My Betting Strategy - sidthetallkid

I have seen over the past few weeks in this forum that a majority of plays consist of taking the points with a team. There has been criticism of my plays I post and I want to make it known that I bet different than a lot of bettors on here.

Losing too many -110 spread games that seem like a good at first thought but a poor decision by the end of the game is too sweaty unless you do extreme thought out research on each and every play you chose. Discipline can yield profit if your research is done correctly. When I check the slate of games each day, I've found that finding teams that seem like they’ll blowout the other opponent or secure an easy win becomes a more consistent and safe strategy. I've noticed that better team playing at home in college basketball has been a usually safe and consistent play with research on both teams done correctly. I see a lot of similarities in these consistent better home teams to win and I personally look for spreads. that range anywhere from as low as -150 to as high as around -450. Although I feel that anything over -300 is very rich, a high amount of money will be placed on a -300 spread team if I feel like they have a 90% chance to win or higher. I've noticed that spread between the -180 to -260 range have been a nice sweet spot; these teams typically get a line between a -4 to a -6.5 as well) Most bets I select for the day will be ones where I feel like there’s an 80% or higher chance the team that I choose wins for the ml play.

I've loved the idea of playing safer and making slow, steady profit then playing risky and fighting back just to break the week even. Starting the week with these nearly guaranteed ml plays builds your money to use for the week & transition into consistent profit for the week. Consistency is key.

My daily best bet will be a strong play I feel will be an outright win and posted along with some teaser/parlay ideas/teams I will post as other optional plays.

If you disagree with this strategy or my plays, that is completely fine. I love seeing other plays for the day on here as well as some pro bettors on Youtube. Shoutout to everyone on the forum, I want to see everyone beat the bookie and make great money. BOL in the future

@sidthetallkid

 Also, if you do not like my picks then you do not have to choose them or be disrespectful on posts. I am just here to put out the plays I am personally betting on and choosing the best plays to help make money to everyone. much love to the community here

Impressive you figured out that better teams at home seem to win more… impressive …

uh oh.. penalty flag.. too much stupid on the field.. or in your case court… you clearly are new to betting huh?

any team that is -300 isn’t going to win 9 out of 10 times .. lines are implied odds .. what sample are you looking at where -300 will win 90 percent of the time.. 

And -180 to -260 is a sweat spot .. you have to hit 75 percent at -250 to make Pennies… 

seriously no one starting out listen to this .. 

-450 you’re going to lay -450  

@supermanbets

 no one has to listen, I will make money with my strategy & post my plays. thanks for your input :)

So,you're going to just take the way better team each time you bet and ride off into the sunset with riches

@supermanbets

 Winning 65% of your -110 spread bets is considered good on here. Winning 80% of an average -300 yields consistent profit IF you choose the right teams and win 4/5 of these on average. The key is researching these teams in depth, you can continue to keep spewing your negativity and disgusting insults and I will continue to find these consistent plays. It’s clear when a narcissist is trolling to feel better about himself when someone is simply posting their winning strategy. Ignorance is bliss

@KingScorpio

 Sport betting isn’t about getting RICH to me. There is an extreme amount of risk with odds always against you. There are strategies to beat the system. If you rely on money purely made for your main income from sport betting then you have a serious problem 

@KingScorpio

@supermanbets

 
Just because something may work for you doesn’t mean something different can work for someone else. Everyone will belittle you and your strategy when you are different and voice your opinion. I want to help others. I have had the experience with college basketball to add to conducting research. I would bet my bank account that neither of you have played college basketball, much less yet D1. When you have an upper hand of experience in addition to dedicated research and time devotion, you can call the shots. Automatic denial of specific strategies that aren’t your own and harsh criticism will only make you look foolish. Simply bet how you want to, I am here to post winning plays. Sleep tight fellas

So you’re going to just bet Bama and Georgia ML during CFB season?

Tomorrow your bets look like Drake, SMU and Boise State. 

Dude,you're a clueless loser.

Stop gambling right now and enjoy your life.

