32

as of yesterday (2-12-14) (154-124) =  1-6 = 86% last 4 days 3-0 go to
 4-0 lets see what 3-0 Smu and  tulsa do today
( I will play them to cover for one unit) at 86%
__________________________________________________

4-0 to stop ( 1-25-14) 45-37  cur record (2-8-14) 58-50 = 13-13 
as of yesterday 2/12/14 (63-55) = 5-5 = 50% last 4 days,pass all 4-0 plays
______________________________________________

5-0 to stop ( 1-22-14) 11-24  cur record (2-8-14)18-27  = 7-3
 as of yesterday 19-30) = 1-3 = 75% to cover last 4 days
Changing  to 5 unit plays 
___________________________________________________

6-0 to stop (1-23-14)  14-10  cur record on(2-8-14) 15-12  = 1-2 

,,as of yesterday 15-12  = 66% to continue since 1/23
Lets see what Cleve St and L Beach st does today

No change in last 3 streaks in last 4 days

7-0 to stop (1-8-14)    3-5  cur record  4-6  = 1-1
8-0 to stop (1-12-14)  3-2  cur record 3-3   = 0-1
9-0 to stop  (1-25-14) 2-0  cur record 3-0    = 0-1

 
Captain
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Posted: #2654
Streak records differential update lets see how all these loss streaks do today since 2/8/14
_________________________________________________
0-3 to cover (1-25-14) 89-98 cur record (2/8/14) 110-131 = 21-33,,
as of yesterday (121-144) = 11-13 = 46% pass
_____________________________________________________

0-4 to cover (1-25-14) 52-47  cur record (2/8/14)  64-64 =  12-14

 as of yesterday (68-71) = 4-7 = 64% to not cover lets see what all 3 do

 today N dakota St,West Kentucky,Loy Myrmt
_______________________________________________________

0-5 to cover (1-25-14) 20-27   cur record (2/8/14) 26-29 =  6-2 
as of yesterday (31-33) = 5-4 too close so pass
_________________________________________________

0-6 to cover (1-23-14) 10-14  cur record (2/8/14) 11-16  = 1-2

as of yesterday (13-16= (2-0 ) lets see how 

N Ariz,Ole Dom,Cal poly all do as 200% they all cover
I'll play all for 1 unit 
_____________________________________________________

there are no higher loss streaks today
0-7 to cover (1-25-14)  10-4    cur record 12-4  =  2-0
0-8 to cover ( 1-25-14)   0-2     cur record  0-2 =  0-2
0-11 to cover(1-18-14)   2-0     cur record 2-0  = 2-0
 
Prospect
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Posts: 288
Posted: #2655
So Stevo1 , please confirm today pick : smu, tulsa, Ill- chi, Cal Babarra ?
 
Prospect
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Posts: 342
Posted: #2656
OK its  gametime USC +4 all day  
 
Prospect
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Posted: #2657
Mann usc down 17 now 5 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #2658
Well USC 
 
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Posted: #2659
You put in a lot of hard work Stevo.  I hope it paid off for you today!!!!

 
Captain
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Posts: 6398
Posted: #2660
Can't believe how close some of these games were against me

Streak records differential update lets see how all these teams do

3-0 to stop (1-23-14) 140-86 cur record (2/8/14)153-118 = 13-32

as of yesterday (2-12-14) (154-124) =  1-6 = 86% last 4 days 3-0 go to
 4-0 lets see what 3-0 Smu and  tulsa do today
( I will play them to cover for one unit) at 86%
SMU PPD
Tulsa 
__________________________________________________

4-0 to stop ( 1-25-14) 45-37  cur record (2-8-14) 58-50 = 13-13 
as of yesterday 2/12/14 (63-55) = 5-5 = 50% last 4 days,pass all 4-0 plays,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 4-0 plays go 1-0
______________________________________________

5-0 to stop ( 1-22-14) 11-24  cur record (2-8-14)18-27  = 7-3
 as of yesterday 19-30) = 1-3 = 75% to cover last 4 days
Changing  to 5 unit plays 
Murray  no cover  wins by 10 giving -1.5
Sac St lose by 7
St Johns wins by 1 giving 2
___________________________________________________

6-0 to stop (1-23-14)  14-10  cur record on(2-8-14) 15-12  = 1-2 

,,as of yesterday 15-12  = 66% to continue since 1/23
Lets see what Cleve St and L Beach st does today

No change in last 3 streaks in last 4 days

7-0 to stop (1-8-14)    3-5  cur record  4-6  = 1-1
8-0 to stop (1-12-14)  3-2  cur record 3-3   = 0-1
9-0 to stop  (1-25-14) 2-0  cur record 3-0    = 0-1
 
