My Betting Strategy - sidthetallkid

works every time

vegas is going to be so pissed when they read this

Sid, u going to post plays in this thread?

@umgmu

 no way man, Johnny Dawkins is an amazing coach. very defensive minded... we had a very very good defense in 2017-19 time period when I was at UCF. we had Dwyane Wade come visit Coach Dawkins one time randomly and had a lot of NBA teams use our practice facility when the Orlando Magic was using theirs. met some great NBA players. glad you know some of the history of UCF and Johnny Dawkins, he is a legend

@MITM

 yes I will post plays here starting tomorrow. making a new post every time probably annoys some people here that don't like or understand the strategy we look at for safe ml/parlays for teams we have great confidence in. on top of that, I think this thread had been extremely entertaining from beginning to end. some cool stories in here... i will keep posting my daily bets in this thread only for the near future. Cheers

Ok, as I said, I'll post in here until I lose one. Hope it's not over too quick. 

I got this one going. 

Purdue/Detroit (-550) CBB Moneyline Parlay ($1100 to win $200)

If I win this one, I'll have at least one more play today. 

Falcon 

@MITM

 great play, I like it. BOL today, should be an easy $200

@sidthetallkid

 I mean why post this then other naive people may follow … even if this strategy works for you .. which it won’t .. it’s not going to work for anyone else .. long term it isn’t sustainable.. then what you lose two in a row then what need to up your bet 10 times on the next game and pray to make it back to even lol 

SID- I had an old gf whose father taught Johnny at Mackin ..true story.

Johnny and Tommy Amaker ( from here in northern va) helped coach K make Duke..lol.

My buddy Dennis played with Shaq in Orlando ...the Magic are retiring his number later this season..

I hope to get down for it.

@umgmu

 more incredible stories, i love to hear stuff like this. Dawkins was a hell of a player at Duke and still close with Coach K. he was in an NBA dunk contest as well during his time in the NBA. a great guy that truly cares about his players. cool as hell too man I would be at lots of Magic games 2015-2019 even though they weren't any good. Shaq is a solidified beast forever

@supermanbets

 your same technique can be applied to someone losing 2 in a row when betting these -110 plays. but the difference is that the chance of losing 2 in a row is EXTREMELY higher when taking the spread/points. This technique is different because the probability of this safe approach when just getting a win instead of points makes a significant difference. Losing two in a row with ml plays on home teams that have been studied will be extremely unlikely to happen with research and studying teams. Once again, it is better to be safe than sorry. I study the quantitative data through a huge number of sources to compare/contrasts different teams and different plays. My qualitative experience through playing D1 basketball and watching it my entire life and knowing how teams play gives a slight advantage as well on top of my dedicated research. Thanks for your opinion brotha, everyone bets differently. Not everyone is going to do what you do... major betting sites are making BILLIONS on betters sweating taking the points and consistently losing every week. Take a step back and open your mind to other possibilities/strategies when betting. I don't tell you how to wipe your ass. BOL regardless man

This will not work for 90% of today's bettors, maybe higher than that. And your right I don't think this should really be on a public forum. 

I started betting this 22 days ago. I won 13 in a row then lost 1. I then won 17 in a row then lost 1. I've now won 3 in a row. As I was winning those games, I sort of made a deal with myself to tell no one. So on the next loss, I'll go back to keeping these to myself. 

I feel as what I'm doing with this is cutting edge. It's in no way simply just playing large favorites. There is a process to the selections that must meet certain criteria. 

But I'll hang around in here until I lose one. 

Falcon 

@MITM

 I completely agree... many people will disagree with the approach. Any play submitted must be well thought out and have data to back-up why you are choosing a specific team to win. I personally would rather take a very confident bet and risk more... so many coin flip games people have confidence with when taking the points. Nothing worse than taking a -4.5 and that team only wins by 4 points. Extremely discipline is involved in this entire strategy mentioned throughout this thread

@MITM

 Congrats on that $200 Purdue/Detroit win brotha, great play. Enjoy

Play #1 pending

Purdue/Detroit  (-550) CBB Moneyline Parlay ($1100 to win $200)

Going to go ahead and get down on Play #2

Chicago St. /Furman  (-500) CBB Moneyline Parlay  ($1000 to win $200)

More than likely all I'm doing today, even though there is one more that meets criteria today. 

Good luck with your wagers

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 You’re printing money!!! Love to see it

I didn't add on to this in Tunica. My brother n law will cash that winning ticket but then they will be leaving. 

I'll save those alternate totals for another day. A big key is do not rush into anything. 

Falcon 

@MITM

 Another W with Chicago St, congrats on another sweet $200 to the bank roll

Furman still has to win, for the 2nd $200, they probably will, but let's wait...

That's absolutely right. Let's not count anything before it's final. 

I like to start working on the next play, as the current one is pending. So let's say that I'm now looking for Play #3. 

Let's see if Furman can finish up Play #2

Falcon 

Thread (2-0) (+$400)

Coming into today I had identified 5 plays. The first 4 were inserted into 2 moneyline parlays. Here is the last one today. 

Play #3

Boise St  (-350) CBB Moneyline  ($700 to win $200)

If it hits, I'll come back tomorrow with Play #4. 

Good luck guys 

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 With this strategy you have to hit your next 3 plays .. if you go 2-1 .. you will make no money … not to mention if you are hedging or anything because Detroit could have easily lost today and Furman should have lost lol … it’s just not capping anyone can take huge favorites and get hot and hit let’s see how this works tourney time 

i guess there is a reason why no professional would ever do this .. and Laugh hysterically at the notion .. I hope you guys are around during baseball season that’s when I get cooking and would love to see how you go about it .. because like OP I played baseball into college 

@supermanbets

 I can tell you MITM is very profitable.

LAst year he hit about 25 with only one loss. He doesnt always go with huge favorites either. He adds an angle..no opne should follow blindly.

Supermanbets, I agree u shouldn't play like this but I'm on an incredible (35-2) run on these. I'll post in here until I drop one. Who knows it may be Boise St. 

Falcon 

@MITM

 I mean I see what you’re doing you should hit a lot the problem is the one loss.. I think you said selection is key ?

why bet the last game of a short Sunday night slate … with everyone on the favorite and Presidents’ Day tomorrow so no school .. the Boise kids didn’t travel they probably enjoyed a very rowdy weekend