Look @ the pot calling the kettle black..lol

@KingScorpio

 my guy I work in the NIL space for college athletics. I have a master’s degree from UF in sport management & work with athletes right now and am focusing on financial advising for professional athletes. I played basketball in college, I’ve been around the atmosphere and know how teams play. It’s just a failure to recognize I am here posting plays with a combined quantitative and qualitative knowledge. When you have been in college athletics and around the industry, it proves an advantage when betting. Life is extremely busy & productive yet I find time to make side income with sport betting. Don’t worry about my life when you have no idea how grateful & lucky I am to be in the position that I am in. I have a passion for data analytics in sport and I am here to create consistent plays for anyone who wants to bet. The moral of the story is: You do not have to like my strategy/approach, click on my threads/plays, or put your money on my plays. I will post the plays I like, it’s an easy concept. Tonight I posted to give some of my perspective, and I can’t say I’m surprised that a different approach would offend so many people here. If you don’t agree then don’t look at my plays. I am more than happy financially and post plays to add some side money. I am not here posting biased BS. I am good friends with many D1 athletes in the college athletics industry.  A simple search on my username would help put things into a better perspective.. cheers 

I will add a few things 

I have gone (33-2) using this strategy recently, including (3-0) today. 

Keep this to yourself, u can win but u will get slammed on here.

And most importantly, be very very selective, I play them one at a time. 

Also look into extreme alternate totals. 

Remember, nobody wants to follow this, so keep it to yourself. 

Falcon Sports 

I'll add 

The past 22 days, since January 28, I've gone (33-2) (+25.00 units) using this strategy. 

About half of those plays were 2 team parlays, never three. 

The only losses were, Cal Santa Barbara on February 4th as part of a 2 team parlay and Rider last night. After that Cal Santa Barbara loss, I switched to exclusively home team's. I use an exact criteria for selections. 

As I said, I play these one at a time only. 

Good luck, just go slow and be very selective. 

Falcon Sports 

Best of luck. Keep a journal.

I've tried tons of strategy.  Nothing is full proof. But they all are valid.

Key is how you manage your loses.

@MITM

@Ppkay

 I highly appreciate both comments. It seems that going against anything but the norm will get you crucified here. I wouldn’t take such high ml plays unless I have complete confidence in them. People don’t open their mind to realize that this is simply a strategy & they don’t have to agree with it. When trading stocks, there are thousands of approaches & strategies when trying to make money. I would just rather be safe than sorry and put in research through the numbers but also through my experience in college athletics. thank you both for the feedback

This is what I played Sunday

Purdue/Detroit (-550) CBB Moneyline Parlay

When this ends, I may play one more today. I believe in doing these one at a time only and I do not mind going pretty large. 

Good luck with your selections.

@MITM

 I completely agree... I don't mind taking -300 to -500 lines that FEEL like they should be a -800 or -1000 lol. When a team seems almost certain to win the game, I don't mind betting on the game, even if it's to make $20 at a -400. It's very careful and disciplined researched betting. I truly believe that you can win 80% of ml bets in that -200 to -400 range with careful selection of what plays you choose. I definitely believe that more is less... even finding one safe and secure bet daily or one of these bets every few days will slowly build up money on the side. Less risk can definitely turn profit. Too many people taking points to barely lose and struggle just to break even for the week. I've been through that and hate it man. Discipline and selectiveness for these ml plays have been a recipe for success. BOL to you betting my friend

I only like this strategy in basketball and football. I do not advise this in baseball or hockey. 

My bet today is ($1100 to win $200). Most wouldn't make this bet, most won't win $200 today. 

I'm working with alternate totals with this strategy in mind. Lot of Over 4.5 or even 3.5 in the NHL. 

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

yes i agree many people will not agree with that type of risk, but if it is in plays you feel like a 90% chance or higher that the plays win, i don't have a problem with it. whats that bet risking $1100 for $200? just curious haha

Purdue/Detroit (-550) CBB Moneyline Parlay 

I use a set criteria for any selections. Not necessarily what I think. 

@MITM

 I took Arkansas at a -380 yesterday home vs Florida, a guy replies to comment a laughing emoji about taking a ml at -380. Arkansas ends up winning that game 84-65... just an example how people will be quick to judge and talk shit for playing something safe

Yep but u have to be careful. I'll give u 3 that I would not play today. SMU, Houston or Drake. Not that I think they will lose but these 3 do not meet my criteria for a play. 

@MITM

 yep i am off SMU because east carolina can definitely cover that +7.5 and possible win out right, but not likely. Houston ml is too rich to bet, it could be time for an upset. I only like Drake because a -280 ml isn't bad at all to play at home against a Belmont team that Drake beat by 18 AWAY at Belmont earlier this season. Taking a -280 for Drake back at home feels like a good play to me but I understand where you are coming from to stay off. My only play today was Drake and Butler parlay at +105 when combined together. I am up nicely for the week so I only bet about 25% of my total winnings on this play so regardless, I am still up a good amount even if this Drake/Butler parlay does not hit today. :D

Keep up the insight and GL!