Captain
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Posted: #2661
0-3 to cover (1-25-14) 89-98 cur record (2/8/14) 110-131 = 21-33,,
as of yesterday (121-144) = 11-13 = 46% pass
0-3 go 3-3
_____________________________________________________

0-4 to cover (1-25-14) 52-47  cur record (2/8/14)  64-64 =  12-14

 as of yesterday (68-71) = 4-7 = 64% to not cover lets see what all 3 do

 today N dakota St,West Kentucky,Loy Myrmt

all 3 don't cover
_______________________________________________________

0-5 to cover (1-25-14) 20-27   cur record (2/8/14) 26-29 =  6-2 
as of yesterday (31-33) = 5-4 too close so pass

0-5's go 1-2
_________________________________________________

0-6 to cover (1-23-14) 10-14  cur record (2/8/14) 11-16  = 1-2

as of yesterday (13-16= (2-0 ) lets see how 

N Ariz,Ole Dom,Cal poly all do as 200% they all cover
I'll play all for 1 unit 
_____________________________________________________

there are no higher loss streaks today
0-7 to cover (1-25-14)  10-4    cur record 12-4  =  2-0
0-8 to cover ( 1-25-14)   0-2     cur record  0-2 =  0-2
0-11 to cover(1-18-14)   2-0     cur record 2-0  = 2-0
 
Captain
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Posted: #2662
I lose 2 5-0 streak plays by one bucket 

I lose one 6-0 play L Bch St by 2.5 points but win Clev St
4-0 play covers but passed
I win all  three 0-6 plays to cover



 
Captain
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Posted: #2663
the best plays yesterday turned out to be

0-6 streak teams to cover at 200%,,,,,,,,,,,,,3-0
0-4 streak teams to not cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,2-0 
3-0 Streak teams to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,1-0
5-0 streak teams to not cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,3-0

 
Captain
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Posted: #2664
not much for friday

3-0 to stop (1-23-14) 140-86 cur record (2/8/14)153-118 = 13-32

as of yesterday (2-13-14) (157-126) =  3-9 = 75% last 5 days 3-0 go to
 4-0 lets see what 3-0 Brown and marist do tonight 
( I will play them to cover for one unit) at 75%

Although not at 86% as prior to yesterday the 3-0's record of 3-2 does bring down that 86% to 75% so i will play small 

Need to get into Saturdays games as maybe i will parlay both these into Saturday

Majorilly pizzed my 5-0 win streaks took a nose dive yesterday as they were my only losses and to lose one game by .5 and the other by 2 points really hurt ( St Johns and Murray St)



 
Captain
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Posted: #2665
Guys just some back up on teams that have been 3-0 in the past
may help some to increase their opinion in how to go but it is gambling so nothing is guaranteed

3-0 to stop (1-23-14) 140-86 record as of (2/8/14)153-118 = 13-32

as of yesterday (2-13-14) (156-127) =  3-9 = 75% last 5 days 3-0 go to
 4-0 lets see what 3-0 Brown, Marist ,Smu do tonight 
( I will play them to cover for one unit) at 75% although not happy the 3-0's went 3-2 yesterday after being at 86% cover

Although not at 86% as prior to yesterday the 3-0's record of 3-2 does bring down that 86% to 75% so i will play small 

 
Captain
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Posted: #2666
One other note SMU has been there before at 7-0 win streak and stopped on 1-28 so they are accustomed to covering the spread
Do not sell them short but as noted its all a crap shoot
 
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Posted: #2667
the best plays yesterday turned out to be

0-6 streak teams to cover at 200%,,,,,,,,,,,,,3-0
0-4 streak teams to not cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,2-0 
5-0 streak teams to not cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,3-0

Had to pull the 3-0s as posted wrong as they went 3-2
 
Captain
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Posted: #2668
Less than 2 weeks to start on ST

