My Betting Strategy - sidthetallkid

Good luck

I'm trying to develop what you loosely call a model with this. I think I'm using larger moneylines than u, so my risk is greater and I better not lose. Several months ago I tried this strategy with a max cap of (-300) on the moneylines. I was profitable but didn't get the results that I was looking for. 

Honestly the only real loss that I've had the past 22 days was Rider on Friday night and that was only a (-300) loss. I did lose on UCSB on Feb 4th but they were a road team and I've since excluded road team's in CBB. That loss was (-400). But other than that I've had 33 Wins. 

@MITM

 Thank you for letting me know your past results. I would like to post these nice safe ml plays but I've noticed that people will always comment and talk shit, but that's life. I will continue to post my favorite plays for spreads, parlays, teasers, and mls lol

I'll post plays in here until I lose one and I hope that is not the first one. 

1. Purdue/Detroit (-550) CBB Moneyline Parlay ($1100 to win $200)

I try to only play these one at a time. I may have at least one more today. 

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 I also agree that it should be extremely extremely rare to choose a -300 or greater ml for a road team, even if they are significantly better. home court advantage makes a huge difference, especially in college basketball

@MITM

 i like those 2 plays and I'm sure you will win both. I may forever be scared when betting Purdue just because of the upsets they kept having, even at home last season lmao

Look no further than Clemson last night. I smiled when Louisville beat them. 

I had Texas, Eastern Washington and St. Mary's yesterday. Texas got a little shaky but it was still a (3-0) day. 

@MITM

 know whats ironic too? a guy asked for safe/secure plays to parlay yesterday and I gave him these 7 teams:

Eastern Washington ml
USC ml
Xavier ml
Arkansas ml
Clemson ml
Saint Mary's ml
Murray State ml

Guess who was the only team to lose... the ONE highly favored road team (Clemson). They lost on the road with a -10 spread beforehand AT Louisville (the worst team in the ACC). You truly never know what will happen with highly favored road teams, it seems like a stretch for them just to win the game outright on the road

I have five plays that qualify today. I have the first 2 in the moneyline parlay that goes at noon. The other three start later today. 

I'm also trying to work with the alternate totals. Got to have somewhere to go when CBB season ends. 

@MITM

 agreed I had a 3 team parlay yesterday with Eastern Washington, USC, and Arkansas that went 3/3 and hit. :D

I look at it this way, bet how you want and dont worry about what others think they are not paying your bills

Good luck i do enjoy reading your picks and dont worry about what others think 

I liked USC but went with St. Mary's instead. Both won. I will only do two teamers, just one of my quirky rules. 

@MITM

 add me on here & message me brotha it is nice to see someone approaching a similar strategy. could be nice to discuss these parlay teams or ml plays to see thoughts/opinions

Ok I did. PM me when u want. I'll post a few plays here, until I drop one.

Also mentally this is great. Everyone likes to win. For me it's very satisfying going (1-0) on a Monday night and winning $200. 

On the weekend I can ususally get two or three in each day. 

Just go slow, no harm In keeping the books money. I move these around between a few books and even play these in Tunica. 

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 yep, thank you for your insight. i work a regular full time job making money that I'm very happy with, so I am down to make money on the side even if it's as low as $20 to add for fun or playing around with more money and ending the week up $200 or $300. just a tragedy for people sweating to take spreads and be owing money at the end of the week. too stressful

I only live a couple hours from Tunica and I go alot. I have some family members there right now. I think I'm going to get my brother n law to play this 2 teamer today over there as well. 

Falcon Sports 

@MITM

 Tunica, Mississippi? I have lived in Florida all my life. Played basketball with Tacko Fall at UCF in college for my undergrad, then went to UF and got my master's in sport management. The ability to make money from smart and disciplined betting is something that I love the idea of. I work now in NIL, helping college athletes at our agency prepare for going pro and partnering with different brands, so these D1 athletes are making money. my life is nothing but sports but I love it lol

I'm semi retired and work basically part time now. I enjoy working with sports betting models. I am going to hate seeing the CBB regular season end. The tourneys will be a different animal. 

@MITM

 yeah man march madness will be nuts once again this year. March is my favorite month of the year for this reason alone. nothing compares to filling out a bracket or few brackets and watching the games & results. It's truly like nothing else. We lost to Duke in the second round of march madness in 2018... search UCF vs Duke basketball highlights 2018. We had them beat the last few minutes but choked at the end and lost by one point. That Duke team had Zion Williamson, RJ Barrett, and Cam Reddish. most loaded college basketball team I had seen in years... no one expected us to come close to beating Duke that game. It was a heartbreaker at the end to lose by 1... would've been the biggest upset in the history of UCF

@MITM

 correction: 2019 it was, not 2018. but yeah man watch the last 2-3 minutes of that Duke/UCF game to see some crazy crazy shit. had a chance to win in the last few seconds and lost with a missed layup that rolled out. heartbreaking but playing Duke tough like that was something unbelievable and what the March Madness spirit is about. Duke had those 3 guys I mentioned above all go Top 10 in the NBA Draft the very next season lol

I'm 55 and been in this daily since August 1986. I've done everything u can do in this business, I mean everything. I've been building models for sports betting since 2011 or so. I sort of remember the game your referring too. 

I was not going to put this on the forum for different reasons but I'll post a few plays here and discuss things but if it gets crazy just PM me.

@MITM

 definitely man I will probably post my plays daily because I'm getting into a routine of doing all my studying of the lines the night before, watching 4-6 YouTube channels with daily pro betters doing predictions. the research is very important and I'll never post a play that I don't believe in myself. will pm you in the future or talk to you through posts about some daily plays/teams. you seem like an awesome guy, glad we got to connect here.

Sure, post your plays in here. I'll post in here until I lose one. At that point just PM me. 

I'm not a handicapper, I quit that in 2011. I have a background in mathematics. I'm very much into a statistical, anyalitcal method for selections.

We will see if we can make a little money in this thread. Might be fun, if it doesn't get crazy. 

Falcon 

@MITM

 lol sounds great, we can continue this thread or I may make a brand new one and update it with daily plays/thoughts. i've seen quite a few people use one thread for multiple weeks, only thing is going to the very last post to see the latest plays haha

Sid,

I managed my college team at the U and the Flint Hill Prep HS team in the mid 80's...also worked for 2 nba teams for 5 years.

Flint Hill used to play Johnny Dawkins HS team at Mackin ...Johnny is 8-10 years older than I.

I mostly play dogs and short favs .

Keep doing what works for YOU.

PM if you'd like to talk....I won some good money on UCF in that game vs Duke.