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Prospect
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Posted: #51
Got it. Thanks
 
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Posted: #52
Marshall is @ 39% on bettracker as of now.  Getting real close to being a play. 
 
LOCKED IN
CS NORTH
SOUTH FLA
 
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Posted: #53
ADDING
 
MARIST (LOCKED)
 
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Posted: #54
Raging- for thoughs two systems you listed above.. where do you go for your stats for these.. where a team is avg in their last 5 games and the public numbers you go off of... thank you
 
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Posted: #55
CS northridge is up to -6.5 at my book.. I think that makes it a play
 
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Posted: #56
lets start a new thread every day.. this is beginning to get cluttered
 
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Posted: #57
Gene,

I believe raging uses covers.com

I use espn to get the offense and defense stats for the faded system plays
 
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Posted: #58
ok thank you nba.. appreciate it..
 
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Posted: #59
Quote Originally Posted by AJSPICKS:

TEAM                 OPEN LINE             SYSTEM LINE      PUBLIC
USC                     -2.5                          -13                  76% USC
BAYLOR               -9                             -2                   61% BAY
DAYTON               -9.5                          -22                 70% DAY
CUSE                   -8                             -17                 92% CUS
PACIFIC               +5.5                         -1                   57% PAC
MARSHALL           +6.5                       -3                   42% MAR
MARIST                 -9                         PK                  67% MAR
TEXAS                  -23                       -9                    84% TEX
PORT ST              -15                        -20                 67% PORT
 
I know Port doesn't fit, but these are the ones I could see so far.  Please check to see if I'm on the same page.  Due to these #'s, the leans should be:
 
ORG, SOUTH CAR, TOLEDO, SOUTH FLA, SAN DIEGO, ST PETERS,
 
THE OTHER LINE AREN'T @ THE % OR DIFFERENCE YET, AM I CORRECT?


guys - your not quite fully understanding it...a good example above is that you think St. Peter's should be the play. MARIST should be the play however they are recieving way too much support to be considered at 67%. If the system line is lower than the actual line by atleast 8pts, the play is for the FAVORITE as long as they are recieving under 58%. IE MARIST system line is a PK yet they are 9pt favs for a reason! but recieving too much support at 58%. If the system line higher than the actual line, then play the DOG as long as they are recieving less than 38%.

nba fan started a new thread...i'll post this in there as well.
 
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Posted: #60
so then Marshall could be considered a play here?
 
 
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Posted: #61
Guys, 
 
I do not see Syracuse anywhere on your system today, but they should easily handle a weak south florida team.
 
They have suspended players back and are starting to hit their groove and S Fla is a poor team.
 
Use the system of good team vs. bad team to roll.  Cuse -7 is a good play today.
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