FYI
all ST records as of 3/20 to close of ST last week W/L with Runs for St  for season of 2013
                                                            (RF-RA)
Ariz            4-4 ending at 0-2          (128-156)
Atla            3-3 ending    1-0           (146-144)
Cubs        2-3-1 ending on a push  ( 95-121)
Cinn,,,,,,,,,4-5,,ending on a 1-0,,,,  ,(136-168)
colorado  4-2 ending on  0-2         (132-106)
Marlins     3-5 ending on a 0-1       (136 127)
Lad           2-6 ending on a 1-0       (128-145)
Milw          1-4 ending on a 0-1       (73-99)
Mets          6-2 ending on a 1-0      (135-115)
Phil            5-4 ending on a 0-1      (143-160)
Pitt         2-5-1 ending on a 1-0      (109-144)
S/D          2-5 ending on a 0-1      (125-109)
S/F           5-3 ending on a 0-1      (134-143)
S/L           4-3 ending on a 0-1       (145-136)
Nats        2-5 ending on a 1-0       (124-138)
_______________________________________
Balt       3-3-2 ending on a Push    (117-117)
Bost         3-6 ending on a 0-1       (123-121)
Chw      3-4-1 ending on a 2-0        (133-139)
Clev         2-8 ending on a 0-6        (168-180)
Det          4-3 ending on a 1-0        (142-118)
K/C          8-0 ending on a 8-0        (183-96)
Laa          3-5 ending on a 0-1        (145-157)
Minn         6-3 ending on a 1-0       (152-123)
Nyy        3-4-1 ending on a 0-1       (113-120)
Oak        7-0-1 ending on a 0-1       (127-119)
Seat          4-3 ending on a 2-0       (159-128)
T/B         1-6-1 ending on a 0-1       (119-128)
TX             4-3 ending on a 1-0        (199-130)
Tor            6-3 ending on a 1-0        (133-135)

Funny thing Cleve closes out ST on a 0-6 loss streak and they win their 1st game Masterson vs Dickey 4-1
____________________________________________________
Royals with the 8-0 win streak into season Lost their 1st game 1-0 Shields vs Chw  Sale
___________________________________________________
so throw momentum out the window come April
 
Captain
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Posted: #2669

fidat night fever

Brown
marist
Smu
 
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Posted: #2670
Saturday
0-6 streak teams to cover
526
576
623
698
_________________________
0-4 streak teams to not cover
610
640
657
673
______________________________
Hate going against my 5-0 win streaks but record is there for all to see to not cover
514
656
689
________________________________________________
 we will see

But first lets win these tonight
 
Captain
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Posted: #2671
have a 5-0 vs a 0-5 match up on sat and can't see North Carolina losing this game but these damnnn 5-0 win streaks of late have been screwing me 
 
Captain
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Posted: #2672
Brown,,,,,,,,,,,,push
marist
Smu
 
Captain
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Posted: #2673
Looking at the streak records and there are no strong plays as nothing reaches 60% or higher I can't believe the odds makers have balanced out these steams this well at this point of season compared to last few seasons.Usually there are a few bright spots to find over 60% but not this year i do realize Season is about to end but still previous years you always had some good plays right into March maddness

3-0 is 157-126 = 55%
4-0 is 63-54 = 54%
5-0 is 22-30 = 42%
6-0 is 16-13 = 55%
7-0 is 5-6 = 45%
_______________
0-3 is 125-150 =45%
0-4 is 68-74 = 48%
0-5 is 32-35 = 48%
0-6 16-15 = 52%
________________________________________________-
Last Years records about this time 2013
4-0   84-55,,60%
5-0   21-34,,,62% to continue
6-0   18-16  
7-0    8-8
8-0    5-3,,,63%
9-0    1-2
10-0  1-1
11-0  1-0
_______________
0-3    did not do due to quanity
0-4   63-64
0-5   33-27
0-6   15-12
0-7    6-6
0-8    3-3
0-9    2-1
0-10  1-0  

____________________________

 
Captain
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Posted: #2674
I didn't do all the streaks this year so will repost all

3-0 is 157-126 = 55%
4-0 is 63-54 = 54%
5-0 is 22-30 = 42%
6-0 is 16-13 = 55%
7-0 is 5-6 = 45%
8-0 is 3-3 =50%
9-0 is 3-0 = 300%
_______________
0-3 is 125-150 =45%
0-4 is 68-74 = 48%
0-5 is 32-35 = 48%
0-6 16-16 = 50%
0-7  12-4 = 75%
0-8   2-2 = 50%
0-9   0-2 = -200%
0-19 0-2 - 200%
0-11 2-0 +200%
 
 
Captain
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Posted: #2675
Trying to find plays from page 2660 and this is the best i can come up with as of records from 2/8/14 to TODAY


0-4 to cover (1-25-14) 52-47  record on (2/8/14)  64-64 =  12-14

 as of yesterday (68-74) = 4-10 if reverse (74%) to continue to 0-5
_________________________________________________
0-6 to cover (1-23-14) 10-14  record on (2/8/14) 11-16  = 1-2

as of yesterday (16-16= (5-0 ) they cover as of 2/8/14
__________________________________________
3-0 to stop (1-23-14) 140-86 cur record (2/8/14)153-118 = 13-32

as of yesterday (2-14-14) (157-127) = 4-9 and if reverse 69% they cover and go to 4-0
________________________________________________ 
that's it guys

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